Personal Insolvencies Higher

WA experienced a 20% rise, in personal insolvencies in 2016-17, according to data released today by The Australian Financial Security Authority. On the other hand there were falls in NSW and VIC, highlighting the different economic conditions across the states.

The number of personal insolvencies increased 2.1% in 2016–17 compared to 2015–16. bankruptcies decreased by 5.1%, debt agreements increased 11.9% and personal insolvency agreements increased 39.4%.

 

Bankruptcies

Bankruptcies have fallen in every year since 2009–10 except for 2015–16 (when they increased by 0.2%). New South Wales, Victoria and Queensland were the main contributors to the national fall in bankruptcies in 2016–17 compared to 2015–16 (each with falls exceeding 200 bankruptcies in the period). Bankruptcies in South Australia in 2016–17 fell to the lowest level on record for the fourth consecutive financial year.

Debt Agreements

Debt agreements in 2016–17 were the highest level on record (13,597). They have reached new records each year since 2011–12.  Debt agreements in 2016–17 were the highest level on record in all states and territories except Tasmania.

Personal Insolvency Agreements

Personal insolvency agreements in 2016–17 reached their highest level (244) since 2012–13.

All the above figures refer to personal administrations under the Bankruptcy Act only (and not corporate insolvency).

 

Personal Insolvencies On The Rise

The Australian Financial Security Authority (AFSA) released regional personal insolvency statistics for the March quarter 2017. Looking across the regions, again we see signs of people in financial difficulty.  This data will feed into our updated mortgage stress modelling to be published in early June.

New South Wales

  • Greater Sydney
    • In the March quarter 2017 compared to the December quarter 2016:
      • the number of debtors rose 11.0%; the main contributor to the increase was Wyong
      • the number of debtors who entered a business related personal insolvency rose 8.6%; the main contributors to the increase were Wyong and Penrith.
  • Rest of NSW
    • In the March quarter 2017 compared to the December quarter 2016:
      • the number of debtors rose 1.9%; the main contributor to the increase was Lachlan Valley
      • the number of debtors who entered a business related personal insolvency fell 10.7%; the main contributor to the fall was Coffs Harbour.

Australian Capital Territory

  • In the March quarter 2017 compared to the December quarter 2016:
    • the number of debtors rose 26.9%; the main contributor to the increase was Belconnen
    • the number of debtors who entered a business related personal insolvency rose 84.6% (from 13 debtors to 24).

Victoria

  • Greater Melbourne
    • In the March quarter 2017 compared to the December quarter 2016:
      • the number of debtors rose 13.4%; the main contributor to the increase was Whittlesea – Wallan
      • the number of debtors who entered a business related personal insolvency rose by 5.7%; the main contributor to the increase was Mornington Peninsula.
  • Rest of Vic
    • In the March quarter 2017 compared to the December quarter 2016:
      • the number of debtors rose 10.8%; the main contributor to the increase was Glenelg – Southern Grampians
      • the number of debtors who entered a business related personal insolvency rose 8.3%; the main contributor to the increase was Bendigo.

Queensland

  • Greater Brisbane
    • In the March quarter 2017 compared to the December quarter 2016:
      • the number of debtors rose 19.3%; the main contributor to the increase was Ipswich Inner
      • the number of debtors who entered a business related personal insolvency rose 13.9%; the main contributor to the increase was Springfield – Redbank.
  • Rest of Qld
    • In the March quarter 2017 compared to the December quarter 2016:
      • the number of debtors rose 9.4%; the main contributor to the increase was Caloundra
      • the number of debtors who entered a business related personal insolvency fell 2.1%; the main contributor to the fall was Rockhampton.

South Australia

  • Greater Adelaide
    • In the March quarter 2017 compared to the December quarter 2016:
      • the number of debtors rose 12.6%; the main contributor to the increase was Marion
      • the number of debtors who entered a business related personal insolvency rose 9.8%.
  • Rest of SA
    • In the March quarter 2017 compared to the December quarter 2016:
      • the number of debtors rose 51.0%; the main contributor to the increase was Murray and Mallee
      • there were 25 debtors who entered a business related personal insolvency in the March quarter 2017, a rise from 12 in the December quarter 2016.

