Residential Building Hotspots – HIA

The latest HIA/ACI Population and Residential Building Hotspots Report shows Western Australia again dominating the latest league table, with Victoria and New South Wales also strongly represented. Nationally, a “Hotspot” is defined as a local area where population growth exceeds the national rate and where the value of residential building work approved is in excess of $100 million. Local areas featuring on the Building Momentum shortlist have demonstrated consistently strong rates of population growth in recent years in addition to an increase in the estimated value of new home building work approved in 2014/15.

HIA-Hotspot-Map-May-2015  Six of the top twenty Hotspots were in Western Australia, followed by Victoria with five and New South Wales with four. For a second consecutive year, it was the Australian Capital Territory that was home to Australia’s number one building and population Hotspot – the territory’s South West area. Second place was the Northern Territory’s Palmerston South area. The ACT was also home to Australia’s number three Hotspot, the suburb of Crace.

HIA-Hotspots-May-2015This year’s Hotspots report also provides a Building Momentum shortlist which identifies a number of regions where further upward momentum in building activity is set to occur in 2015. Strong potential is evident for local areas in NSW in particular, while WA and Victoria also feature quite broadly. In contrast, the ACT does not feature on this shortlist, signalling that the experience of recent years – where a number of ACT areas have been strongly represented among the Nation’s Top 20 Hotspots – is unlikely to be replicated next year.

HIA-MOmentum-HIA-May-2015

Land Prices Driven Higher – HIA-CoreLogic RP Data

The latest HIA-CoreLogic RP Data Residential Land Report provided by the Housing Industry Association, and CoreLogic RP Data, signals disequilibrium between demand and available supply in vacant residential land.

Whilst the number of residential land sales fell by 11.8 per cent over the year to the December 2014 quarter, the weighted median residential land value increased by 2.8 per cent in the December 2014 quarter to be up by 6.3 per cent over the year. The increase in the weighted median value was driven primarily by Sydney, with significant growth also evident for Perth and Melbourne.

As with all aspects of this housing cycle, there are wide divergences in land market conditions around the country – this is clearly evident across the six capital cities and 41 regional areas covered in the Residential Land Report. Construction of detached houses looks to be peaking for the cycle, but there is unrealised demand out there because of that lack of readily available and affordable land.

The price of residential land per square metre increased in Sydney, Melbourne and Perth in the December 2014 quarter, with Sydney remaining the country’s most expensive land market by some margin. Across regional Australia, the most expensive residential land markets are the Gold Coast and the Sunshine Coast in Queensland, and the Richmond-Tweed region in New South Wales. The least expensive markets can be found in the South East region of South Australia, and the Mersey-Lyell and Southern regions of Tasmania.

LandSupplyApr2015