I caught up with George Markoski from Positive Property Solutions, to discuss the current state of the property markets.
Prices as falling, borrowing power is dropping and interest rates are rising, so where to from here?
I am often asked to debate with those who are bullish on property ahead, so we had an interesting discussion, with some points of agreement, but also some important differences about future prospects. Who convinced you more?
George can be found at https://positiveproperty.net/
Note there is no commercial relationship with George, and I am not in any way endorsing his programme.
Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/
My latest Monday evening chat with our property insider Edwin Almeida. We look at the latest from China, consider the rise in chickens at Edwin’s place, and reflect on the resignation of a Building Reform champion.
Plus the latest on the numbers, and a discussion on land banking. And you can play spot the pussy cat… somewhere through the show.
https://www.ribbonproperty.com.au/
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This is a first take on the latest results from our models, which shows a further rise in mortgage and rental stress (defined in cash flow terms) across Australia. We examine the high-level results by state, segment and post code, and also present the latest stress heat maps, which highlight the growth of pressure in the newly developed zones across the country, as well as in some regional communities. Stress has risen thanks to rising costs of living, increasing mortgage and rents, while real incomes continue to fall.
We also include some suggestions as to how to manage stress. Call the National Debt Helpline on 1800 007 007 for free and confidential advice from professional financial counsellors. But be careful of those offering advice for a fee, it is big business, and many who are struggling are being conned.
Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/
We unpick the “supply-side” problems which are often blamed for high home prices, and in the light of a recent report, find that Land Banking is a significant issue, as large players hold on to land parcels to exploit prices rises. This means you cannot solve affordability by changing planning rules! In addition, there is significant information asymmetry and financial players benefit from the current arrangements – while State and Federal Governments look the other way.
Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/
This is an edited version of our latest live discussion about the current state of the financial markets with Damien Klassen Head of Investments at Walk The World Funds and Nucleus Wealth. Included live questions from the audience.
Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/
Join us for a live discussion about the current state of the financial markets with Damien Klassen Head of Investments at Walk The World Funds and Nucleus Wealth. You can ask a question live.
Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/
Edwin Almeida, our Property Insider joins us through another ramble through the latest property news, including rooster cam, news from China, and the latest in listings numbers. We also look at the latest articles and consider the impact of the recent rains on high-rise property in particular. Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/
We look at the latest data as forecasters indicate a rise in mortgage rates as the RBA tackles inflation, leads to reduced lending, and risks of stagflation or recession.
Today’s post is brought to you by Ribbon Property Consultants. If you are buying your home in Sydney’s contentious market, you do not need to stand alone. This is the time you need to have Edwin from Ribbon Property Consultants standing along side you. Buying property, is both challenging and adversarial. The vendor has a professional on their side. Emotions run high – price discovery and price transparency are hard to find – then there is the wasted time and financial investment you make. Edwin understands your needs. So why not engage a licensed professional to stand alongside you. With RPC you know you have: experience, knowledge, and master negotiators, looking after your best interest. Shoot Ribbon an email on info@ribbonproperty.com.au & use promo code: DFA-WTW/MARTIN to receive your 10% DISCOUNT OFFER.
It started as an act of protest by fed-up apartment buyers in a single project in a city in central China.
Now tens of thousands of people around the country are withholding payments on their mortgages for homes that developers, including China Evergrande Group, have yet to finish.The movement has since spread to at least 301 projects in about 91 cities according to figures from a crowdsourced document titled “WeNeedHome.”
Tracking the extent of the protest has grown increasingly difficult after China began censoring in mid-July crowdsourced online documents tallying the number of boycotts. Such shared files have been a key source of data for global investors and researchers.
Real estate accounts for about 78% of household wealth in China—double the US rate—and families typically save for years and borrow from friends and family to purchase a home. As the Evergrande debacle unfolded last year, many market watchers said that the financial contagion would be limited by the fact that homebuyers in China often pay in cash.
But some did use mortgages, and the boycott underscores how much of the pain of the crisis has fallen on households. China’s outstanding mortgages stood at 38.3 trillion yuan at the end of 2021, according to the People’s Bank of China. GF Securities Co. expects that up to 2 trillion yuan ($296 billion) of mortgages could be impacted by the collective refusals. That’s the total balance of the loans; the amount that could be withheld will be smaller.
Should every buyer default, that would lead to a 388 billion-yuan increase in nonperforming loans, Jefferies’s said. Banks say the impact is much lower still. Lenders have detailed about 2.11 billion yuan of loans at risk from the protests, according toa tally of banks that have disclosed their exposure.
The wildcat boycott on loans worth as much as 2 trillion yuan ($296 billion) threatens to deepen China’s real estate slump by shifting focus from the country’s embattled property companies to its massive banks. Lenders have relied on mortgages as their safest source of revenue as Covid lockdowns stifle growth.
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