Northern Territory

  • The number of debtors rose 18.8% in Greater Darwin in the March quarter 2017 compared to the December quarter 2016
  • There were 18 debtors in rest of NT in the March quarter 2017, a fall from 20 in the December quarter 2016
  • There were 13 debtors who entered a business related personal insolvency in Northern Territory, a fall from 16 in the December quarter 2016.

Western Australia

  • Greater Perth
    • In the March quarter 2017 compared to the December quarter 2016:
      • the number of debtors rose 11.6%; the main contributor to the increase was Cockburn
      • the number of debtors who entered a business related personal insolvency was unchanged at 155 debtors.
  • Rest of WA
    • In the March quarter 2017 compared to the December quarter 2016:
      • the number of debtors rose 5.3%; the main contributor to the increase was Albany
      • the number of debtors who entered a business related personal insolvency rose 9.1%; the main contributor to the increase was Bunbury.

Tasmania

  • In the March quarter 2017 compared to the December quarter 2016:
    • the number of debtors who entered a personal insolvency in Greater Hobart fell 7.2%; the main contributor to the fall was Brighton
    • the number of debtors rose 35.5% in rest of Tas; the main contributor to the rise was Launceston

the number of debtors who entered a business related personal insolvency in Tasmania was unchanged at 28 debtors.

Personal Insolvencies Higher

According to The Australian Financial Security Authority, Total personal insolvencies increased by 10.8% in the March quarter 2017 compared to the March quarter 2016.

All types of personal insolvency increased:

  • bankruptcies increased by 2.5%
  • debt agreements increased by 20.8%
  • personal insolvency agreements increased by 139.5%.
  • All states and territories experienced increases in total personal insolvencies. The largest absolute increase was in Western Australia (197 personal insolvencies) and the largest proportional increase was in Australian Capital Territory (32.6%).
  • Total personal insolvencies are the highest on record in Western Australia, with 928 personal insolvencies in the March quarter 2017.
  • Debt agreements in the March quarter 2017 are the highest on record at 3,584 for the quarter. This follows the largest quarterly increase ever (548 compared to the December quarter 2016). Debt agreements reached record highs in Victoria, Queensland, South Australia and Western Australia.

Total personal insolvency activity

The number of personal insolvencies in the March quarter 2017 (7,900) increased by 10.8% compared to the March quarter 2016 (7,129). The March quarter 2017 is the eighth consecutive quarter in which total personal insolvencies have risen year-on-year.

Total personal insolvency activity in Australia: % change compared to same quarter in previous year

MQ17 Total personal insolvency activity in Australia % change compared to same quarter in previous year

MQ17 Total personal insolvency activity in Australia % change compared to same quarter in previous year

All states and territories recorded year-on-year increases in total personal insolvencies in the March quarter 2017. The largest absolute increases were in Western Australia (197 personal insolvencies), Queensland (170 personal insolvencies), New South Wales (127 personal insolvencies) and Victoria (124 personal insolvencies). The largest proportional increases were in Australian Capital Territory (32.6%), Northern Territory (29.8%) and Western Australia (26.9%).

The quarterly increase of 845 personal insolvencies in the March quarter 2017 (compared to the December quarter 2016) is the first since the June quarter 2016. The quarterly total remains below the peaks reached in 2008–09 and 2009–10 (above 9,000 personal insolvencies).

Bankruptcies

The number of bankruptcies increased by 2.5% in the March quarter 2017 (4,225) compared to the March quarter 2016 (4,123), and also increased by 6.3% compared to the December quarter 2016 (3,976). The quarterly increase in bankruptcies in the March quarter 2017 is the first since the June quarter 2016.

The increase in bankruptcies in the March quarter 2017 compared to the March quarter 2016 was the result of increases in the states and territories of:

  • Australian Capital Territory (41.5%)
  • Northern Territory (30.0%)
  • Western Australia (14.9%)
  • Tasmania (8.0%)
  • South Australia (6.6%)
  • Queensland (1.3%).

These were offset by decreases in:

  • New South Wales (-1.9%)
  • Victoria (-0.5%).

