We look at the latest from our surveys ahead of our live show on Tuesday 11th March, where we deep dive on post code analysis.
Despite the political spin, many households are caught in a cash flow crisis, thanks to rising prices, interest rates and frozen tax bands which means that despite of some small income growth (not for all though) households are exposed to cash flow pressures.
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Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/
I am pleased to report Edwin is back, for a belated rant on Wednesday this week. We discuss the latest economic update, as the economy continues to be supported by Government spending, the latest moves on home prices, the question of “green” bank loans, and lots more.
The tip of the week was especially relevant!
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Today’s post is brought to you by Ribbon Property Consultants.
If you are buying your home in Sydney’s contentious market, you do not need to stand alone. This is the time you need to have Edwin from Ribbon Property Consultants standing along side you.
Buying property, is both challenging and adversarial. The vendor has a professional on their side.
Emotions run high – price discovery and price transparency are hard to find – then there is the wasted time and financial investment you make.
Edwin understands your needs. So why not engage a licensed professional to stand alongside you. With RPC you know you have: experience, knowledge, and master negotiators, looking after your best interest.
Shoot Ribbon an email on info@ribbonproperty.com.au & use promo code: DFA-WTW/MARTIN to receive your 10% DISCOUNT OFFER.
In this show I look at the latest home price trends, and other data which is showing the pressure of houses and businesses. Prices may be on the turn, but affordability is still a critical issue.
Edwin, our property insider was absent today, hope he will be well enough for a return later in the week, but we will see…
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Details of our one to one service are here: https://digitalfinanceanalytics.com/blog/dfa-one-to-one/
Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/
Property Insider Edwin Almeida and I discuss the latest shocks from the new cycle (don’t shoot the messenger!) and pick over the latest from the property market. Who are the winners and losers?
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http://www.martinnorth.com/
Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/
Find more at https://digitalfinanceanalytics.com/blog/ where you can subscribe to our research alerts
Today’s post is brought to you by Ribbon Property Consultants.
If you are buying your home in Sydney’s contentious market, you do not need to stand alone. This is the time you need to have Edwin from Ribbon Property Consultants standing along side you.
Buying property, is both challenging and adversarial. The vendor has a professional on their side.
Emotions run high – price discovery and price transparency are hard to find – then there is the wasted time and financial investment you make.
Edwin understands your needs. So why not engage a licensed professional to stand alongside you. With RPC you know you have: experience, knowledge, and master negotiators, looking after your best interest.
Shoot Ribbon an email on info@ribbonproperty.com.au & use promo code: DFA-WTW/MARTIN to receive your 10% DISCOUNT OFFER.
This week we look at the list of property “announcables” from Labor and talk about the elephant in the room – demand for property, which is not being addressed. The consequences of all this is obvious for those willing to look beyond the headlines.
Ahead, looks like demand will stay strong, and with more people waiting for the election and RBA cuts, supply of quality property is on the decline.
Today’s post is brought to you by Ribbon Property Consultants.
If you are buying your home in Sydney’s contentious market, you do not need to stand alone. This is the time you need to have Edwin from Ribbon Property Consultants standing along side you.
Buying property, is both challenging and adversarial. The vendor has a professional on their side.
Emotions run high – price discovery and price transparency are hard to find – then there is the wasted time and financial investment you make.
Edwin understands your needs. So why not engage a licensed professional to stand alongside you. With RPC you know you have: experience, knowledge, and master negotiators, looking after your best interest.
Shoot Ribbon an email on info@ribbonproperty.com.au & use promo code: DFA-WTW/MARTIN to receive your 10% DISCOUNT OFFER.
The political games are in full swing now, ahead of the RBA’s rate call on Tuesday and if they do cut, many are calling the starting gun for the election which must be run by May 17, will go off very soon.
So, no surprise at all then to see that housing was in the spotlight again over the weekend, as Housing Minister Clare O’Neil announced that Labor would ban foreign investors from buying established homes for at least two years, replicating the promise made by Opposition Leader Peter Dutton in his budget reply speech last May. The housing minister, said the government had to orient all its efforts into securing home ownership for more young Australians. Nice dog-whistle, right there!
Australia’s housing is some of the most unaffordable in the world and soaring property prices will be a key election issue amid a broader cost-of-living crisis, especially among young voters who fear they will never be able to buy a home.
The government recently passed housing reforms, including a shared equity scheme and tax incentives for developers, to ease cost pressures and achieve a target of building 1.2 million new homes by 2030.
The truth is, throttling back migration to better match the number of new homes being built, and reducing the tax breaks for property investors, and build to rent schemes would have a far greater impact. But then to remind you again, O’Neil all but said she does not want to see prices fall, which they would need to do if more normal affordability ratios were reestablished.
All up this is more about annoucables, than real strategic policy change.
Today’s post is brought to you by Ribbon Property Consultants.
If you are buying your home in Sydney’s contentious market, you do not need to stand alone. This is the time you need to have Edwin from Ribbon Property Consultants standing along side you.
Buying property, is both challenging and adversarial. The vendor has a professional on their side.
Emotions run high – price discovery and price transparency are hard to find – then there is the wasted time and financial investment you make.
