Australian Housing Is Broken!

The proportion of Australians who own their home outright has halved over two decades for most age groups while the proportion of people with mortgages in retirement years has tripled.

Data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics shows that outright home ownership has more than halved for 25 to 54-year-olds between 2001 and 2021. At the same time, the number of mortgage holders and renters across all age groups has ballooned.

The number of Australians who own their homes outright has plummeted over the last 20 years.

The proportion of Australians who completely own their property has fallen by 11 percentage points according to the latest census data.
According to the recent Census data, which counted 25,422,788 Australians the proportion of Australians who own a home outright dropped from 41.6 per cent in 1996 to 31 per cent in 2021.

The same data also noted that, over the last 25 years, the number of Australians who owned a home with a mortgage also doubled, rising by 96.8 per cent.

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The Property Crash Is Just Getting Started…

Following the Reserve Bank’s double rate hike, big banks have lifted all their variable mortgage rates by 0.5 percentage points.

As a result, the average variable borrower will have seen their rate rise by 1.25 percentage points since the start of May.

That means someone with a $500,000 mortgage, with 25 years remaining, will see their repayments increase by an estimated $333 in total across the three hikes, RateCity.com.au said.

While variable rate borrowers with loans with CBA, NAB, and ANZ will be charged a higher interest rate starting today, it will take weeks for their monthly repayments to rise. In fact, the increase in monthly repayments many of these customers are currently seeing resulted from the May hike.
This is because banks typically give 20 to 32 days’ notice before lifting their monthly repayments, despite charging their customers the higher rate from the effective date.

Even then, the increase to their monthly repayment might not take effect for another few weeks, depending on when they are due.

UBS has predicted interest rates will peak at around 3.5 per cent in March next year, but said this will still hit the housing market hard.

“We still think market pricing of about 3.5 per cent – if delivered – would likely crash housing, and see the economy nearing a recession,” George Tharenou, chief economist at UBS, told The Australian.

If interest rates were to rise to 3.5 per cent it would likely see the average variable mortgage rate hit a whopping 6 per cent and could plunge the economy into recession, according to the investment bank.

“Interest payments across the economy next year for the household sector will close to double from now,” Mr Tharenou said.

“We have never seen such a sharp increase in repayments. That really crushes household cashflow next year when you have cost-of-living issues.”

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Today’s post is brought to you by Ribbon Property Consultants.

If you are buying your home in Sydney’s contentious market, you do not need to stand alone. This is the time you need to have Edwin from Ribbon Property Consultants standing along side you.

Buying property, is both challenging and adversarial. The vendor has a professional on their side.

Emotions run high – price discovery and price transparency are hard to find – then there is the wasted time and financial investment you make.

Edwin understands your needs. So why not engage a licensed professional to stand alongside you. With RPC you know you have: experience, knowledge, and master negotiators, looking after your best interest.

Shoot Ribbon an email on info@ribbonproperty.com.au & use promo code: DFA-WTW/MARTIN to receive your 10% DISCOUNT OFFER.

New Zealand Home Prices Take A Dive In June…

The REINZ released their latest reports to June 2022, and were are pains to talk about the annual price movements, not the monthly changes, which was down 1.9% overall.

And according to their HPI you can see why. There is the remnants of a run up, which masks the falls following the RBNZ rate hikes which started late last year. Falls are in play almost universally, including the Upper North Island, Lower North Island and the South Island. But there are some variations.

The largest one-month falls were in Wellington City, down 5.7%, Dunedin City down 3.6%, Nelson down 2.9% and Queenstown down 2.4%. In the North, Turanga City fell 4.3%, Hastings 3.9%, Palmerston North 3.3% and Auckland City 2.8%. On the other hand, Rotorua was up 2.3%, Upper Hutt up 1.6% and Christchurch City up 0.6%, the same as Auckland’s North Shore City.

They did concede listings were up, days on market were increasing, and the proportion of sales via auctions were falling.

They refer to their median price calculations, where the median change was up 1.2% across the country, or 1.5% seasonally adjusted. But the spin machine was in full misdirection mode in their report.

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

DFA Live Q&A HD Replay: The Approaching Storm With Tony Locantro

This is an edited version of a live discussion about the current state of the markets with Investment Manager Tony Locantro from Alto Capital, in Perth.

https://www.altocapital.com.au/

Original stream and chat: https://youtu.be/8G-RnSdcgOg

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Its Edwin’s Monday Evening Property Rant!

Our latest property-related chat with Edwin Almeida, our property insider as we look at the latest from China in terms of new migrants, listing numbers, real estate agent behaviour, and the shape of the market. And we have Edwin’s latest hot tip.

https://www.ribbonproperty.com.au/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

The Dominos They Are Afallin’: With Tarric Brooker

My latest chat on a Friday afternoon with Journalist Tarric Brooker, covering the latest economic and financial news, courtesy of his famous slides. https://avidcom.substack.com/p/charts-that-matter-8th-july-2022

You can follow him on Twitter @AvidCommentator

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Mortgage Stress Even Higher!

We review the latest analysis from our surveys – as discussed in a number of TV and radio interviews over the past couple of days.

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Today’s post is brought to you by Ribbon Property Consultants.

If you are buying your home in Sydney’s contentious market, you do not need to stand alone. This is the time you need to have Edwin from Ribbon Property Consultants standing along side you.

Buying property, is both challenging and adversarial. The vendor has a professional on their side.

Emotions run high – price discovery and price transparency are hard to find – then there is the wasted time and financial investment you make.

Edwin understands your needs. So why not engage a licensed professional to stand alongside you. With RPC you know you have: experience, knowledge, and master negotiators, looking after your best interest.

Shoot Ribbon an email on info@ribbonproperty.com.au & use promo code: DFA-WTW/MARTIN to receive your 10% DISCOUNT OFFER.

FINAL REMINDER: DFA Live Q&A Property Now With Chris Bates 8pm Sydney

Join us for a live discussion about the current state of the markets with Chris Bates from Wealthful, on the day the RBA will lift rates again. You can ask a question live.

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/