Bankruptcies in Australia: % change compared to same quarter in previous year

MQ17 Bankruptcies in Australia % change compared to same quarter in previous year

MQ17 Bankruptcies in Australia % change compared to same quarter in previous year

Debt agreements

The number of debt agreements increased by 20.8% in the March quarter 2017 (3,584) compared to the March quarter 2016 (2,968), and also increased by 18.1% compared to the December quarter 2016 (3,036).

The rise in debt agreements in the March quarter 2017 compared to the March quarter 2016 was the result of increases in all states and territories:

  • South Australia (41.7%)
  • Western Australia (39.1%)
  • Tasmania (35.7%)
  • Northern Territory (25.0%)
  • Victoria (19.5%)
  • Australian Capital Territory (18.8%)
  • New South Wales (15.9%)
  • Queensland (15.6%).

The increase in debt agreements in the March quarter 2017 is the seventh consecutive year-on-year rise.

Debt agreements in Australia: % change compared to same quarter in previous year

MQ17 Debt agreements in Australia % change compared to same quarter in previous year

MQ17 Debt agreements in Australia % change compared to same quarter in previous year

Personal insolvency agreements

Quarterly personal insolvency agreement levels fluctuate proportionally more than those of bankruptcies and debt agreements as levels are relatively small.

The number of personal insolvency agreements increased by 139.5% in the March quarter 2017 (91) compared to the March quarter 2016 (38), and also increased by 111.6% compared to the December quarter 2016 (43).

The rise in personal insolvency agreements in the March quarter 2017 compared to the March quarter 2016 was the result of increases in all states and territories:

  • Western Australia (240.0%)
  • Northern Territory (200.0%)
  • Victoria (162.5%)
  • New South Wales (100.0%)
  • Queensland (100.0%)
  • Tasmania (100.0%)
  • South Australia (50.0%)
  • Australian Capital Territory (increase to 3 personal insolvency agreements from 0).

The rise in personal insolvency agreements is the third consecutive year-on-year rise.

Personal insolvency agreements in Australia: % change compared to same quarter in previous year

MQ17 Personal insolvency agreements in Australia % change compared to same quarter in previous year

MQ17 Personal insolvency agreements in Australia % change compared to same quarter in previous year

An Australia-wide View Of Insolvency

The latest data from the Australian Financial Security Authority to December 2016 shows the count of personal and business insolvencies across the country.

Here is the count of debtors by state in the final quarter of 2016.

All the above figures refer to personal administrations under the Bankruptcy Act only (and not corporate insolvency). A business related bankruptcy is defined as being one in which an individual’s bankruptcy is directly related to his or her proprietary interest in a business.

Here are the trends. The fall in personal insolvencies in the east coast states explains why currently mortgage delinquency remains contained.

WA appears to be experiencing the brunt of the economic pressure, which  aligns with the higher mortgage default rates we are also seeing in the West and is further evidence of the distress there.

Personal insolvencies rise 1.1% in the September quarter 2016

The Australian Financial Security Authority today released the personal insolvency activity statistics for the September quarter 2016. Debt agreements reached record highs in Western Australia, South Australia and Northern Territory in the September quarter 2016.

There are three types of personal insolvencies: bankruptcies, debt agreements and personal insolvency agreements. Traditionally, changes in bankruptcies drove changes in total personal insolvencies. However, this has changed in recent years, with debt agreements often driving the change in total personal insolvencies. This is because in recent years, it is common for debt agreements to rise while bankruptcies fall.  In the September quarter 2016, debt agreements accounted for 44% of total personal insolvencies. This is the highest proportion since debt agreements commenced in 1997.

Quarterly bankruptcies compared to debt agreements

Quarterly bankruptcies compared to debt agreements

Personal insolvency in the September quarter 2016

Total personal insolvencies increased by 1.1% in the September quarter 2016 compared to the September quarter 2015. Despite recent rises, the number of personal insolvencies in the September quarter 2016 remains below the peaks reached in 2008-09 and 2009–10.

By type of personal insolvency:

  • bankruptcies fell 3.5%
  • debt agreements increased by 7.3%
  • personal insolvency agreements increased by 18.2%.

Personal insolvency agreements fluctuate more than bankruptcies and debt agreements as the numbers are relatively small.

