Fintech Spotlight Cheq – A Financial Angel on Your Shoulder

In the latest of our “Fintech Spotlight” series of posts, we look at a new player who is attempting to disrupt Payday lending using a digital platform and smart analytics. As normal, DFA was not paid for this post, and the views expressed are our own.

I caught up with CEO & Co-Founder of Fintech Cheq, Tarek Ayoub, to discuss how Cheq has the potential to prevent thousands of vulnerable Australians from turning to predatory payday lenders, with their sky-high interest rates and fees, and their vicious repayment structures which are designed to keep people trapped in a crippling cycle of debt.

Cheq Founder – Tarek-Ayoub-and-Dean-Mao

In fact, Cheq has just raised $1.75 million in debt and equity to launch a revolutionary ‘Pay On-Demand’ (POD) solution. This allows working Australians facing a cash shortfall to access their accrued wages instantly up to $200. Cheq charges a fixed transaction fee of 5 percent with absolutely no additional fees or interest, compared to the 52 to 1,000 per cent annualized percentage rates charged by payday lenders on similar amounts.

We know there are around 5.9 million Australians currently living paycheck to paycheck who often resort to payday lenders during cash shortfalls.

Ayoub, an ex-management consultant, with a track record in the finance sector, highlights the rise of the ‘on-demand’ economy. “As our society increasingly embraces the ‘on-demand’ model of consumption, it is only natural that we begin to see this flow over into remuneration. You can get food, TV shows, cleaning services, dog walking, and everything in between on demand. So why is it that we can’t yet access our own money – money we have already physically worked for – as soon as it’s needed?”

Cheq is available via a mobile app, were individuals can register for the service and link their bank account. Cheq uses the transactional data from that account to analyse and profile the spending habits of the individual, using machine learning, AI, and statistical analysis.

As important as the access to cash – up to $200 is, the real power of Cheq is the personal financial management solutions built into the app which helps users by predicting upcoming bills, categorising expenses, and creating budgets for better money management.

As the relationship builds, Cheq is able to offer suggestions to help manage financial stress. And the $200 advance, ahead of the next wage, is automatically repaid in one hit, or as stage payments repaid in 2, 3 or 4 wage cycles (which can be weekly, fortnightly or monthly). Money is only recouped from a user’s bank account once wages are received, so they can’t exceed their spending capacity or get trapped in debt.

The $1.75m comprised $1.4m equity and a $350k debt facility from investors including VFS Group (an early investor in Grow Super) and Released Ventures. Interest has been received for more funding as the firm has grown to 5 employees and with ambitious plans ahead.

Six hundred users downloaded Cheq from the app store within 2 days of its beta launch and had more than ten thousand downloads in the first month. The typical user of the service is aged 24-35 years, often working in retail, call centres or fast food sectors. 70% of users have also used “Buy Now Pay Later” (BNPL)  apps and 60% had also used payday loans. Most funds were used for transport and groceries, though many users left the money untouched in their accounts. But the most fascinating aspect is the fact that Cheq users were often weaned off payday loans in just a few months.  This could be a game-changer.

Cheq is quite selective in their customer assessment, with 4,000 rejected so far. Applicants are screened via their proprietary assessment model, without relying on external credit scores or other financial data such as property equity or other assets.

By shifting from ‘enterprise first’ to ‘direct-to-consumer’, Cheq puts the power over accrued wages back in the hands of all workers, says Mr. Ayoub: “To achieve a future where Australians are free from payday lender-induced debt traps, the solution must be available to everyone.”

Tarek says Cheq is also aiming to reinvent and pioneer POD as a new industry category by being first in Australia to offer POD direct to consumers. And he is eying markets in the US and India, where he believes a similar solution would have significant take-up.

We think there are some parallels with what AfterPay did with “Buy Now Pay Later” (BNPL) as a category killer, and once again a financial services licence is not required, although in practice Cheq says they would in any case exceed any responsible lending obligations. Cheq is therefore regulated by ASIC.

On average, individuals who registered and completed on-boarding with Cheq took out their first advance 3 days later, with most users stating they liked the piece of mind they had to know that Cheq is there and can be used only when they have a shortfall in funds, according to Tarek.

The most fascinating aspect of this story is the alignment to the customer, with the real purpose centred on financial management and education, rather than turning a quick profit from vulnerable individuals.  But it’s an open question whether Cheq is primarily a data analytics firm, a financial services provider, or a financial coach. The truth lies within that triangle.  Payday lenders are on notice that their business models are likely to be disrupted.

PMI Falls in February

More evidence of a weakening economy today with the latest Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) read for Australia showing a further decline in February.

