The extended stock values around the world, created by too much Central Bank and Government financial support, makes them prone to react to news be it bad or good in a more extreme way. As we said a couple of days back, given the liquidity often it’s a matter of switching between sectors based on the latest news trail but Black Friday turned into Red Friday as markets reacted to the news of a potentially dangerous new virus strain – now named the omicron strain. This was an dis-quieting wake-up call.
In the past we have seen dramatic V-shaped reversals, so it’s a question of being patient and waiting for what unfolds in the early part of next week. Often during holiday periods, we do see the market makers develop trap moves on low volume and low liquidity.
The other question testing markets is their belief that The Fed will step in to prevent market falls, as they have done consistently over recent years. But the new take on inflation, as represented by Powell’s acceptance statement – which referred to inflation management as a key priority suggests more limited room for manoeuvre. And horror of horrors, what if the FED does not protect investors, well then, the over cooked markets are due for a significant correction. Valuations are simply not justified on current metrics.
Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Omicron Day - Black Friday or Red Friday? Market Update 27th Nov 2021 [Podcast]
I had a visit from David Llewellyn-Smith from MacroBusiness and Damien Klassen from Nucleus Wealth and Walk The World Funds. We recorded a discussion on some of the underlying drivers behind the economy.
Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Unscrambling The Macroeconomic Omelette With David Llewellyn-Smith And Damien Klassen [Podcast]
My regular Friday afternoon chat with Journalist Tarric Brooker. His slides this week tell a pretty sorry story! You can follow him on Twitter @AvidCommentator
Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
And Now The Cracks Are Opening: With Tarric Brooker [Podcast]
In today’s show we look at the market action this week, as the tensions between strong if patchy corporate results, on one hand, while inflation risks and contagion risks from the China property sector are pulling the other way.
China Evergrande Group pulled back from the brink of default by paying a bond coupon before Saturday’s deadline, giving the property giant at least another week to come to grips with a debt crisis that has rattled investor confidence in the world’s second-largest economy.
But Investors are increasingly concerned higher cost pressures and global supply-chain bottlenecks will push the Fed to raise interest rates faster than expected. Yet a relatively solid start to the earnings season offset those fears with the benchmark S&P 500 topping a record on Thursday.
Then US equities fell on Friday in New York after the chairman of the Federal Reserve signalled some concern about inflation.
The latest edition of our finance and property news digest with a distinctively Australian flavour.
CONTENTS
0:00 Start 00:19 Introduction 01:15 US Markets 02:05 Powell Time To Taper… 03:05 Snap and Tech falls 04:30 GDP Falling 07:00 Inflation Expectations 08:00 Yields 08:45 Financials Up 10:00 Crude prices and supply 10:55 Europe 12:20 Evergrande Update 19:20 Asian Markets 19:50 Australian Markets 20:20 RBA Vs Markets 22:34 Market movements 25:13 Bitcoin, ATMs, Futures, 28:30 Summary and Close
Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
FOMO V Inflation V Evergrande: Market Update 23 Oct 2021 [Podcast]
The latest in my Friday afternoon discussions with Journalist Tarric Brooker, who shares some of his recent research and slides on the economy, Evergrande, US Households, and much else besides. Things are getting really interesting – especially the vexed question of inflation, stagflation or deflation.
Tarric is @AvidCommentator on Twitter.
Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Things Are Now Getting REALLY Interesting! - With Tarric Brooker [Podcast]
This is an edited version of our recent live stream, in which I discuss the latest action in the financial markets with Investment Manager Tony Locantro from Alto Capital https://www.altocapital.com.au/
https://walktheworld.com.au/ .
Original stream and live chat replay is here: https://youtu.be/Tyn8I_3dkUM
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
DFA Live Q&A: HD Replay - Tony Locantro - Investing Now [Podcast]
I caught up with George Gammon to discuss financial repression, inflation, asset prices, trust and who is driving the agenda. George Edward Gammon is a Real Estate Investor, entrepreneur and teacher of macro economics on YouTube.
The latest edition of our finance and property news digest with a distinctively Australian flavour.
In today’s market update we cover off the latest market movements, China’s continued campaign against Bitcoin and other Cryptos, the deafening silence from Evergreen, and the IMF’s musing on Australian property. Things are getting interesting indeed and much hinges on the property sector, where leverage is to the max.
CONTENTS
0:00 Start 0:18 Introduction 2:25 China Crypto crackdown 4:55 US Economy and market 11:50 Gold flat 13:50 European markets 16:00 Asian markets 19:22 Evergrande is not over 23:30 Property market frozen 26:15 Australian market 28:17 IMF On Australian property 31:56 Conclusion and close
Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Property Bust On The Cards? - Market Update 25th Sept 2021 [Podcast]
The latest edition of our finance and property news digest with a distinctively Australian flavour. We look at the latest mortgage delinquency and affordability data as well as settlements, plus the issue of escalating building costs, risks to the financial markets and emerging virus variants. All up there is much in play, and not all roads will lead to prosperity!
Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/
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Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
At The Crossroads: The DFA Daily 10th Sept 2021 [Podcast]
