Pop Goes The Prices?

Westpac says Australia’s housing market boom is showing clearer signs of slowing with sentiment pointing to a decline in turnover through the first half of 2022. More importantly, the medium term outlook has shifted materially with an interest rate tightening cycle now expected to see a broad-based correction phase begin later this year, continuing throughout 2023 and into 2024.

According to Westpac’s February 2022 Housing Pulse report, the housing market boom is showing clear signs of slowing with sentiment pointing to a decline in turnover through the first half of 2022.

The report detailed how inflation and labour market challenges are shaping the view on interest rates, which will impact the property markets and further divergence among states.

As lenders already begin to raise rates, ahead of the Reserve Bank of Australia’s cash rate rise, and house prices soar, a housing “correction” is forecast for 2023 and 2024.

Nationally, prices lifted 2.5 per cent since November 2021, which was a fall from the peak of 7.1 per cent in May 2021, but an annual gain of 21.1 per cent.

The “extraordinary” surge in prices has seen affordability deteriorate with new projections now forecasting house prices will “flatten” by May this year, ahead of a move into outright correction in the December quarter.
Overall, that would see a net gain of just 2 per cent over 2022.
House prices are then forecast to fall 7 per cent in 2023 and by a further 5 per cent in 2024, before stabilising towards the end of that year.

Nationally, the peak to trough fall of 14% is around the average of corrections seen historically.

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Today’s post is brought to you by Ribbon Property Consultants.

If you are buying your home in Sydney’s contentious market, you do not need to stand alone. This is the time you need to have Edwin from Ribbon Property Consultants standing along side you.

Buying property, is both challenging and adversarial. The vendor has a professional on their side.

Emotions run high – price discovery and price transparency are hard to find – then there is the wasted time and financial investment you make.

Edwin understands your needs. So why not engage a licensed professional to stand alongside you. With RPC you know you have: experience, knowledge, and master negotiators, looking after your best interest.

Shoot Ribbon an email on info@ribbonproperty.com.au & use promo code: DFA-WTW/MARTIN to receive your 10% DISCOUNT OFFER.

The Ups And Downs Of Property Prices…

NAB has revised down its outlook for property prices in 2022 and 2023, after predicting the first interest rate hike to occur in November this year.

Property prices are now expected to reach a “turning point” in the second half of 2022 before falling in 2023, according to the latest residential property survey from NAB’s Group Economics, led by group chief economist Alan Oster.

“Overall, we see dwelling prices rising around 3 per cent in 2022 before a decline of around 10 per cent in 2023,” NAB said.

A federal housing affordability inquiry is expected to hand down its final report in the coming weeks outlining recommendations on ways to improve housing affordability.

The Reserve Bank has emphasised the importance of lending standards as housing and business loans have bounced back following lockdowns.

The latest edition of our finance and property news digest with a distinctively Australian flavour.

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Mortgage Rate Hikes Are On The Cards…

Today we look at the latest from New Zealand which is we think a likely leading indicator of what is ahead more widely.

ANZ New Zealand just released a report called More work for the OCR to do. They say, “we have changed our OCR call, adding in 25bp hikes in the April and July Monetary Policy Reviews, in addition to the hikes we were already forecasting at the next four MPSs. This new track sees the OCR reach 2% in August 2022”.

The latest edition of our finance and property news digest with a distinctively Australian flavour.

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Today’s post is brought to you by Ribbon Property Consultants.

If you are buying your home in Sydney’s contentious market, you do not need to stand alone. This is the time you need to have Edwin from Ribbon Property Consultants standing along side you.

Buying property, is both challenging and adversarial. The vendor has a professional on their side.

Emotions run high – price discovery and price transparency are hard to find – then there is the wasted time and financial investment you make.

Edwin understands your needs. So why not engage a licensed professional to stand alongside you. With RPC you know you have: experience, knowledge, and master negotiators, looking after your best interest.

Shoot Ribbon an email on info@ribbonproperty.com.au & use promo code: DFA-WTW/MARTIN to receive your 10% DISCOUNT OFFER.

FINAL REMINDER: DFA Live Q&A 8pm Sydney Tonight With Veronica Morgan – Property Now

Join us for a live Q&A as I discuss the latest from the property market with Veronica Morgan, the Founder and Principal of Good Deeds Property Buyers.

We will be discussing the role of Buyers Agent, and some of the tips and traps related to using them, as well as a broader discussion about the property sector.

Veronica is running a survey on Truth, Trust & Transparency in Real Estate. We will discuss this tonight – here is a link to the survey: https://docs.google.com/forms/d/1T4Zbvd7UsRr_fiqJuR34BHp3wFd6sYIQyRr8PiIJAOo/edit

Veronica is also the co-host of the popular series Location Location Location Australia and Relocation Relocation Australia with Bryce Holdaway on Foxtel’s The Lifestyle Channel Australia. Veronica also co-hosts the Your First Home Buyer Guide podcast & The Elephant in the Room property podcast, which investigates who is really in control when you buy property. She’s also co-founded Home Buyer Academy, which provides online support for first home buyers so they can get onto the property ladder without making costly mistakes. https://gooddeeds.com.au/veronica-morgan-good-deeds-team/

You can ask a question live via the YouTube Chat.

Let’s Stoke House Prices Some More…

The Victorian Government announced an expanded new $500m Homebuyer Fund will see tax payers own part of up to 3,000 homes. Most recipients of the Victorian Homebuyers Fund will need to have a 5 per cent deposit, with the government chipping in up to 25 per cent on top of that. The government will keep that stake in the home until the property is sold or the owner buys out its share. However, the opposition has accused the government of giving with one hand and taking away with the other because of hikes in stamp duty and land tax.

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-10-08/victoria-announces-500m-home-buyers-fund/100523938

We discuss why this is a bad idea, and a million miles from the strategic approach to home ownership which is required. It also pulls in the opposite direction to APRA’s tightening this week!

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Risks Are Building – Mortgage Holders Are In The Front Line

The latest edition of our finance and property news digest with a distinctively Australian flavour.

In today’s show we look at the impact of the rising home prices around the world – against the rising debt, and consider some of the risks lurking below the waterline. How real is the wealth effect, and what happens if borrowing rates were to rise?

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/