Seeking Property Smoke Signals…

Real estate sales are facing headwinds as buyers and sellers grow more wary ahead of the federal election campaign and deal with affordability problems and the prospect of rising interest rates.

And there are Easter and the school holidays.

Data from SQM Research shows “Vendors are racing to sell to make the most of the current strong prices and before the market softened further,” SQM Research managing director Louis Christopher said.

“Sellers now understand that this is probably as good as it gets when it comes to selling, with the federal election and rate hikes looming, buyers are likely to stay on the sidelines.”

Buyers’ advocate David Morrell believes uncertainty, ranging from the federal election to rising interest rates, has caused buyers and sellers to “hit the pause button”.

“The market is in a state of flux as people look for a smoke signal telling them where the market is going,” Mr Morrell said. “Others are pulling up stumps before Easter.”

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Today’s post is brought to you by Ribbon Property Consultants.

If you are buying your home in Sydney’s contentious market, you do not need to stand alone. This is the time you need to have Edwin from Ribbon Property Consultants standing along side you.

Buying property, is both challenging and adversarial. The vendor has a professional on their side.

Emotions run high – price discovery and price transparency are hard to find – then there is the wasted time and financial investment you make.

Edwin understands your needs. So why not engage a licensed professional to stand alongside you. With RPC you know you have: experience, knowledge, and master negotiators, looking after your best interest.

Shoot Ribbon an email on info@ribbonproperty.com.au & use promo code: DFA-WTW/MARTIN to receive your 10% DISCOUNT OFFER.

Below The Budget Blizzard

I have to say last week’s media coverage of the Budget was at least sycophantic, at worst deceptive. Take the Tele’s working class plan headline. The coverage missed the point, and in fact the short term-cash splash – aka bribe will soon be totally consumed, and people will generally be worse off.

There were a couple of high points in the online media though which go to the heart of the story. This from Alan Kohler in the New Daily, focussing on the strategic errors which were made in 2020, thus creating a higher than needed debt burden for the country.

And this from Michael West Media, By Callum Foote arguing that Frydenberg hides $30 a week tax increase for most Australians.

Treasurer Frydenberg announced a number of cost-of-living measures in his budget speech.

These include a one-off $250 cost of living tax offset for more than 10 million low and middle-income earners, a boost to people receiving the low and middle-income tax offset by $420 for the 2021-22 financial year as well as halving the fuel excise for six months.

What the Treasurer didn’t say is that the additional $420 tax offset for low and middle-income earners he mentioned will stop entirely at the end of this financial year, on June 30.

The extra cash bumps the tax offset up to $1500 this year which ends on June 30.

This means that despite the extra cash given to them this year, those on this tax offset will be $1500, or almost $30 per week, worse off.

New Zealand Housing Inequality Grinds On

There was a significant piece in The Conversation by Claire Dale, Research Fellow At The University of Auckland – titled The coming storm for New Zealand’s future retirees: still renting and not enough savings to avoid poverty

A large number of New Zealanders are facing a perfect storm at retirement, with minimal savings and no house, raising the risk that thousands will enter old age in poverty.

According to the latest retirement expenditure guidelines from Massey University, a two-person retiree household living an urban “choices” lifestyle, which includes some luxuries, would need to have saved NZ$809,000. In the provinces, a couple would need to have saved $511,000.

New Zealanders have traditionally relied on owning a home to support themselves during their retirement years. But many of the New Zealanders now aged between 50 and 65 – a cohort of almost half a million people – will go into retirement as renters after skyrocketing house prices over the last three decades put home ownership out of reach.

At the same time, this generation were already working adults when the Labour government introduced KiwiSaver in 2007, and are less likely to have a significant savings cushion.

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

China’s Property Fuse Burns Bright

Every time I look at the Chinese Property Sector, I get a sinking feeling, and a complete contradiction of statements on what is really going on – to the point where it is really hard to know where truth lays.

One report says State-owned developers in China are accelerating plans to tap debt markets in a further sign of easing for the embattled real estate sector, while Beijing takes steps to set up a multi-billion dollar stability fund for the financial industry.

Yet, China’s home sales slump deepened in March, keeping pressure on cash-strapped developers even as policy makers vow to support the property market.

The 100 biggest companies in China’s debt-ridden property industry saw a 53% drop in sales from a year earlier, according to preliminary data from China Real Estate Information Corp. That’s the steepest decline this year.
And one of the biggest developers, said China’s housing market reached a peak last year.

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

New Credit Growth Turns South: Property Prices Falling Ahead?