Debt agreements in the September quarter 2016 are the second highest on record, with 3,307 debt agreements. The highest number of debt agreements was in the June quarter 2016 (3,329 debt agreements).

Debt agreements reached record highs in Western Australia, South Australia and Northern Territory in the September quarter 2016.

per-insolv

Debtors with a business-related personal insolvency

In the September quarter 2016, 18.4% of debtors entered a business related personal insolvency.  This is a rise from 17.5% in the June quarter 2016.

In the September quarter 2016:

  • economic conditions (483 debtors) was the most common business related cause
  • unemployment or loss of income (2,054 debtors) and excessive use of credit (2,047 debtors) were the most common non-business related causes.

Personal Insolvencies Up 13.7%

The Australian Financial Security Authority today released the personal insolvency activity statistics for the June quarter 2016. Total personal insolvencies increased 13.7% in the June quarter 2016 compared to the June quarter 2015. This is the largest rise since the March quarter 2009, when compared to the same quarter in the previous year. WA is worst hit with a 35% year on year rise.

Insolvencies-June-2016Total personal insolvency activity in Australia percentage change compared to same quarter in previous yearIn the June quarter 2016, economic conditions (465 debtors) was the most common business related cause whilst unemployment or loss of income (2,138 debtors) and excessive use of credit (2,132 debtors) were the most common non-business related causes.

By type of personal insolvency, bankruptcies increased by 7.0%, debt agreements increased by 24.3% and personal insolvency agreements were stable (0.0%).

Debt agreements in the June quarter 2016 are the highest on record, with 3,329 debt agreements. The previous record was in the September quarter 2015 (3,081 debt agreements).

Debt agreements reached record highs in New South Wales, Queensland and Western Australia in the June quarter 2016.

In the June quarter 2016, 17.5% of debtors entered a business related personal insolvency.  This is a rise from 16.1% in the March quarter 2016 and from 16.3% in the June quarter 2015.

Personal insolvency increased 1.5% in the March quarter 2016

The Australian Financial Security Authority (AFSA) released regional personal insolvency statistics for the March quarter 2016.

The number of debtors who entered a personal insolvency increased 1.5% in the March quarter 2016 compared to the December quarter 2015. The increase was driven by Queensland and Western Australia. The number of debtors who entered a personal insolvency in Queensland in the March quarter 2016 rose 5.1% compared to the December quarter 2015. The number of debtors in Western Australia in the March quarter 2016 rose 10.9% compared to the December quarter 2015.

New South Wales

·         Greater Sydney

    • In the March quarter 2016 compared to the December quarter 2015:
      • the number of debtors fell 4.3%; the main contributors to the fall were Blacktown, Campbelltown and Bankstown
      • the number of debtors who entered a business related personal insolvency fell 10.4%; the main contributors to the fall were Wyong and Cronulla – Miranda – Caringbah.

·         Rest of NSW

    • In the March quarter 2016 compared to the December quarter 2015:
      • the number of debtors fell 2.9%; the main contributors to the fall were Coffs Harbour and Wagga Wagga
      • the number of debtors who entered a business related personal insolvency rose 13.2%; the main contributors to the rise were Coffs Harbour and Newcastle.

Victoria

·         Greater Melbourne

    • In the March quarter 2016 compared to the December quarter 2015:
      • the number of debtors rose 7.6%; the main contributor to the rise was Cardinia
      • the number of debtors who entered a business related personal insolvency fell 10.9%; the main contributors to the fall were Melton – Bacchus Marsh, Casey – South and Frankston.

·         Rest of Vic

    • In the March quarter 2016 compared to the December quarter 2015:
      • the number of debtors fell 7.9%; the main contributors to the fall were Bendigo and Ballarat
      • the number of debtors who entered a business related personal insolvency fell 38.2%; the main contributor to the fall was Bendigo.

Queensland

·         Greater Brisbane

    • In the March quarter 2016 compared to the December quarter 2015:
      • the number of debtors increased 2.3%; the main contributors to the increase were Ipswich Hinterland and Browns Plains
      • the number of debtors who entered a business related personal insolvency fell 6.1%; the main contributor to the fall was Holland Park – Yeronga.

