Higher For Longer Hits Home! [Podcast]

Wall Street’s main stock indexes closed sharply lower on Tuesday after stronger-than-expected retail sales data stoked worries interest rates could stay higher for longer, while U.S. big banks dropped on a report that Fitch could downgrade some lenders.

The U.S. retail sales data comes on the heels of strong inflation readings for July, and could potentially give the Fed more impetus to remain hawkish in the coming months. Such a scenario bodes poorly for risk-driven assets, particularly tech stocks.

The Commerce Department report showed retail sales grew 0.7% last month against expectations of a 0.4% rise, suggesting the U.S. economy remains strong.

After the data, traders’ bets of a pause on hikes by the Federal Reserve next month stayed intact at 89%, yet analysts said investors were worried rates could stay at current levels longer than anticipated.

Banks saw the brunt of the selling as investors grew more anxious about interest rates. The U.S. Treasury yield curve has been inverted for over a year, with longer-term bonds yielding less than short-term debt instruments. This persistent situation pressures profits that banks can earn on loans.

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Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Higher For Longer Hits Home! [Podcast]
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Author: Martin North

Martin North is the Principal of Digital Finance Analytics

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