A Question Of Democracy!

This week the Senate held hearings into the proposed changes to the way the RBA works. The original review was led by three Technocrats included a recommendation to remove the overrule power. This power specifically, section 11 of the Reserve Bank Act 1959 enables the federal treasurer to “overrule” an action taken by the Reserve Bank in extreme situations, via a clear and determined process, and even though no Australian government had used it in the more than 60 years it is important. It’s supposed to be a democratic fail-safe.

The Technocrats recommended the overrule power should be removed from the act. Their reasoning was that there was a risk that the federal treasurer, and by extension the federal government, might abuse that power. But what if the RBA abuses their power? The proposed change was not supported by the bulk of those who appeared in the Senate hearings, so today we look at the evidence provided.

At the heart of the issue is this. How accountable should the RBA be? And if there is no democratic override from the section 11 power, what happens if the Economists at the RBA set monetary policy in a way that badly impacts ordinary people, bearing in mind that another recommendation was to strike safeguarding the “welfare of all Australians” from their objectives. The focus will be on inflation and employment, only.

Central bankers are not infallible, sometimes makes mistakes, and frankly are already not accountable for their decisions, right or wrong. It’s a question of democracy.

So standing back, it seems it was the Technocrats and Economists who wanted to remove the section 11 power, but those with real lived experience, from both the Central Bank, and Government, as well as many respected observers, all agree.

Democracy would be sacrificed, and the Central Bank would be even less accountable if the power was removed. In other words, it is a question of democracy. And more broadly the idea of unelected Central Banks, being able to impose monetary policy decisions without question should terrify us all.

http://www.martinnorth.com/

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Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
A Question Of Democracy!
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Tip Of The Asbestos Iceberg: The Nightmare Continues Across NSW

More sites have now been confirmed to have asbestos including transport infrastructure projects, primary and secondary schools, supermarkets and hospitals, according to the EPA, across NSW. The premier, Chris Minns, has said the Environment Protection Authority (EPA) is examining the sites as it undertakes its largest investigation ever.

The agency on Saturday said a public school, park, and two part-built housing estates were tainted, while transport projects, a warehouse and a hospital have also been confirmed as impacted.

The activity underway to tackle exposed sites is a pimple compared with the total load in the community. But of course, agencies do not want to take the lid off that can, so individuals must become asbestos aware, that is the cornerstone of our ongoing campaign over at Asbestos Awareness Australia.

https://www.youtube.com/@UCZq09OVTbSjuadMKi6MRkVw

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Tip Of The Asbestos Iceberg: The Nightmare Continues Across NSW
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Its Edwin’s Monday Evening Property Rant!

We are back for another Monday rant with our property insider, Edwin Almeida. We look at the political “fixes” versus reality as rental supply dwindles, and the costs of new builds go through the roof.

Its not a pretty picture and there are social consequences emerging. Can we get politicians to move beyond the political?

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Today’s post is brought to you by Ribbon Property Consultants.

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Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Its Edwin's Monday Evening Property Rant!
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The RBA Is Trapped: With Tarric Brooker…

Journalist Tarric Brooker joins me for a Friday review, and this week we look at the RBA and how it is trapped thanks to conflicting data.

He also walks through some important slides on property and China. Here is the link to the slides: https://avidcom.substack.com/p/dfa-chart-pack-16th-february-2024

http://www.martinnorth.com/

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Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
The RBA Is Trapped: With Tarric Brooker...
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RBA Independence Discussed In Senate Committee

RBA Independence or should that be spelt “dance…” was one issue discussed during the Senate Economics Legislation Committee on Thursday 15th February 2024.

Senators Nick McKim and Gerard Rennick quiz RBA Governor Michelle Bullock during the hearings. Highly relevant given the current proposed legislation to remove Government oversight of their activities.

