Tag: Federal Reserve

The Inflation Headfake: Or Something More?

The latest US data on CPI, jobless claims, inventory and producer prices are all signaling potentially lower inflation. Yet the markets still hold to their view of a hike this month in July, as signaled by the FED, and possibly another later.

So what’s going on?

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Today’s post is brought to you by Ribbon Property Consultants.

If you are buying your home in Sydney’s contentious market, you do not need to stand alone. This is the time you need to have Edwin from Ribbon Property Consultants standing along side you.

Buying property, is both challenging and adversarial. The vendor has a professional on their side.

Emotions run high – price discovery and price transparency are hard to find – then there is the wasted time and financial investment you make.

Edwin understands your needs. So why not engage a licensed professional to stand alongside you. With RPC you know you have: experience, knowledge, and master negotiators, looking after your best interest.

Shoot Ribbon an email on info@ribbonproperty.com.au & use promo code: DFA-WTW/MARTIN to receive your 10% DISCOUNT OFFER.

The Inflation Headfake: Or Something More?

The latest US data on CPI, jobless claims, inventory and producer prices are all signaling potentially lower inflation. Yet the markets still hold to their view of a hike this month in July, as signaled by the FED, and possibly another later.

So what’s going on?

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Today’s post is brought to you by Ribbon Property Consultants.

If you are buying your home in Sydney’s contentious market, you do not need to stand alone. This is the time you need to have Edwin from Ribbon Property Consultants standing along side you.

Buying property, is both challenging and adversarial. The vendor has a professional on their side.

Emotions run high – price discovery and price transparency are hard to find – then there is the wasted time and financial investment you make.

Edwin understands your needs. So why not engage a licensed professional to stand alongside you. With RPC you know you have: experience, knowledge, and master negotiators, looking after your best interest.

Shoot Ribbon an email on info@ribbonproperty.com.au & use promo code: DFA-WTW/MARTIN to receive your 10% DISCOUNT OFFER.

More Debt Ceiling Handbrake Turns Casts A Volatile Outlook… [Podcast]

Just a couple of days ago, markets bounced on the back of hopes talks on raising the US debt limit were in play, on growing confidence a deal to raise the $31.4 trillion debt limit could be reached in coming days, with the benchmark S&P 500 climbing more than 2%. But as this came to a sudden halt, the optimism that had been building through the week fell away. As a result, U.S. stocks ended lower and the dollar lost ground on Friday as the negotiations to raise the U.S. debt ceiling were put on hold, yet moving closer to the deadline to avoid default. Then reports were made suggesting talks had recommenced.

Initial reports that debt ceiling negotiations had reached an impasse rattled markets even as investors were scrutinizing Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s remarks in a panel discussion for clues regarding next month’s interest rate decision. In his remarks, Powell said that uncertainties surrounding the lagging impact of past rate hikes and recent bank credit tightening made it unclear whether more monetary tightening will be necessary.

All this is creating febrile markets, where big players can trade the volatility. But others may be best on the sidelines!

CONTENTS

0:00 Start
0:15 Introduction
1:00 Debt Ceiling Impasse?
2:15 Powell On Inflation, Credit and Rates
6:24 US Markets
11:08 Europe and UK
13:40 Asian Markets
17:15 Gold
18:32 Oil
19:40 Australian Markets
21:20 Crypto
22:54 Summary And Close

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
More Debt Ceiling Handbrake Turns Casts A Volatile Outlook... [Podcast]
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More Debt Ceiling Handbrake Turns Casts A Volatile Outlook…

Just a couple of days ago, markets bounced on the back of hopes talks on raising the US debt limit were in play, on growing confidence a deal to raise the $31.4 trillion debt limit could be reached in coming days, with the benchmark S&P 500 climbing more than 2%. But as this came to a sudden halt, the optimism that had been building through the week fell away. As a result, U.S. stocks ended lower and the dollar lost ground on Friday as the negotiations to raise the U.S. debt ceiling were put on hold, yet moving closer to the deadline to avoid default. Then reports were made suggesting talks had recommenced.

Initial reports that debt ceiling negotiations had reached an impasse rattled markets even as investors were scrutinizing Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s remarks in a panel discussion for clues regarding next month’s interest rate decision. In his remarks, Powell said that uncertainties surrounding the lagging impact of past rate hikes and recent bank credit tightening made it unclear whether more monetary tightening will be necessary.

All this is creating febrile markets, where big players can trade the volatility. But others may be best on the sidelines!

CONTENTS

0:00 Start
0:15 Introduction
1:00 Debt Ceiling Impasse?
2:15 Powell On Inflation, Credit and Rates
6:24 US Markets
11:08 Europe and UK
13:40 Asian Markets
17:15 Gold
18:32 Oil
19:40 Australian Markets
21:20 Crypto
22:54 Summary And Close

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Risk Upon Risk Upon Risk: Market Update 13th May 23 [Podcast]

The financial markets have been fighting the Fed since October of last year, especially since the start of this year, in two ways. The first involves bidding-up stock prices in anticipation of a ‘Fed pivot’, which is probably a self-defeating strategy. The second involves factoring lower interest rates into bond prices.