·         Rest of Qld

    • In the March quarter 2016 compared to the December quarter 2015:
      • the number of debtors increased 7.8%; the main contributor to the increase was Townsville
      • the number of debtors who entered a business related personal insolvency was stable at 262 debtors.

South Australia

·         Greater Adelaide

    • In the March quarter 2016 compared to the December quarter 2015:
      • the number of debtors increased 0.3%; the main contributors to the rise were Salisbury and Adelaide Hills
      • the number of debtors who entered a business related personal insolvency fell 5.5%; the main contributor to the fall was Tea Tree Gully.

·         Rest of SA

    • In the March quarter 2016 compared to the December quarter 2015:
      • the number of debtors fell 10.2%; the main contributors to the fall were Fleurieu – Kangaroo Island, Limestone Coast and Eyre Peninsula and South West
      • the number of debtors who entered a business related personal insolvency rose 21.4%.

Western Australia

·         Greater Perth

    • In the March quarter 2016 compared to the December quarter 2015:
      • the number of debtors rose 13.1%; the main contributors to the increase were Rockingham and Wanneroo
      • the number of debtors who entered a business related personal insolvency fell 12.2%; the main contributors to the fall were Stirling, Mandurah and Joondalup.

·         Rest of WA

    • In the March quarter 2016 compared to the December quarter 2015:
      • the number of debtors increased 1.3%; the main contributor to the rise was Mid West
      • the number of debtors who entered a business related personal insolvency fell 23.5%.

Tasmania

  • In the March quarter 2016 compared to the December quarter 2015:
    • the number of debtors increased 11.5% in Greater Hobart; the main contributor to the rise was Hobart – North East
    • the number of debtors fell 14.9% in rest of Tas; the main contributors to the fall were Launceston and Devonport
    • the number of debtors who entered a business related personal insolvency in Tasmania fell 24.1%.

Northern Territory

  • In the March quarter 2016 compared to the December quarter 2015:
    • the number of debtors fell 16.1% in Greater Darwin; the main contributor to the fall was Darwin Suburbs
    • the number of debtors fell 52.2% in rest of NT; the main contributor to the fall was Alice Springs
    • the number of debtors who entered a business related personal insolvency in Northern Territory fell 28.6%.

Australian Capital Territory

  • In the March quarter 2016 compared to the December quarter 2015:
    • the number of debtors rose 8.5%; the main contributor to the increase was Gungahlin
    • the number of debtors who entered a business related personal insolvency rose 50.0%.

Personal insolvency in Australia: number of debtors per state/territory

https://www.afsa.gov.au/resources/statistics/regional-statistics/regional-statistics-images/march-quarter-2016/personal-insolvency-in-australia-number-of-debtors-per-state-territory

 

WA and QLD Bears The Brunt of Personal Insolvencies In March Quarter

According to the latest data from the Australian Financial Security Authority, pressure is mounting in WA, with personal insolvencies in the March quarter 2016 compared to the March quarter 2015 rising 26.0%, bankruptcies increasing 19.6% and debt agreements in WA are now the highest on record. However Queensland has the highest number of insolvencies across the states with 2,197 recorded events in the quarter. This is a bellwether for mortgage defaults and house prices.

Across Australia, the number of personal insolvencies increased 2.0% in the March quarter 2016 (7,129) compared to the March quarter 2015 (6,989). It also increased 1.9% compared to the December quarter 2015 (6,994). The rise in personal insolvencies in the March quarter 2016 is the fourth consecutive rise when compared to the same quarter in the previous year.

Quarterly personal insolvency activity in AustraliaCases of personal insolvency are represented by bankruptcies, debt agreements and personal insolvency agreements.

Insolvency-3Queensland had more than 30% of the events, a little ahead of NSW at 28%, VIC at 20% and WA 10%.

Insolvency-1However, WA had the strongest rises year on year, followed by debt agreements in QLD with a rise of 25%. The 60% rise in NT is statistically small, though significant to those involved.

Insolvency-2WA also recorded the highest proportion of insolvencies which were business related at 19%, whilst QLD was at 18.5%.

Insolvenvcy-4Note that these figures refer to personal administrations under the Bankruptcy Act only (and not corporate insolvency). A business related bankruptcy is defined as being one in which an individual’s bankruptcy is directly related to his or her proprietary interest in a business.