The Australian Industry Group Australian Performance of Manufacturing Index fell a further 1.1 points to 44.3 points in February. This marked four consecutive months of contraction in Australian manufacturing for the first time since 2014 and was the lowest monthly result in almost five years(seasonally adjusted).

Results below 50 points indicate contraction with lower results indicating a faster contraction in the month. The indices for all manufacturing sectors deteriorated in February and all except food&beverages recorded a contraction in the month (results under 50 points, trend). The production, sales, new orders and exports indices fell further into contraction in February and were firmly negative.

This was the first month in which respondents to the Australian PMI reported the effects of the new coronavirus ‘COVID-19’.

Respondents said that travel restrictions in response to COVID-19 are already denting exports of Australian manufactured goods, particularly consumable items into China. The ‘heavy’ manufacturing sectors (equipment, machinery, metals) reported supply chain disruptions due to factory and freight closures in China.

Locally, respondents remain concerned about drought, weak demand from the construction sector and the generally slow pace of the economy.

Despite weak new orders and production, the employment index improved in February to be broadly stable (and above its own long-run average).

Looking ahead, the new orders index in the Australian PMI plunged to its lowest level since July 2013. This suggests a very sharp deterioration in new orders and even weaker demand conditions ahead for manufacturers

The Australian Industry Group Australian Performance of Manufacturing Index is a national composite index based on the diffusion indices for production, new orders, deliveries, inventories and employment with varying weights. An Australian PMI reading above 50 points indicates that manufacturing is generally expanding; below 50, that it is declining. The distance from 50 indicates the strength of the expansion or decline.

Australian PMI results are based on responses from a national sample of manufacturers. The Australian PMI uses the ANZSIC industry classifications for manufacturing sectors and sector weights derived from ABS industry output data. Seasonal adjustment and trend calculations follow ABS methodology.

To Super Tuesday And Beyond…

I discuss the US election, and the Democratic Primaries with American in OZ Salvatore Babones, Associate Professor, University of Sydney and author of the award winning book The New Authoritarianism: Trump, Populism, and the Tyranny of Experts.

https://thenewauthoritarianism.com/

We look at angles the MSM are choosing to avoid.

Reality Dawns – The Property Imperative Weekly 29 Feb 2020

The latest edition of our weekly finance and property news digest with a distinctively Australian flavour.

Contents

00:20 Introduction 01:10 World Growth at Risk 03:00 Fed Responds 04:50 Markets Correct 05:20 US Markets 08:45 Interest Rates 11:00 Euro and UK 13:00 Asia and China 15:00 Australian Segment 15:00 Markets 16:00 Property Market 17:00 Credit 17:45 Cash Ban 18:00 ASIC and Derivatives

Auction Results 29 Feb 2020

Domain released their preliminary results for today.

The volumes remain quite strong (though still well down on a couple of years ago).

Canberra listed 65 auctions, reported 48 and sold 33 with 15 passed in to give a Domain clearance of 69%.

Brisbane listed 82 auctions, reported 41 and sold 29 with 1 withdrawn and 12 passed in to give a Domain clearance of 69%

Adelaide listed 64 auctions, reported 24 and sold 18 with 2 withdrawn and 6 passed in to give a Domain clearance of 69%

Note I find it surprising all three have the same 69% result.

Statement from Federal Reserve

Jerome Powell just issued this “don’t panic” message.

The fundamentals of the U.S. economy remain strong. However, the coronavirus poses evolving risks to economic activity. The Federal Reserve is closely monitoring developments and their implications for the economic outlook. We will use our tools and act as appropriate to support the economy.

The calls from the markets for central bank intervention and fiscal stimulus are rising fast. However, this could well be finger in the dyke stuff….

China’s Upcoming Recession

Salvatore Babones, Adjunct Scholar at the Centre for Independent Studies, and Associate Professor University of Sydney joins me to discuss the latest indicators relating to China, as the current crisis plays out.

His latest observations were featured in the prestigious American The Center for the National Interest

Home Price Scenarios In A Covid-19 World

Last week we ran our latest live event, and discussed a range of potential scenarios relating to the virus. If the virus is localised and of short duration, there was still a path to higher prices, but as its severity and reach grows, prices would turn negative. This is a simple (actually complex) set of relationships between economics, human behavior and property.

Here is a summary of the various scenarios from our modelling. We weighted the greatest probability at 30-45% fall in the months ahead, assuming global disruption, financials market falls and reinfection. All of which is coming true.

Begs the question, how soon will prices turn south unequivocally?

You can watch our live event here: