Tag: Household Finances

Yet More Probes Into The Great Supermarket Rip-off!

The Australian Government has directed the ACCC to conduct an inquiry into Australia’s supermarket sector, including the pricing practices of the supermarkets and the relationship between wholesale, including farmgate, and retail prices.

The year-long inquiry will also examine competition in the supermarket sector and how it has changed since the ACCC’s last inquiry in 2008.

“We know grocery prices have become a major concern for the millions of Australians experiencing cost of living pressures,” ACCC Chair Gina Cass-Gottlieb said.

“When it comes to fresh produce, we understand that many farmers are concerned about weak correlation between the price they receive for their produce and the price consumers pay at the checkout.”

“We will use our full range of legal powers to conduct a detailed examination of the supermarket sector, and where we identify problems or opportunities for improvement, we will carefully consider what recommendations we can make to Government,” Ms Cass-Gottlieb said.

Like London buses, you wait a long time, then they come in bunches – this is the fourth inquiry currently underway across the sector. As well as price gouging, shrinkflation, supplier management and competition need to be addressed.

In a year, we will know if it was worth the wait!

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Yet More Probes Into The Great Supermarket Rip-off!
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Stage 3 Tax Revamp: A Speck In The Ocean?

Lots of noise this week about the revamped stage 3 tax cuts. It’s worth remembering first that 2 in five Australians pay no tax because they do not earn enough, so this is change is certainly not going to impact every household.

Anthony Albanese had repeatedly committed to delivering stage 3 as legislated by the Coalition – but told the National Press Club on Thursday, “When economic circumstances change, the right thing to do is change your economic policy. That’s what we are doing.”

At one level of course this is another broken promise – just like the superannuation tax cap which came in last year. Presumable the calculus is more people will benefit than not, and it’s a long time to the next election, so people will forget. We will see.

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Stage 3 Tax Revamp: A Speck In The Ocean?
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Stage 3 Tax Revamp: A Speck In The Ocean?

Lots of noise this week about the revamped stage 3 tax cuts. It’s worth remembering first that 2 in five Australians pay no tax because they do not earn enough, so this is change is certainly not going to impact every household.

Anthony Albanese had repeatedly committed to delivering stage 3 as legislated by the Coalition – but told the National Press Club on Thursday, “When economic circumstances change, the right thing to do is change your economic policy. That’s what we are doing.”

At one level of course this is another broken promise – just like the superannuation tax cap which came in last year. Presumable the calculus is more people will benefit than not, and it’s a long time to the next election, so people will forget. We will see.

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Government Policy Makes Households Pay through The Nose For Energy!

The latest forward view of Australian Wholesale Energy Prices out to 2027 show prices for East Coast consumption will remain at nose-bleed levels out as far as 2027, according to data from the Australian Energy market.

There is a reason for this, in that marginal wholesale power prices are remarkably set based on the cost of gas, via LNG in the international markets. This will pressure get worse as coal fired generation is retired across Australia.

Governments of various flavours have messed up here from a policy perspective, in that a small number of international operators are the Australian gas cartel of Santos, Woodside, Origin, Shell, Exxon and friends.

The Governments latest solution to the high price of power, was to set a policy price cap of $12 a gigajoule in the domestic market that is unless cartel members meet certain exemptions such as investing in new gas projects.

That $12 cap was set after receiving warnings from Treasury that energy prices were set to soar by about 50 per cent over 2023 and the first half of 2024. As a result of the intervention, power prices were reduced, by an estimated $230 dollars a year, which is mere chicken feed, given the massive run up in price. Estimates are the average household bill will rise by $700 by mid-2024 compared to June 2022, based on Treasury figures. And In practice the $12 cap is behaving as a floor, as the cartel ships more gas offshore.

All of this means that China who can often on-sells the gas to Europe at a healthy profit, is still seeing cheaper gas prices than in Australia!

The solution of course is for the Government to increase the local reservation and reduce the price cap (floor). But that would bring them up against the political and economic powers of the gas cartel.

So the bottom line is that Australian East Coast households are being taken to the cleaners, one reason why costs of living are so high, while local manufacturers are being priced out, and reducing the capacity for local production.

Which begs the question is this simple stupidity, or something much worse. Who really are pulling the economic strings in the country? Game of Mates anyone?

