Category: Property Market

Home Prices ”T’is But A Flesh Wound…”

The prospect of another interest rate rise on Melbourne Cup day has shaken buyers’ confidence, sending auction clearance rates to their lowest level in seven months, data from CoreLogic shows.

Preliminary results show 68.5 per cent of the reported auctions across the combined capital cities were successful, which is 2.3 percentage points lower than the previous week and weaker than the average for this time of the year.

It comes as the number of homes taken to auction soared to 3383, which is the largest volume since the week before Easter last year.

Tim Lawless, CoreLogic research director, said such a large number of auctions was always going to test the depth of buyer demand. “Basically, it has not passed the test as shown by the lower clearance rates, which lines up with renewed speculation that interest rates are about to go higher once again,” he said.

And as reported in the AFR, a build-up in home listings and worsening affordability slashed the rate of house price growth by a third to 1.9 per cent across the combined capital cities during the September quarter, a new report from Domain shows.

Nicola Powell, Domain’s chief of research and economics, said the pace of price increases would moderate further amid rising supply, but the prospect of another interest rate increase was unlikely to halt the broader upswing and reverse the earlier gains. We will see!

http://www.martinnorth.com/

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Its Edwin’s Monday Evening Property Rant!

More from our property insider Edwin Almeida, as we discuss the migration question, granny flats, risks from above 4 story high-rise, and the rental crisis. Plus we look at the latest from the WeeChat universe.

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Today’s post is brought to you by Ribbon Property Consultants.

Australia’s Stark Population Choice…

There is a critical issue now on the table, and it relates to what the right level of migration should be. In recent times, the taps have been open more than ever before, and there are significant consequences for households, and housing affordability. Some are now calling for a significant cut in migration, others are celebrating the potential for more home prices rises, as demand outstrips supply across the country.

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

The Great Property Paperchase… With Tarric Brooker

Another Friday chat with Tarric Brooker, complete with charts on the housing market. We look at what is really driving the disequilibrium in the sector, and what the consequences are for people trying to access the market.

You can follow the charts here: https://avidcom.substack.com/p/dfa-chart-pack-20th-october-2023

And read Tarric’s article on housing here: https://avidcom.substack.com/p/in-australia-housing-is-the-economy

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Pulling Up The Drawbridge On Home Ownership!

One stunning chart which I keep coming back to is the change in income and home prices overtime. It shows simply that housing is becoming more and more unaffordable. We also know that more households have bigger mortgages and so are heavily exposed to higher rates, and that many will still have mortgages well into retirement. Our debt ratios are some of the most extreme across the world, as I have been reporting for years. Great for banks, as they reap interest payments, bad for society. In fact, I believe we are at the point where the drawbridge is being pulled up making it harder than ever to get on to the property ladder or stay there.

Few policies are more harmful to young Australians seeking a place to live than forcing them to compete for housing with hundreds of thousands of new migrants each year.

Future Australians will have to make do with cramped shoe box homes owned by corporations and landlords.

Essentially, the property ownership drawbridge is being progressively raised – but this is by design, not accident. I hope post the voice, Albo and Co will get serious about correcting their mistakes, but frankly I am not holding my breath.

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Today’s post is brought to you by Ribbon Property Consultants.

Its Edwin’s Monday Evening Property Rant!

The latest edition with our property insider Edwin Almeida. We look at the latest “plans” to boost housing, celebrate a 60th anniversary, dissect the latest numbers, and explore why investor property is not working for so many investors as they chose to sell.

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Today’s post is brought to you by Ribbon Property Consultants.

If you are buying your home in Sydney’s contentious market, you do not need to stand alone. This is the time you need to have Edwin from Ribbon Property Consultants standing along side you.

Buying property, is both challenging and adversarial. The vendor has a professional on their side.

Emotions run high – price discovery and price transparency are hard to find – then there is the wasted time and financial investment you make.

Edwin understands your needs. So why not engage a licensed professional to stand alongside you. With RPC you know you have: experience, knowledge, and master negotiators, looking after your best interest.

Shoot Ribbon an email on info@ribbonproperty.com.au & use promo code: DFA-WTW/MARTIN to receive your 10% DISCOUNT OFFER.

Property Investors Are Quitting Like Lemmings!

In my stress surveys I have been calling out the pressures on renters and property investors, especially in the Centre of Melbourne and other inner-city areas across the country.

The math is obvious. Despite rental increases, there is a limit on how much property investors can lift them, as renters are under pressure already. And property investors are also faced with significantly higher interest charges and other costs, to the point that the proportion of investors making cash flow positive returns has dropped to an all time low. Given that capital appreciation, the only other growth lever, is at best anemic, and in some cases non-existent, and the fact that you can now get 5 per cent of more on other investments, including term deposits and bonds, investors are continuing to bail. Inner City apartments are on the front line, as listings grow.

The AFR picked this topic up in an recent article, saying low capital gains and the large increase in holding costs are prompting more residential property investors to bail out of inner Melbourne and Sydney markets, data from CoreLogic shows.

The portion of investor-owned listings has ballooned to 60 per cent across Melbourne city over the three months to the September quarter, up from 56.7 per cent from the previous quarter and a sharp jump from the 50.9 per cent share a year ago.

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Today’s post is brought to you by Ribbon Property Consultants.

If you are buying your home in Sydney’s contentious market, you do not need to stand alone. This is the time you need to have Edwin from Ribbon Property Consultants standing along side you.

Buying property, is both challenging and adversarial. The vendor has a professional on their side.

Emotions run high – price discovery and price transparency are hard to find – then there is the wasted time and financial investment you make.

Edwin understands your needs. So why not engage a licensed professional to stand alongside you. With RPC you know you have: experience, knowledge, and master negotiators, looking after your best interest.

Shoot Ribbon an email on info@ribbonproperty.com.au & use promo code: DFA-WTW/MARTIN to receive your 10% DISCOUNT OFFER.

The New Zealand Economy In A Nutshell

Today I want to dissect some the latest data from New Zealand. In summary, inflation and costs of living continue to bite, more households are in financial distress, inward migration is at a record high, but the property market remains in the doldrums. Worth thinking about ahead of the general election at the weekend.

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

DFA Live Q&A HD Replay: Household Finances And Mortgage Stress Update

This is an edit of a live discussion using data from our core market model. We look at the latest mortgage stress data, and answer viewers questions.

Which post codes are most impacted, and what are the implications?

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Caveat Emptor! Note: this is NOT financial or property advice!!