Never Trust The Government?

In our surveys we include a question on whether households trust the federal and state governments to do the right thing for them. And the answer is a resounding, no. The question of whether we do trust those elected officials who theoretically at least should be looking after our interests, seems to highlight that in many countries, from Australia, UK, Canada, New Zealand and America, Government is on the nose.

Perhaps this is one reason why there are attempts in train to close down free speech, as illustrated by the misinformation and disinformation bill currently on the books in the Australian parliament. See my earlier post about this MAD bill and why it must be resisted.

In our surveys we find many households struggling with rising costs and flat real incomes, an ability to get ahead, or find a place to live, and ever more pressure on family relationships as a result. In other words, many blame bad government policy for their own predicaments. They are right.

The recently released report on Government action during the COVID period cuts to the heart of the question of trust as the three-person inquiry panel slammed the approaches towards such issues as lockdowns, vaccine mandates, and school and border closures, saying they lacked transparency and compassion, and were often not evidence-based. Now let me say straight away the scope of this inquiry was deliberately hobbled to avoid key questions around vaccines, and other issues, which is in itself shameful, but even so, the COVID-19 inquiry found that heavy-handed, inconsistent and insensitive pandemic restrictions meant people were unlikely to accept such measures again.

Economic modelling presented to the inquiry found that inflation could have peaked at about 6 per cent, instead of 8 per cent in December 2022, if the federal government’s more than $300 billion of pandemic spending and Reserve Bank of Australia’s near-zero interest rate policies were less stimulatory.

So all up, we can draw three conclusions.

Too much tax payer money was thrown at the problem in a poorly targeted inflation stoking manner. This is why inflation loomed to the fore in the past few years.

Too much was through directly and indirectly at the housing market, stoking home prices and rents, and exacerbated the distortions which were already in the market. No wonder prices have accelerated relative to incomes. No wonder too the construction sector is all but wrecked, with many firms subsequently failing while construction costs rise.

And there is still a resistance to admit errors both from Government and the RBA. Those in positions of responsibility may have done their best, but it was simply not good enough.

We expect, and rightly demand more from our elected leaders. They collectively failed us and the fallout continues to this day.

The right critical observation is that trust will be hard to recover. Given recent behaviour, it may never be healed, which spells risks to democracy itself. Queue the MAD bill.

http://www.martinnorth.com/

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Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Never Trust The Government?
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Author: Martin North

Martin North is the Principal of Digital Finance Analytics

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