Higher-for-Longer Interest Rate Environment is Squeezing More Borrowers

Elevated inflation means central banks may have to keep policy rates higher in a way that stretches the capacity of borrowers to repay debt said the IMF in its latest Global Financial Stability Report.

And the Bank of England warned in their latest Financial Policy Summary that simply extending the term of mortgage loans is more about protecting banks than borrowers as risks build.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has updated its global growth forecasts, with the world expected to grow by 3% this year and 2.9% in 2024.
The IMF tips that Australia’s real GDP growth will slow even faster, from just 1.8% this year to 1.2% in 2024.

Headwinds also confront real estate. Home mortgages, typically the largest category of household borrowing, now carry much higher interest rates than just a year ago, eroding savings and weighing on housing markets. Countries with predominantly floating rate mortgages have generally experienced larger home price declines as higher interest rates translate more quickly into mortgage payment difficulties. Australia is highly exposed as rates have moved more on a weighted basis than many other countries.

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Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Higher-for-Longer Interest Rate Environment is Squeezing More Borrowers
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Author: Martin North

Martin North is the Principal of Digital Finance Analytics

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