Yippee – Here Comes Immigration To Save The Property Market!

We all know interest rates are rising, and this is having a significant impact on mortgage underwriting, and so home prices and listing are rising.

But never fear, as the Government has a plan to save the market. Because now we know Labor will use the upcoming Jobs & Skills Summit as cover to launch Australia’s biggest ever immigration program.

So in today’s show we look at what they say, and also discuss the latest negative indicators on listings and auction clearances.

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Today’s post is brought to you by Ribbon Property Consultants. If you are buying your home in Sydney’s contentious market, you do not need to stand alone. This is the time you need to have Edwin from Ribbon Property Consultants standing along side you. Buying property, is both challenging and adversarial. The vendor has a professional on their side. Emotions run high – price discovery and price transparency are hard to find – then there is the wasted time and financial investment you make. Edwin understands your needs. So why not engage a licensed professional to stand alongside you. With RPC you know you have: experience, knowledge, and master negotiators, looking after your best interest.

Shoot Ribbon an email on info@ribbonproperty.com.au & use promo code: DFA-WTW/MARTIN to receive your 10% DISCOUNT OFFER.

Man Versus Machine: A Glimpse into The Fixed World Of Gold

JPMorgan holds tens of billions of dollars in gold in vaults in London, New York and Singapore. It is one of four clearing members of the London market, where global gold prices are set by buying and selling metal held in a few London vaults — including JPMorgan’s and the Bank of England’s.

JPMorgan is the biggest player among a small group of “bullion banks” that dominate the precious metals markets, and thanks to a recent US court case, and the internal documents presented by prosecutors we got a glimpse of just how dominant a role the bank has played and how the Gold market works. In 2010, for example, 40% of all transactions in the gold market were cleared by JPMorgan.

This is important because as I have said many times, the 50 times plus relationship between physical gold holdings and the various derivatives held against it means it is a highly manipulated market, which sits at the heart of the financial system.

So today we will look at the case, and how so called called “spoof” trades — large orders intended to manipulate prices that were quickly canceled works.

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Are We There Yet?

A remarkable division has emerged between those calling we have passed the bottom in the current stock market cycle, and those who say we are right in the middle of a bear market rally which will peter out before a further, and significantly deeper fall ahead.

Why? Because on one hand recent results from many stocks have been pretty good, (though future performance is not guaranteed) while inflation some are thinking has peaked. Yet on the other hand, Central Banks are still lifting rates, and consumer confidence is tanking while home prices are easing. And inflation is still way over target.

So, who will be proved more right? In this week’s market review we will start in the US, go across to Europe and Asia and end in Australia, as well as touching on metals, oil and crypto.

But before I start, a quick request. If you value the content we produce, please do like the post, and consider subscribing to receive future updates. This really makes a difference to us getting our messages out, as views, likes and subscriptions drive the YouTube algo. And a word of thanks to all those who support what we do.

US stocks finished the week on solid footing, with traders assessing whether an inflation slowdown could soon make the Federal Reserve reduce the pace of its most-aggressive tightening campaign in decades and prevent a hard landing. Defying the crowd of sceptics who dubbed the rebound a bear-market rally, short-covering or unwinding of hedges, the S&P 500 notched its fourth straight week of gains — the longest winning run since November — with big tech leading gains on Friday.

The gauge has recouped half of its losses from January through June, topping the so-called 50 per cent Fibonacci retracement level. It’s now sitting about 1.5 per cent below its 200-day average — a threshold crossed by the Russell 2000 gauge of small caps.

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Australians must fight in the new Orwellian Horror!

This week Australia’s living God made international headlines by declaring a research project into crypto currencies.

The Digital Finance Cooperative Research Centre (DFCRC) on a research project to explore use cases for a central bank digital currency (CBDC) in Australia.

https://www.rba.gov.au/media-releases/2022/mr-22-23.html

The RBA announce coincides with the announcement by the Senate Select Committee on Australia as a Technology and Financial Centre.

Australians need to ensure that the RBA and the Federal Parliament does not impose totalitarian control through the Central Bank Digital Currency. Australia is headed down a path with little democratic consent and there is a lot of uncertainty were public policy is going in Australia.

There is a possibility that CBDCs will improve economic life in Australia, but there is also a possibility that it may not. The RBA cannot be allowed to alter economic life in Australia without a democratic mandate.

The Prime Minister and Treasurer need to explain why CBDCs are being developed in Australia and what is the public policy case.

The Australian people must ensure that physical cash is never eliminated and that freedom and privacy remains the corner stone of Australia’s payment system and economic life.

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Another Dose Of Anti Spruik!