The backdrop is mounting economic uncertainty as Finance leaders of the Group of Seven (G7) nations warned on Saturday in a subdued end to a three-day meeting overshadowed by concerns about the U.S. debt stalemate and fallout from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

The gathering in the Japanese city of Niigata came as global policymakers – already preoccupied by U.S. bank failures and efforts to reduce reliance on China – are now forced to grapple with a potential default by the world’s largest economy. While the communique made no mention of the U.S. debt ceiling stalemate, it figured constantly in discussions.

U.S. stocks ended slightly lower on Friday, led by weaker megacap shares following their recent rally, as data showed U.S. consumer sentiment dropped to a six-month low. The Dow was barely lower in its fifth straight day of declines, the blue-chip index’s longest losing streak in two months.

May consumer sentiment dropped to its lowest since November. The University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment reading for May came in at 57.7, much lower than the 63 expected and down from 63.5 in April.

Treasury yields rose in the bond market following the consumer-sentiment report. The yield on the 10-year Treasury erased an earlier dip and climbed to 3.46 per cent from 3.39 per cent late Thursday. It helps set rates for mortgages and other important loans.

The risks are building, and recession is becoming more likely!

CONTENT

0:00 Start
0:15 Introduction
0:50 G7 Warnings
4:44 US Markets
6:50 US Consumer Sentiment Crashes
7:50 Bonds
9:15 Debt Default?
11:22 Europe
13:40 Oil and Gold
15:40 Asia
17:45 Australia
21:20 Bitcoin Halving
23:16 Summary and Conclusion

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Risk Upon Risk Upon Risk: Market Update 13th May 23 [Podcast]
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Risk Upon Risk Upon Risk: Market Update 13th May 23

The financial markets have been fighting the Fed since October of last year, especially since the start of this year, in two ways. The first involves bidding-up stock prices in anticipation of a ‘Fed pivot’, which is probably a self-defeating strategy. The second involves factoring lower interest rates into bond prices.

The backdrop is mounting economic uncertainty as Finance leaders of the Group of Seven (G7) nations warned on Saturday in a subdued end to a three-day meeting overshadowed by concerns about the U.S. debt stalemate and fallout from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

The gathering in the Japanese city of Niigata came as global policymakers – already preoccupied by U.S. bank failures and efforts to reduce reliance on China – are now forced to grapple with a potential default by the world’s largest economy. While the communique made no mention of the U.S. debt ceiling stalemate, it figured constantly in discussions.

U.S. stocks ended slightly lower on Friday, led by weaker megacap shares following their recent rally, as data showed U.S. consumer sentiment dropped to a six-month low. The Dow was barely lower in its fifth straight day of declines, the blue-chip index’s longest losing streak in two months.

May consumer sentiment dropped to its lowest since November. The University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment reading for May came in at 57.7, much lower than the 63 expected and down from 63.5 in April.

Treasury yields rose in the bond market following the consumer-sentiment report. The yield on the 10-year Treasury erased an earlier dip and climbed to 3.46 per cent from 3.39 per cent late Thursday. It helps set rates for mortgages and other important loans.

The risks are building, and recession is becoming more likely!

CONTENT

0:00 Start
0:15 Introduction
0:50 G7 Warnings
4:44 US Markets
6:50 US Consumer Sentiment Crashes
7:50 Bonds
9:15 Debt Default?
11:22 Europe
13:40 Oil and Gold
15:40 Asia
17:45 Australia
21:20 Bitcoin Halving
23:16 Summary and Conclusion

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

The Feds Nasty Surprise! [Podcast]

The Fed lifted rates again to 5 to 5.25%, but the press conference did not go to plan and the markets turned to thinking a pivot was likely. Bond yields moved, and concerns about a spreading banking crisis grew, as PacWest said it was looking at options.

Meantime, the FED holds to its view there will be no recession, so no rate cuts.

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
The Feds Nasty Surprise! [Podcast]
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The Feds Nasty Surprise!

The Fed lifted rates again to 5 to 5.25%, but the press conference did not go to plan and the markets turned to thinking a pivot was likely. Bond yields moved, and concerns about a spreading banking crisis grew, as PacWest said it was looking at options.

Meantime, the FED holds to its view there will be no recession, so no rate cuts.

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Stagflation, Here We Come! [Podcast]

The leading indicators relating to the US economy are screaming Stagflation, as the FED meets this coming week. Yet rates are likely to go higher to tackle rising costs, even as a credit crunch in underway. Not pretty.

The latest edition of our finance and property news digest with a distinctively Australian flavour.

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Find more at https://digitalfinanceanalytics.com/blog/ where you can subscribe to our research alerts

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Stagflation, Here We Come! [Podcast]
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Stagflation, Here We Come!

The leading indicators relating to the US economy are screaming Stagflation, as the FED meets this coming week. Yet rates are likely to go higher to tackle rising costs, even as a credit crunch in underway. Not pretty.

The latest edition of our finance and property news digest with a distinctively Australian flavour.

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/