Lemmings Running From Ups To Downs And Back Again!

In this week’s market review we highlight once again the volatility in the markets. The fear gauge in the US is sitting at around 30, and still signals more uncertainty ahead. It is worth remembering that such massive swings are being harvested by the algo’s and big financial players who are able to trade on them, and which in turn help to exacerbate the moves. Such large swings are not a sign of a well-functioning market, more a sign of the how close to chaos we are. And as normal we will start with the US, look across Europe and Asia and end in Australia.

Equities have been under pressure this year as the central bank has embarked on an aggressive rate hike path as it attempts to reign in stubbornly high inflation, increasing worries of a policy error that will send the economy into a recession.

The latest edition of our finance and property news digest with a distinctively Australian flavour.

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

New Zealand Household Finances Under The Microscope…

New Zealand Household Finances Are Being impacted by the change in interest rates and falls in property prices as inflation continues to bite. The trouble is though these aggregate numbers do not really tell the true story. Whilst we do not run our surveys in New Zealand, we think the parallel with Australia would tell us that the rule of thirds applies. One third of households are under severe financial pressure, one thirds have no issues at all and are enjoying strong income growth and buffers and one third is in between, but slipping towards pressure as interest rates continue to rise, putting upward pressure on mortgage repayments and rents, and downward pressure on home prices and savings.

However, Stats NZ said The net worth of New Zealand households fell $88.9 billion, 3.7 percent during the June 2022 quarter. The June 2022 quarter decline is more than twice the $40.1 billion fall in the March 2022 quarter. The two consecutive quarters of declining household net worth follow ten consecutive quarters of gains.  

The latest edition of our finance and property news digest with a distinctively Australian flavour.

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

The Wild Rides Continue…

Once again, volatility continues to surge, as the S&P 500 gave up gains on Thursday driven by rising Treasury yields despite the bulk of quarterly results suggesting corporate America is in better shape than feared. Recession fears are growing. More broadly the stresses and strains are showing across UK Politics, Oil, and Investment Banking, so we will touch on all these in today’s post.

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The US Housing Market Is Cooling…

Latest US data shows housing starts is falling, as mortgage rates rise. One reason what the markets slide on Wednesday. Ahead, expectations of future earnings are down – just another reason to expect weaker markets, as bond yields continue to track higher.

The latest edition of our finance and property news digest with a distinctively Australian flavour.

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

The Unemployment Numbers Disappoint!

The ABS data today was a bit of a shock, compared with expectations, as the data indicated a slowing of the employment market.

https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/labour/employment-and-unemployment/labour-force-australia/sep-2022

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Today’s post is brought to you by Ribbon Property Consultants.

Food Inflation Still Haunts The Halls…

The latest data from New Zealand, the UK and Canada highlights how embedded higher food prices are, something which also came through in recent ABS figures.

Even if petrol prices slide a little (and OPEC+ is trying to reverse that), many households will be wilting under the pressure from everyday costs of living.

And it’s worth noting there are various adjustments to inflation metrics which seem to drive them lower – I wonder why?

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FINAL REMINDER: DFA Live Q&A Property Now With Chris Bates 8pm Sydney Tonight

Join me for a live discussion about the current state of the property market, with Mortgage Broker Chris Bates from wealthful.com.au

You can ask a question live.

Links to upcoming events:

Meet the Managers Forum Wednesday 19/10/22 6:30-8pm:
https://www.eventbrite.com/e/meet-the-managers-tickets-410294761677?aff=wtw to register.

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/