Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
"Intelligent Insight"
The latest edition of our finance and property news digest with a distinctively Australian flavour.
“CONTENTS*
0:14 Introduction
0:41 US Markets
5:50 European And UK Markets
7:40 Oil and Gold
8:16 Asian Markets
9:30 PBOC Monetary Policy
17:55 Japan
19:13 Australian Markets
22:45 Crypto
25:50 Summary And Close
Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/
Another Friday canter through Tarric’s latest slides, as we look at the disconnect between monetary policy and real life. Is Australia somehow different?
Charts are here: https://avidcom.substack.com/p/charts-that-matter-25th-november?sd=pf
Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/
What if the RBA’s monetary policy is too weak? Perhaps we are not as exceptional, and we may be following parallel tracks to those in New Zealand and The Federal Reserve. How different are we really?
Today’s post is brought to you by Ribbon Property Consultants.
If you are buying your home in Sydney’s contentious market, you do not need to stand alone. This is the time you need to have Edwin from Ribbon Property Consultants standing along side you.
Buying property, is both challenging and adversarial. The vendor has a professional on their side.
Emotions run high – price discovery and price transparency are hard to find – then there is the wasted time and financial investment you make.
Edwin understands your needs. So why not engage a licensed professional to stand alongside you. With RPC you know you have: experience, knowledge, and master negotiators, looking after your best interest.
Shoot Ribbon an email on info@ribbonproperty.com.au & use promo code: DFA-WTW/MARTIN to receive your 10% DISCOUNT OFFER.
The latest edition of our finance and property news digest with a distinctively Australian flavour.
In another wild week, where FED speak on one hand, and hopium on the other drove markets all over the show, the Dow ended higher on Friday as investors weighed up further hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve officials, and the latest wave of quarterly results from retailers. Looking to the shortened trading week ahead, the Fed’s minutes from its October meeting will garner investor attention for clues on the central bank’s thinking on monetary policy.
Chief Hawk, St. Louis Fed President Bullard said this week that “Thus far, the change in the monetary policy stance appears to have had only limited effects on observed inflation,” in an analysis by the St. Louis Fed that debated the appropriate rate regime for the central bank after six increases since March.
Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/
A quick market update and a deep dive in the UK’s budget announcement, which was as political as it gets! The headline is households will go backwards, as unemployment rises, and a 2-year recession is likely. Worse, personal income tax bands are frozen, so the total tax take will be bigger than ever!
Investment allowances have been cut, and the future Government spending cuts have been pushed out beyond the next election.
The cost of debt to the Government rises.
This scenario is one we should expect to see playing out in other economies too. Living standards will drop.
Today’s post is brought to you by Ribbon Property Consultants.
If you are buying your home in Sydney’s contentious market, you do not need to stand alone. This is the time you need to have Edwin from Ribbon Property Consultants standing along side you.
Buying property, is both challenging and adversarial. The vendor has a professional on their side.
Emotions run high – price discovery and price transparency are hard to find – then there is the wasted time and financial investment you make.
Edwin understands your needs. So why not engage a licensed professional to stand alongside you. With RPC you know you have: experience, knowledge, and master negotiators, looking after your best interest.
Shoot Ribbon an email on info@ribbonproperty.com.au & use promo code: DFA-WTW/MARTIN to receive your 10% DISCOUNT OFFER.
Join us at 8pm Sydney time for our regular live event this week we will be looking at the latest ructions in Crypto, and what we can learn from it, as well as how Central Bank Digital Currencies are playing into the argument.
If one Bitcoin always worth one Bitcoin, how does the concept of “trust” play into the evolution of digital finance?
Monday ended up a down day on Wall Street ‘s main indexes ended lower on Monday, as investors digested comments from U.S. Federal Reserve officials about plans for interest rate hikes.
Losses accelerated toward the end of the up-and-down session, with focus turning to Tuesday’s producer price index report and markets highly sensitive to inflation data. real estate and discretionary sectors leading broad declines.
The Fed Outings included Christopher Waller on Sunday who said the Fed may consider slowing the pace of increases at its next meeting but that should not be seen as a “softening” in its commitment to lower inflation. Monetary policy tightening “isn’t ending in the next meeting or two”, and Fed Vice Chair Lael Brainard who signalled that the central bank would likely soon slow its interest rates hikes but added that there still was “additional work to do on raising rates.”
“There is still a sensitivity to Fed speak… One was a little hawkish, one was a little dovish,” said Eric Kuby, chief investment officer at North Star Investment Management Corp.
Today’s post is brought to you by Ribbon Property Consultants.
As the collapse of Sam Bankman-Fried’s FTX crypto exchange ricochets through the industry, this has not been a good week for Bitcoin and the Crypto community more generally.
And now we are beginning to see arguments emerging suggesting first that Bitcoin is not the same a Crypto, and second, we see Digital asset exchanges rushing to reassure clients that their funds are safe.
For example, Coinbase sent an email to customers explaining “how Coinbase’s business is different and ultimately better protects” customer accounts and assets. Yet the biggest crypto exchange Binance’s chief executive warned last week of the potential for a “cascading” crisis in the crypto sector in the wake of FTX’s failure, which he said could resemble the 2008 global financial crisis.
The total value of Crypto including Bitcoin fell again to around $940 billion US dollars, compared with a peak of over 3 trillion dollars. So Crypto is under the microscope as never before.
https://youtu.be/lOjdw5l_Ngg – DFA Live Tuesday 15th Nov 2022
Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/
I caught up with Senator Rennick (LNP Queensland) after his recent outings in Senate Estimates and his speech on Superannuation. We explored the broader economic issues which we face, and why we need some different approaches from our regulators and the RBA.
Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/
Global stocks rallied on Friday for a second day on hopes cooler U.S. inflation would lead to less aggressive interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, an outlook that pushed the dollar to its biggest two-day drop in 13 years.
On Wall Street, stocks rose to add to the prior day’s biggest daily percentage gains for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq in more than 2-1/2 years after year-over-year inflation in October fell below 8% for the first time in eight months.
“We got a potential view that the Fed may not need to get as horrible as we thought over the last couple of weeks,” Marvin Loh, senior global macro strategist at State Street in Boston, said about the market’s exuberance. “Risk could be stabilizing here.” The Fed has no choice but to press on, but if inflation is no longer rising, that indicates the end of more extensive tightening may be near, Loh said.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.1%, the S&P 500 gained 0.92% and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 1.88%. Energy stocks rose more than 3%, buoyed by rising oil prices as China eased some of its Covid-19 restrictions, stoking hopes for a jump in demand.
The banks rose, with ANZ up 1.48%, CBA up 1.7%, NAB up 1.15% and Westpac up 1.99%. Macquarie was up 5.6%. So old world financials did well.
Where as in Crypto Pain land. Sam Bankman-Fried’s digital-asset empire filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy, capping the downfall of one of crypto’s wealthiest and most influential moguls and his collection of high-flying ventures including exchanges and a massive trading operation.
At his peak, crypto mogul Sam Bankman-Fried was worth $26 billion. At the start of this week, he still had $16 billion. Following the collapse of his crypto exchange FTX and his Alameda Research trading house, his assets in the Bahamas have been frozen by the authorities, he’s being investigated by the US Securities and Exchange Commission for potential violations of securities rules, and regulators in Cyprus are poised to suspend his license to operate in Europe. By Thursday, the Bloomberg Billionaires Index was valuing FTX’s US business at $1, down from $8 billion in January. That’s not a typo. One dollar.
Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/