The US mortgage industry is seeing its first lenders go out of business after a sudden spike in lending rates, and the wave of failures that’s coming could be the worst since the housing bubble burst about 15 years ago, according to a recent Bloomberg report.
There’s no systemic meltdown coming this time around, because there hasn’t been the same level of lending excesses and because many of the biggest banks pulled back from mortgages after the financial crisis. But market watchers nonetheless expect a string of bankruptcies broad enough to trigger a spike in layoffs in an industry that employs hundreds of thousands of workers, and potentially an increase in some lending rates.
More of the business is now controlled by independent lenders, and with mortgage volumes plunging this year, many are struggling to stay afloat. “The nonbanks are poorly capitalized,” said Nancy Wallace, chair of the real estate group at Berkeley Haas, the business school at University of California, Berkeley. “When the mortgage market tanks they are in trouble.”
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– I am NOT so sanguine. I think the situation is more dire. I came across these numbers:
There are some 80 million home owners and of those are some 10 million in arrears with their mortgage. One in five renters are also in arrear with their rent payments.
There is a YouTube channel that follows the disaster occurring in the US housing market:
https://www.youtube.com/c/reventureconsulting/videos
The car market in the US is also “not in the best of financial shapes”:
https://www.youtube.com/c/AutomotiveLifeTV