Edwin understands your needs. So why not engage a licensed professional to stand alongside you. With RPC you know you have: experience, knowledge, and master negotiators, looking after your best interest.
Shoot Ribbon an email on info@ribbonproperty.com.au & use promo code: DFA-WTW/MARTIN to receive your 10% DISCOUNT OFFER.
As foreshadowed, housing has become a major battleground for the main parties, as record prices, an acute shortage of rental properties and high interest rates combine to significantly reduce affordability. We know that on an international basis, household debt to income ratios in Australia are significantly higher, than even New Zealand and Canada, who both have severe housing crises. Well, done Australia, a direct result of 30 years of bad policy, and overleverage. And weirdly even now, according to IFM data the surge in average loan sizes is behind the inexorable growth in Australian home prices.
Today I want to look at the latest data on new loans from the ABS, in a release which has now gone from monthly to quarterly, so data released this week covers the October to December quarter 2024. Talk about lagged data! The RBA gross debt levels for January reported a significant uplift, especially for investor loans, as I discussed in a recent post. “Is The RBA Really All In For A Rate Cut In February?”
On the way to this analysis though we need to pause on The Treasurers recent announcement that It will soon become easier for Australians with student loan debt to get a mortgage after Treasurer Jim Chalmers instructed the prudential regulator to relax how HECS was treated when banks conducted mortgage serviceability tests.
So we are seeing mortgage debt ballooning, to the benefit of the banks – see CBA’s recent results. When interviewed conveniently the CEO denied that growth in mortgage lending had any significant impact on house prices. But we know of course the strong credit impulse is one of the main drivers of home price growth, supported by greater demand from high migration, tax breaks for investors (many of whom are losing money on a cash flow basis) and lack of appropriate supply.
The whole housing issue is now an election battleground, with The Coalition opposition promising to allow home buyers to raid their superannuation savings for a deposit, and it has committed to watering down responsible lending obligations.
Both sides have policies which will boost housing demand and increase mortgage debt, driving prices higher. As a result, they would make the affordability situation worse.
Remember the word “mortgage” comes from the Old French phrase “morgage” which translates to “death pledge”. The term refers to the pledge ending, or “dying”, when the loan is paid or the property is foreclosed. Given the longer terms of new mortgages, and the later age of getting one, Mortgage defined as a death pledge has never been truer.
But then does ordinary Australians who want a home have any choice but to play this game? Frankly no, because the game is rigged!
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Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/
This is an edit of a live discussion as I walked through my latest analysis at a post code level, looking at financial pressure, and future price scenarios. We focused specifically on property investment by looking at gross and net rental yields, including heat maps of major urban centers. Some are deeply under water!!
http://www.martinnorth.com/
Details of our one to one service are here: https://digitalfinanceanalytics.com/blog/dfa-one-to-one/
Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/
In tonight’s show we catch up on Edwin’s predictions – does NOSTRADAMUS walk among us? We look at the massive rise in Council Tax, and also the rise in listings, but only in some places.
And given the upcoming election we examine some of the early promises being made in the quasi campaign, despite the gap between the promised 1.2 million well sited homes over 5 years and what is happening on the ground.
Edwin also highlights an important issue for a prospective property purchaser – get your paper work in order!
http://www.martinnorth.com/
Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/
Find more at https://digitalfinanceanalytics.com/blog/ where you can subscribe to our research alerts
Today’s post is brought to you by Ribbon Property Consultants.
If you are buying your home in Sydney’s contentious market, you do not need to stand alone. This is the time you need to have Edwin from Ribbon Property Consultants standing along side you.
Buying property, is both challenging and adversarial. The vendor has a professional on their side.
Emotions run high – price discovery and price transparency are hard to find – then there is the wasted time and financial investment you make.
Edwin understands your needs. So why not engage a licensed professional to stand alongside you. With RPC you know you have: experience, knowledge, and master negotiators, looking after your best interest.
Shoot Ribbon an email on info@ribbonproperty.com.au & use promo code: DFA-WTW/MARTIN to receive your 10% DISCOUNT OFFER.
The news outlets are full of more property news, with some spruiking that the hope of a rate cut in February has spurred people into action after the holidays, with a focus on Melbourne property prices rebounding.
So, let’s look at the data and see what is happening. Actually, the January update on prices from PropTrack showing that nationally prices fell just 0.1% in January, to a median value of $796,000.
Clearance rates are another metric in focus, but as I have discussed before they are also full of holes. Specifically, Preliminary clearance rates generally fall as the results of more auctions are collected. Domain reported a 66.6% national clearance but a year ago it was at 60.6%. CoreLogic preliminary data showed that the combined capitals returned a clearance rate of 65%.
As for wants ahead, well of course no one really knows. Which is why I run scenarios, which will be updated shortly. This week we had predictions from KPMG. As discussed in the AFR, KPMG chief economist Brendan Rynne said Melbourne’s house prices are tipped to climb 3.5 per cent this year, rebounding for the first time since last February, and slightly outpacing Sydney, fuelled by improved housing affordability after five years of sluggish growth, while Sydney’s housing values are expected to increase by 3.3 per cent, which is also higher than the 2.5 per cent gain last year.
http://www.martinnorth.com/
Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/