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Government Policy Makes Households Pay through The Nose For Energy!
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Households Spend Less But Borrow More, What Could Possibly Go Wrong?

The ABS reported that In November 2023, new loan commitments (seasonally adjusted): rose 1.0% for housing, fell 5.6% for personal fixed term loans, fell 4.8% for business construction (a typically volatile series) and rose 0.6% in trend terms and fell 6.4% for business purchase of property (a typically volatile series) but was flat in trend terms. So housing credit is still relatively strong despite higher interest rates, and potentially signalling that the RBA will need to dampen demand further in its inflation battle.

Also on Friday, the rather meaningless Monthly Household Spending Indicators was published by the ABS. As these are based on current prices, they are not adjusted for the impacts of inflation. The indicator is produced using aggregated and de-identified card and bank transactions from banking and financial institutions. They reported that Household spending increased 3.1% through the year on a current price, calendar adjusted basis.

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Today’s post is brought to you by Ribbon Property Consultants.

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Households Spend Less But Borrow More, What Could Possibly Go Wrong?
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Households Spend Less But Borrow More, What Could Possibly Go Wrong?

The ABS reported that In November 2023, new loan commitments (seasonally adjusted): rose 1.0% for housing, fell 5.6% for personal fixed term loans, fell 4.8% for business construction (a typically volatile series) and rose 0.6% in trend terms and fell 6.4% for business purchase of property (a typically volatile series) but was flat in trend terms. So housing credit is still relatively strong despite higher interest rates, and potentially signalling that the RBA will need to dampen demand further in its inflation battle.

Also on Friday, the rather meaningless Monthly Household Spending Indicators was published by the ABS. As these are based on current prices, they are not adjusted for the impacts of inflation. The indicator is produced using aggregated and de-identified card and bank transactions from banking and financial institutions. They reported that Household spending increased 3.1% through the year on a current price, calendar adjusted basis.

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Today’s post is brought to you by Ribbon Property Consultants.

No Wriggle Room For The RBA!

The latest monthly inflation read was out today, and it suggests rates will be higher for longer. While there was a drop, some of this was helped by Government intervention, and some other factors in the incomplete monthly numbers were still strong.

The RBA started tightening later than peers, yet shifted to smaller, quarter-point moves earlier. Now, as global disinflation trends beg the question whether Australia will again lag its peers, what’s clear is that the RBA will stay hawkish until it sees credible signs that inflation is moving back to target.

This month’s annual increase of 4.3 per cent is down from the 4.9 per cent rise in October and is the smallest annual increase since January 2022.

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Today’s post is brought to you by Ribbon Property Consultants.

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
No Wriggle Room For The RBA!
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No Wriggle Room For The RBA!

The latest monthly inflation read was out today, and it suggests rates will be higher for longer. While there was a drop, some of this was helped by Government intervention, and some other factors in the incomplete monthly numbers were still strong.

The RBA started tightening later than peers, yet shifted to smaller, quarter-point moves earlier. Now, as global disinflation trends beg the question whether Australia will again lag its peers, what’s clear is that the RBA will stay hawkish until it sees credible signs that inflation is moving back to target.

This month’s annual increase of 4.3 per cent is down from the 4.9 per cent rise in October and is the smallest annual increase since January 2022.

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Today’s post is brought to you by Ribbon Property Consultants.

DFA Live Q&A HD Replay: Latest Household Financial Stress Modelling And Analysis

This is an edit of our latest live discussion as I walked through our recent survey results, and discussed the outcomes at a postcode level.

For the full survey analysis see our show here: https://youtu.be/G1T72rUFlgA

For additional post codes requested see here: https://youtu.be/TJ65WucbZAM

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
DFA Live Q&A HD Replay: Latest Household Financial Stress Modelling And Analysis
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Household Stress: You Asked, We Answered! [Postcode Analysis]

Following my post about Household Financial Stress https://youtu.be/G1T72rUFlgA and the upcoming live show tomorrow, I received many requests for postcode level analysis. So I made an extra show here to cover some of the requests.

Post Codes Covered (In Order) In This Show:
3912
4868
2560
4670
2487
6149
3842
3799
6072
4178
2042
4215
3690
2640
6030
2137
4670
3174
3012

Join us tomorrow on the live show for more. https://youtube.com/live/nXhfjacOnA0

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Household Stress: You Asked, We Answered! [Postcode Analysis]
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