Forget Affordable Housing: For Generations!

The data does not lie, housing is more out of reach for more Australians than ever before, whether renting, or purchase via a mortgage. The gap between incomes and home prices have gone through the roof, and households are spending more than ever on trying to house themselves. Over the past 20 years, property prices have risen at more than double that pace, increasing at a compound annual rate of 5.4 per cent. The result? An intergenerational chasm in wealth and opportunity, with younger Australians increasingly locked into rental cycles or forced to rely on parental support to buy a home.

But wait, we have a election campaign full of housing related promises, so surely this will be turned around, super quick No?

Well, no, not a chance actually. While Political leaders are pitching bold promises and glittering schemes to help young Australians climb the property ladder, behind the buzzwords and voter-friendly slogans, the numbers tell a far bleaker story. 70 years actually, Australia could be waiting until 2095 to see housing become truly affordable again.

Even though the policy platforms might sound promising, they are confused, political spin, especially against the promise from both major parties that they want to see home prices rise further, not fall towards more affordability.

Australia’s political and economic system has quietly but decisively placed homeownership at the centre of its wealth-building engine. Nearly every government of the past two decades has offered grants, tax breaks or deposit assistance schemes for homebuyers. But these policies have often acted to inflate prices further, helping buyers bid up property — and enriching those already in the market.

That mindset is politically potent. Over 11 million Australians own property, and 2.25 million hold investment properties. Only a few hundred thousand people attempt to enter the housing market each year. The electoral arithmetic is clear: protecting existing owners is good politics — even if it’s bad policy.

There are solutions out there, but So, on the one hand, 700,000 votes, on the other, something north of 11 million – even the dumbest of our politicians can “do that math”. And they do!

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Find more at https://digitalfinanceanalytics.com/blog/ where you can subscribe to our research alerts

Today’s post is brought to you by Ribbon Property Consultants.

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Forget Affordable Housing: For Generations!
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Markets Jump On Trump’s Latest Change Of Tune!

Here we go again. Just yesterday, markets fell on Trumps comments concerning Fed Chair Jerome Powell, and by threatening to sack the head of the world’s most important central bank.

Then the IMF came out with an economic update which slashed its US and global economic forecasts, warning that tariffs were ushering in a new era of slower growth.

Elsewhere a finance industry trade group the IIF said the US faced a likely recession later this year, and Goldman Sachs Chief Executive David Solomon said uncertainty was “too high” holding back corporate decision-making and keeping asset prices under pressure.

But then, in the latest twist on Wednesday, US time, Trump again called on the US Federal Reserve chairman to “be a little more active in terms of his idea to lower interest rates”. “But, no, I have no intention to fire him,” he volunteered in a reporters’ call in the White House. Make that 1-0 for Powell.

Markets reacted positively to the news At the close in NYSE, the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 2.66%, while the S&P 500 index added 2.51%, and the NASDAQ Composite index climbed 2.71%. The CBOE Volatility Index, which measures the implied volatility of S&P 500 options, was down 9.64% to 28.37.

We should expect the current crazy times to continue, with volatility ahead, as like it or not, the global financial system is in spasm, as I discussed on my live show yesterday. This will not end soon, and may not end well for many.

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Markets Jump On Trump’s Latest Change Of Tune!
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Economic Update: April 2025

This is my edit of a regular segment with Nuggets News, as we look at the latest market, finance and property news. This month we dwell on the question of the financial system, in the light of Trump’s tariffs and calls for the Fed Chair to cut rates. As a result, investors are leaving the US, pulling the USD lower, and bond yields higher. Is this the signal the global financial system is on the blink?

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Details of our one to one service are here: https://digitalfinanceanalytics.com/blog/dfa-one-to-one/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Find more at https://digitalfinanceanalytics.com/blog/ where you can subscribe to our research alerts

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Economic Update: April 2025
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Its Edwin’s Monday Evening Property Rant!

Property Insider Edwin and I kick around the latest property and election news, and pull apart the latest numbers.

During the show we highlight recent announcements from China about graduates now being pulled into the army, the latest on what people are not moving, despite in some cases pressures to do so, and the latest on MSM calls for rate cuts galore, despite warnings from the RBA of the consequences for the property market and broader financial stability.

Are we the only ones feeling jaded by the current ineffectiveness of the election campaigning?

