Uncertainty Rules As Markets Face A Wicked New Year!

This is our weekly market update, starting in the US, Europe, Asia and ending in Australia, covering crypto and commodities along the way.

2024 ended up as an eventful year for markets, as many stock indices recorded sizeable double-digit gains, though with significant volatility. But the start of 2025 could well mark a shift in tone, with the MSCI global index down 2.08% over the past week. US stock indices were slightly in the red at the start of the new year too, encapsulating the overall market uncertainty about the short-term outlook. Inflows into U.S. equity funds fell sharply in the week through Jan. 1 hit by rising Treasury yields and year-end profit- taking, along with concerns about a slower pace of Federal Reserve rate reductions this year. U.S. equity funds received just $490 million worth of investments during the week, significantly smaller than the $20.46 billion in net purchases in the week before.

But on Friday The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.80%, to 42,732.13, the S&P 500 gained 1.26%, to 5,942.47 and the Nasdaq Composite gained 1.77%, to 19,621.68. Even so, all three indexes posted modest declines for the week, with the S&P 500 logging its third weekly loss in four.

Australian shares shrugged off a decline on Wall Street to close higher on Friday, buoyed by a rally in energy stocks. The S&P/ASX 200 closed at 8250.50 up 0.6 per cent. The All Ordinaries index closed at 8511.9. On Thursday and Friday, the benchmark pared back earlier losses in the holiday-shortened week for a flat four-day return.

Australian investors looking to the US for better returns, with Wall Street focused exchange-traded funds reportedly pulling in at least $5 billion from Australian investors in 2024, eclipsing the record of $2.5 billion set in 2021, according to preliminary flows data compiled by ETF provider Global X. The billions of investor capital flooding into the world’s No.1 market represents a bet that US equities will continue to outpace their global peers – including Australia – for the second year running, capping a 23 per cent gain in 2024 atop a 24 per cent rise a year earlier.

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Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Uncertainty Rules As Markets Face A Wicked New Year!
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Author: Martin North

Martin North is the Principal of Digital Finance Analytics

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