New data from the ABS shows new lending fro property is falling alongside a fall in first time buyers, and average loan size. So we look at this in the context of high rates as NAB and ANZ lift some rates further. And we review the ABS notes on changes to the data series ahead, so things may change again…

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Today’s post is brought to you by Ribbon Property Consultants.

If you are buying your home in Sydney’s contentious market, you do not need to stand alone. This is the time you need to have Edwin from Ribbon Property Consultants standing along side you.

Buying property, is both challenging and adversarial. The vendor has a professional on their side.

Emotions run high – price discovery and price transparency are hard to find – then there is the wasted time and financial investment you make.

Edwin understands your needs. So why not engage a licensed professional to stand alongside you. With RPC you know you have: experience, knowledge, and master negotiators, looking after your best interest.

Shoot Ribbon an email on info@ribbonproperty.com.au & use promo code: DFA-WTW/MARTIN to receive your 10% DISCOUNT OFFER.

Yield Curve, Recession And The Housing Market: With Tarric Brooker

My latest Friday afternoon chat with Journalist Tarric Brooker, as we discuss the housing market, the impact of rate hikes, and the broader geopolitical issues which are in play.

You can view Tarric’s slides at Avidcom.substack.com. https://avidcom.substack.com/p/charts-that-matter-1st-april-2022?s=w

Tarric is @Avidcommentator in Twitter.

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Where Is Stress Really Going To Hit? – With Steve Mickenbecker

I talk financial stress with Steve from Canstar, as their survey reveals the size of the problem. And we discuss both the cause and potential mitigation strategies.

Steve Mickenbecker is in Canstar’s Group Executive Team, bringing more than 30 years of experience in the Australian financial services industry. As a financial commentator for Canstar, Steve enjoys sharing his expertise across topics such as home loans, superannuation, insurance, mortgages, banking, credit cards, investment, budgeting, money management and more. https://www.canstar.com.au/team-members/steve-mickenbecker/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Injustice For Sterling Is Injustice For All!

Investors in Australia are exposed to considerable risks thanks to the ineffective regulatory environment which has been designed to look after the major financial players as opposed to investors. And remember thanks to the forced superannuation savings scheme, we are forced to comply.

So Robbie Barwick from the Citizens Party and I discuss what needs to be done to make this an election issue.

The fight to clean out financial corruption in Australia – Citizens Party – Live Stream – 31 Mar 22 https://youtu.be/Hnxya-NjHIY

Mobilise! Call MPs in Canberra – demand Labor and Liberals commit to full compensation for Sterling victims

All Australians who support the need to clean up financial corruption, which must include holding ASIC to account for its failures as a regulator, are urged to join in making phone calls this week to the Canberra offices of the Prime Minister, Opposition Leader, Finance Minister, Shadow Finance Minister, and Shadow Minister for Financial Services.

Demand they commit to paying full compensation to Sterling First-Silverlink victims through an Act of Grace payment by the Finance Department – the total cost is $18 million plus interest and expenses.

Demand the Labor Party politicians make this an election pledge.

Tell the politicians (or tell their staff to pass on the message):

• Full compensation is absolutely necessary, for the survival of the elderly and frail victims, who all face eviction and homelessness; and for justice for the victims.
• ASIC failed these victims, who only thought they had paid their rent in advance for the rest of their lives, and didn’t know they were in a managed investment scheme – BUT ASIC DID!
• It is the government’s responsibility that ASIC is a weak and ineffective regulator, due to its “buyer beware” ideology (if you get ripped off it’s your own fault), therefore the government is responsible for ASIC’s failures and for compensating its victims.
• The so-called Compensation Scheme of Last Resort (CSLR) does not yet exist, and under current plans it does not cover the Sterling victims; even if Labor expands the scheme, it is adjudicated by the Australian Financial Complaints Authority (AFCA), which is another agency that is rigged against financial victims and in favour of the perpetrators.
• As the government has the mechanism of an Act of Grace payment to compensate people, it should man up and do so immediately, and then the Sterling case must become the catalyst to overhaul ASIC and make it a proper regulator with teeth, feared by financial predators.

The politicians to call immediately:

Prime Minister Scott Morrison: (02) 6277 7700
Finance Minister Simon Birmingham (02) 6277 7400
Opposition Leader Anthony Albanese (02) 6277 4022
Shadow Finance Minister
Senator Katy Gallagher (02) 6277 3456
Shadow Minister for Financial Services
Stephen Jones (02) 6277 4661

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

A Spotlight On Mitcham 3132

Another from our Spotlight series.

Mitcham is a suburb of Melbourne, Victoria, Australia, 20 km east from Melbourne’s Central Business District. Its local government area is the City of Whitehorse. At the 2016 Census, Mitcham had a population of 16,148.

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/