Peak LNG Stupidity!

Bloomberg reported yesterday that the US has become the world’s biggest exporter of liquefied natural gas for the first time, with 2023 shipments overtaking leading suppliers Australia and Qatar.

The US exported 91.2 million metric tons of LNG in 2023, a record for the country, according to data through Dec. 31 compiled by Bloomberg. The expanded output was due to last year’s restart of Freeport LNG in Texas, which had been shuttered for months following a June 2022 fire and explosion. Qatar, the top LNG supplier in 2022, saw its volumes shrink for the first time since at least 2016, with a 1.9% decline dropping the nation into third spot for shipments of the super-chilled fuel. Australia ranked second, with exports that were little changed from 2022.

Unlike East Coast Australia, the US has a domestic gas reservation scheme in place, which has mostly succeeded in keeping domestic gas prices low.

And the mooted A$80 Billion Deal between Woodside Energy and Santos could also put more upward pressure on Australian domestic gas prices.

“Both Santos and Woodside are material domestic gas producers, which may create market concentration concerns,” RBC Capital Markets analyst Gordon Ramsay said in a note.

It makes no sense to give any member of the gas export cartel – Origin, Woodside, Santos, EXXON or Shell – greater control of gas import volumes. Remember East Coast Electricity prices are driven by the marginal cost of LNG.

http://www.martinnorth.com/

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Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Peak LNG Stupidity!
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Author: Martin North

Martin North is the Principal of Digital Finance Analytics

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