Segments on other issues will follow. Here is the link to the full hearing (1:30:00) https://www.aph.gov.au/News_and_Events/Watch_Read_Listen/ParlView/video/2174307

http://www.martinnorth.com/

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Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
RBA Independence Discussed In Senate Committee
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Economic Update: February 2024

This is my edit of our monthly economic update on Nuggets News, as we explore the current trends across markets and economies. Things are getting interesting as higher for longer plays out.

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Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Economic Update: February 2024
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DFA Live Q&A Replay: Latest Household Financial Stress And Modelling

This is an edited version of our live discussion about the current state of play of mortgage, rental and financial household stress across Australia, based on our latest surveys and modelling. We had our post code engine online.

Find out more beforehand by watching this show: Many Households Are In Trouble – Mate! https://youtu.be/np4H9RkPqEo

Original live version with chat here: https://youtube.com/live/Qs__lYQMhP4

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
DFA Live Q&A Replay: Latest Household Financial Stress And Modelling
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Its Edwin’s Monday Evening Property Rant!

Another dose of reality from our property insider Edwin Almeida. What political games are being played at the moment, and how is this influencing markets, which according to some are taking off again. Or does it depend on where you look and who is buying. How big is the housing crises now? Will any of the “solutions” being discussed really assist?

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Today’s post is brought to you by Ribbon Property Consultants.

If you are buying your home in Sydney’s contentious market, you do not need to stand alone. This is the time you need to have Edwin from Ribbon Property Consultants standing along side you.

Buying property, is both challenging and adversarial. The vendor has a professional on their side.

Emotions run high – price discovery and price transparency are hard to find – then there is the wasted time and financial investment you make.

Edwin understands your needs. So why not engage a licensed professional to stand alongside you. With RPC you know you have: experience, knowledge, and master negotiators, looking after your best interest.

Shoot Ribbon an email on info@ribbonproperty.com.au & use promo code: DFA-WTW/MARTIN to receive your 10% DISCOUNT OFFER.

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Its Edwin's Monday Evening Property Rant!
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Which Households Are Hurting The Most – According To The RBA?

Reserve Bank governor Michele Bullock was back in front of the bright lights, appearing at a House Economics Committee Hearing on Friday.

I have selected the edited highlights in this show, from the 3 hours of questions, and have included some of her statements. While she didn’t add a whole lot more to what she said at Tuesday’s press conference, she emphasised two points that should give pause to those expecting multiple rate cuts this calendar year.

The first was in response to a question on inflation expectations: by the time inflation gets back to the midpoint of the target band of 2 per cent to 3 per cent, as required by the RBA’s new mandate – which occurs some time beyond the middle of 2026 on the RBA’s latest forecasts – inflation will have been outside the target range for four years, which is right on the edge of what the RBA will tolerate.

The second was on productivity.

But she also touched on the risks in the forecasts, the impact of the Bank of Mum and Dad, and other distributional impact questions across households. Frankly, I found this unconvincing. So the think the RBA has much to do to gain a better set of insights into the current state of play!..

Let me know what you think in the comments!

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Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Which Households Are Hurting The Most - According To The RBA?
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Is Negative Gearing The Next Target?

Interesting to see the momentum now turning to discussion of whether the Government intends to tackle negative gearing having U-turned on the tax cuts.

As The Conversation put it, there are two things the prime minister needs to get into his head about tax. One is that saying he won’t make any further changes no longer works. The other is that negative gearing doesn’t do much to get people into homes.

Australia’s Treasury has begun publishing estimates of the cost of the present unfocused system of negative gearing. Its latest, released last week, puts the cost at $2.7 billion per year, to which should probably be added a chunk of the $19 billion per year lost as a result of the capital gains concession.

Albanese is normally cautious. But as he is showing us right now with his rejigged Stage 3 tax cuts, there are times when he is not. If he really wants to throw everything he has got at building more homes, he knows what to do.

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Today’s post is brought to you by Ribbon Property Consultants.

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Is Negative Gearing The Next Target?
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