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Find more at https://digitalfinanceanalytics.com/blog/ where you can subscribe to our research alerts

Today’s post is brought to you by Ribbon Property Consultants.

If you are buying your home in Sydney’s contentious market, you do not need to stand alone. This is the time you need to have Edwin from Ribbon Property Consultants standing along side you.

Buying property, is both challenging and adversarial. The vendor has a professional on their side.

Emotions run high – price discovery and price transparency are hard to find – then there is the wasted time and financial investment you make.

Edwin understands your needs. So why not engage a licensed professional to stand alongside you. With RPC you know you have: experience, knowledge, and master negotiators, looking after your best interest.

Shoot Ribbon an email on info@ribbonproperty.com.au & use promo code: DFA-WTW/MARTIN to receive your 10% DISCOUNT OFFER.

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Its Edwin's Monday Evening Property Rant!
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Finally, Some Of The MSM Are Telling The Economic Truth (Sort Of)…

I had a couple of YouTube shows pop up in my feed today which cut to the heart of the economic issues which Australia is facing. Up to now, the critical questions around migration, productivity and gas reservation were really not covered in any depth, indeed, some might say they were deliberately avoided.

But now first we got Daniel Mercer, the ABC Energy Reporter talking about the real reasons Australia is running out of gas. https://youtu.be/emlOIagqtds

And then Bloomberg originals released Why Australia’s Miracle Economy Is Failing. https://youtu.be/0lEtQqvdS2g

This election is important because unless we get significant shifts in policy, we will continue to grind lower in terms of real income, and social opportunity. And we need to ask why policies around productivity improvement, real tax and housing reform and a proper migration strategy, not to the fore?

As Andy Schmulow, who was featured in the AFR today, the Citizens Party Senate Candidate for NSW puts it “Democracy is dying because people have lost faith in government and its institutions, and you can’t blame them”.

https://www.afr.com/companies/financial-services/why-this-pwc-and-big-bank-agitator-is-running-for-the-senate-20250404-p5lp7k

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Details of our one to one service are here: https://digitalfinanceanalytics.com/blog/dfa-one-to-one/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Finally, Some Of The MSM Are Telling The Economic Truth (Sort Of)…
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Meet A Man With A Mission To Save Australia!

I caught up with Assoc Prof Andy Schmulow, the NSW Senate Candidate for The Australian Citizens Party, as we did a deep dive into the structural issues which are killing the Australian Economy, and its society; and what can be done about them.

The conversation touched on the rigged system which has caused the cost of living crisis, the corruption which has made large companies super-profitable at the expense of the community, and why the current political system is so broken.

But Andy also talks about what can be done to fix the issues, and how strategic voting especially in the Senate (which ever state you may be it) can lay a path for a profoundly better future.

https://scholars.uow.edu.au/andy-schmulow
https://citizensparty.org.au/
https://www.afr.com/companies/financial-services/why-this-pwc-and-big-bank-agitator-is-running-for-the-senate-20250404-p5lp7k

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Details of our one to one service are here: https://digitalfinanceanalytics.com/blog/dfa-one-to-one/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Meet A Man With A Mission To Save Australia!
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Some Sliding Door Moments On The Fractured Australian Property!

Australia’s housing crisis is a key issue in this year’s election and as the campaigns run on, yawn, housing remains a central issue, but both major parties are playing games rather than getting to the heart of the issue. So today, I want to go though three cameos which bring out some of the critical issues which need to be explored. But aren’t in the current campaigns.

The first is the ongoing rental crisis, and I made a post recently on the problem one third of households are struggling with. But if this sounds rather academic, then my earlier show where I spoke with Morgan Cox, who has become something of a celebrity following his straightforward question on ABC Q&A, makes the issue personal.

And Morgan continues his quest to raise the issue of homelessness, as Albo now has a new neighbour, as Cox set up his tent outside the PM’s mansion in protest of the housing crisis. He says “I’m trying to send a message to the Government.”

The Second issue is homelessness versus development. On a quiet bend of Selwyn Street in Sydney’s affluent Paddington, two run-down homes stand as stark symbols of Australia’s escalating housing crisis.

In late 2022, developer LFD Developments snapped up the buildings, known as the Selwyn Street boarding houses, with plans to replace them with four luxury homes. Under threat of eviction, most of the 28 men who lived there moved out this year, with just four remaining.