Thanks to Cookie Boy, we look at more price cuts on listed property across the country.

Today’s post is brought to you by Ribbon Property Consultants. If you are buying your home in Sydney’s contentious market, you do not need to stand alone. This is the time you need to have Edwin from Ribbon Property Consultants standing along side you. Buying property, is both challenging and adversarial. The vendor has a professional on their side. Emotions run high – price discovery and price transparency are hard to find – then there is the wasted time and financial investment you make. Edwin understands your needs. So why not engage a licensed professional to stand alongside you. With RPC you know you have: experience, knowledge, and master negotiators, looking after your best interest. Shoot Ribbon an email on info@ribbonproperty.com.au & use promo code: DFA-WTW/MARTIN to receive your 10% DISCOUNT OFFER.

Annual NZ House Prices Fall For The First Time Since 2011!

The REINZ released their July 2022 data and it tells a continuing story of a weaker market as activity and prices continue to ease and New Zealand house prices falling in July with the median price recording its first annual fall since 2011. The seasonally adjusted median nationwide house value in July fell 2.8% compared with the previous month and was down 1.6% year-on-year, according to REINZ.

The unadjusted median house price was down 1.8% on year. “While the median property price is showing an annual decrease, affordability remains an obstacle for many — which is now being driven by rising interest rates, inflation and tighter lending criteria,” said Jen Baird, chief executive at REINZ, in a news release.

House prices in New Zealand jumped more than 40% in the two years to November 2021. However, a combination of tighter credit, more housing and rising mortgage rates is now weighing on prices.

Kiwibank senior economist Jeremy Couchman said in a note that the first fall in 11 years might be a shock but it needs to be noted that the price falls only put house prices back at levels seen last May. “Nevertheless, house prices have further to fall in the current cycle, as credit conditions remain tight, and confidence is lacking,” he said

The RBNZ, which must consider house prices in its policy deliberations, began raising the cash rate in October last year, describing house prices as “unsustainable”.

Since then, it has said it expects prices to fall 15% from their peak in November. ANZ Bank said in a note that housing was now “decidedly cool” and there was not much in the economic outlook to stop that.

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

The Big Inflation Joke…

A tail of two CPI’s today, USA and China. The former showing a slight fall from very high levels, the latter reporting the highest since July 2020 as pork prices jump 20%. In both places, central banks warn they cannot drop their guard on controlling the inflation dragon.

Already economists are talking about a down trend in the US, we will see. In contrast to the US and other major economies, consumer inflation in China has been relatively subdued this year as strict Covid control policies and sporadic outbreaks curbed consumer and business spending.

Those virus flare-ups — along with global headwinds and an ongoing real estate crisis — have kept China’s economic recovery fragile, with factory activity unexpectedly contracting last month and property sales continuing to shrink.

Today’s post is brought to you by Ribbon Property Consultants. If you are buying your home in Sydney’s contentious market, you do not need to stand alone. This is the time you need to have Edwin from Ribbon Property Consultants standing along side you. Buying property, is both challenging and adversarial. The vendor has a professional on their side. Emotions run high – price discovery and price transparency are hard to find – then there is the wasted time and financial investment you make. Edwin understands your needs. So why not engage a licensed professional to stand alongside you. With RPC you know you have: experience, knowledge, and master negotiators, looking after your best interest. Shoot Ribbon an email on info@ribbonproperty.com.au & use promo code: DFA-WTW/MARTIN to receive your 10% DISCOUNT OFFER.

Energy Bills: You Ain’t Seen Nothing Yet!…

The UK is an object lesson in stupidity as energy prices go higher and bills to households more than double in a few short months. Some are threatening to start a payment strike, as people will be forced to trade off heating versus eating.

But we in Australia are, according to the recent RBA Statement, also exposed to persistently rising energy bills. This is of course caused by the gas cartel as I have been highlighting. But the truth is, where the UK is going we may well follow, so expect persistent higher inflation in coming months. UK inflation is predicted to reach 13%, thanks to high energy costs – so just how high will we be going?

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

A Message For You – From The Bond Market: With Steve Van Metre

I discussed the latest macro with Steve Van Metre, from the US. What are the current market signals saying: how will it play out?

Steven Van Metre, Certified Financial Planner™ Professional, (CA Insurance License #0D45202 & Investment Advisory Representative with Atlas Financial Advisors, Inc., a Registered Investment Advisory firm.) is a financial planner, portfolio manager, and President of Steven Van Metre Financial. He specializes in retirement income strategies and the direct management of client assets.

https://stevenvanmetre.com/

https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCRIQM-CUkxVazVPv980YZsw/videos

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/