Now, as housing affordability dominates the national agenda ahead of next month’s election, the battle to save this rare pocket of inner-city low-income housing has gained momentum.

And finally, Build to Rent as typified by in Sydney’s outer suburban hub of Parramatta, where there is an overgrown patch of land sandwiched between the train station and a Westfield mall but which is also is emblematic of the battle lines forming around the future of housing and who will run Australia.
Urban Property Group, a developer, is planning to build on the site a 46-story tower of build-to-rent housing, a previously uncommon type of accommodation in Australia where renters pay a company rather than an individual landlord.

In Australia’s case, the majority of BTR projects to date have been premium products targeting mid-to-high income households and even with a recently legislated affordability clause that applies to 10% of homes within developments, they’ll still be beyond the means of very low income earners.

Whoever wins the election will need to solve two crises at the same time – a chronic, retrospective housing shortage and a lack of future supply. That doesn’t happen overnight!

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Details of our one to one service are here: https://digitalfinanceanalytics.com/blog/dfa-one-to-one/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Some Sliding Door Moments On The Fractured Australian Property!
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Plenty Of Waffle But No Beef: The Rental Scandal That Pollies Prefer To Ignore!

In my live show with Leith van Onselen yesterday, we pulled apart the major party campaigns relating to housing, which focussed on those trying to buy, and a promise of higher home prices for all. This will put a rocket under home prices. But the real story, and the accompanying policy vacuum relates to the rental sector. One third of households are renting, and the number continues to rise as people are squeezed out of home ownership.

As I reported my surveys show that more than three in four renters are under financial pressure, with many caught in the ugly situation of having to accept significant further lifts in rent or have to enter the scrum to find another place which is more affordable.

“Australia is facing its worst rental crisis yet … with little relief in sight for most renters,” said Karen Walsh, chief executive of National Shelter. “Many renters across Australia are hurting and in distress. As rents rise faster than wages, they’re trapped in a relentless cycle … facing a reality where hope for a brighter future feels increasingly out of reach.”

Speaking to ABC News Channel, Maiy Azize from Everybody’s Home — a National campaign dedicated to fixing Australia’s housing crisis — and a former national secretary for the Greens, said it was a huge problem but there had not been any significant major party announcements for renters.

“Six hundred and forty thousand renters across the country are in really, really extreme rental stress, there is just nothing put on the table for them this federal election, which is really disappointing to see.”

This is a policy free area, through the campaign, yet its the pointy bit of the housing crisis. Why are politicians avoiding the issue?

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Plenty Of Waffle But No Beef: The Rental Scandal That Pollies Prefer To Ignore!
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DFA Live Q&A HD Replay: Are Australian House Prices Set To Rocket? With Leith Van Onselen

This is an edit version of a live discussion as I explore the latest political interventions into the housing market and other economic issues with Leith Van Onselen, Chief Economist at Nucleus Wealth and Co-founder of Macrobusiness. Will house prices skyrocket following the election of a second-term Labor government?

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Details of our one to one service are here: https://digitalfinanceanalytics.com/blog/dfa-one-to-one/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
DFA Live Q&A HD Replay: Are Australian House Prices Set To Rocket? With Leith Van Onselen
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Its Edwin’s Monday Evening Property Rant!

An important week for a Rant as Edwin and I pick apart the latest housing policy announcements, and the broader economic questions surrounding the Trump Tariff games. What will property do as a result?

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Find more at https://digitalfinanceanalytics.com/blog/ where you can subscribe to our research alerts

Today’s post is brought to you by Ribbon Property Consultants.

If you are buying your home in Sydney’s contentious market, you do not need to stand alone. This is the time you need to have Edwin from Ribbon Property Consultants standing along side you.

Buying property, is both challenging and adversarial. The vendor has a professional on their side.

Emotions run high – price discovery and price transparency are hard to find – then there is the wasted time and financial investment you make.

Edwin understands your needs. So why not engage a licensed professional to stand alongside you. With RPC you know you have: experience, knowledge, and master negotiators, looking after your best interest.

Shoot Ribbon an email on info@ribbonproperty.com.au & use promo code: DFA-WTW/MARTIN to receive your 10% DISCOUNT OFFER.

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Its Edwin's Monday Evening Property Rant!
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