The RBA’s Statement on Monetary Policy, out today suggests inflation will run hotter for longer and real wages will continue to shrink into the foreseeable future.
Some politicians are pushing for the Governor to resign as analysts lift their forward thinking on rates. But what is really going on? In short no one wants to take responsibility for the mega stuff-up.
Ordinary people are being hit hard, and there is no immediate relief in sight.
http://www.martinnorth.com/
Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Everyone Blames Someone Else For This Mess!! [Podcast]
The RBA’s Statement on Monetary Policy, out today suggests inflation will run hotter for longer and real wages will continue to shrink into the foreseeable future.
Some politicians are pushing for the Governor to resign as analysts lift their forward thinking on rates. But what is really going on? In short no one wants to take responsibility for the mega stuff-up.
Ordinary people are being hit hard, and there is no immediate relief in sight.
http://www.martinnorth.com/
Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/
I caught up with Peter Marshall from Mozo to debrief on the latest RBA rate hikes, and the fallout.
And more rate rises must be expected too…
Peter Marshall has been working in the Australian banking and finance industry for over 20 years and oversees Mozo’s extensive product database. He is regularly sought out for his expert commentary and analysis on banking and interest rates trends by print, radio and TV media.
RBA Governor Lowe’s term is up for review later in the year. The current review of the Australian Central Bank will report around March, so what is the likely outcome.
Bloomberg reports on economists’ views of what might happen. But the elephant in the room is that inflation has been caused by poor monetary policy over the past couple of decades. or in other words, the RBA helped create the inflation problem they are now trying to defuse.
Maybe someone outside the Martin Place bubble would be more effective in helping to take the country forward.
http://www.martinnorth.com/
Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/
Journalist Tarric Brooker and I chew over a range of audience questions in our Friday session today, from property prices and monetary policy to China demographics.
Thanks to all those who sent in questions. Tell us what you think of this format.
In this week’s market update we as always start in the US, cross to Europe, Asia and end in Australia. Markets have started to look through the recession fears it seems, banking on the Fed slowing its rake hikes, and reversing later in 2023.
Yet the signals are still mixed, and earnings are clearly under pressure in many market sectors. But it does seem to me to be a question about seeing the wood for the trees. The bigger trend on markets still is pointing lower, despite the short term moves higher. We are not, I think out of the woods yet… remembering Central Banks over nearly 20 years have tried to engineer growth through massive stimulation and debt, and economies have been distorted beyond belief. As support is removed, asset values are still over done, and the cost of debt rises.
The Dow cut losses to close higher Friday, as investors bought the early-day dip in banks following a string of better-than-expected results, though concerns about a weaker economy linger. In the end the S&P 500 and Nasdaq finished at their highest levels in a month on Friday, leaving the S&P 500 up 4.2% so far in 2023.
For the week, the S&P 500 gained 2.7% and the Dow rose 2%. The Nasdaq increased 4.8% in its biggest weekly percentage gain since Nov. 11. The CBOE Volatility index -Wall Street’s fear gauge -closed at a one-year low. The U.S. stock market will be closed Monday for the Martin Luther King Jr. Day holiday.
CONTENTS
0:00 Start 0:15 Introduction 1:15 US Markets 4:10 Consumer Sentiment 5:59 US Dollar 7:05 Oil 7:30 Best Stocks From Goldman 10:30 Europe 12:55 Global Growth Slowing 14:00 Gold 14:15 Asia 15:35 Australia 18:30 Crypto SEC Action 20:00 Bitcoin 20:25 Summary and Conclusion
http://www.martinnorth.com/
Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Seeing The Financial Wood Amongst The Trees...! [Podcast]
In this week’s market update we as always start in the US, cross to Europe, Asia and end in Australia. Markets have started to look through the recession fears it seems, banking on the Fed slowing its rake hikes, and reversing later in 2023.
Yet the signals are still mixed, and earnings are clearly under pressure in many market sectors. But it does seem to me to be a question about seeing the wood for the trees. The bigger trend on markets still is pointing lower, despite the short term moves higher. We are not, I think out of the woods yet… remembering Central Banks over nearly 20 years have tried to engineer growth through massive stimulation and debt, and economies have been distorted beyond belief. As support is removed, asset values are still over done, and the cost of debt rises.
The Dow cut losses to close higher Friday, as investors bought the early-day dip in banks following a string of better-than-expected results, though concerns about a weaker economy linger. In the end the S&P 500 and Nasdaq finished at their highest levels in a month on Friday, leaving the S&P 500 up 4.2% so far in 2023.
For the week, the S&P 500 gained 2.7% and the Dow rose 2%. The Nasdaq increased 4.8% in its biggest weekly percentage gain since Nov. 11. The CBOE Volatility index -Wall Street’s fear gauge -closed at a one-year low. The U.S. stock market will be closed Monday for the Martin Luther King Jr. Day holiday.
http://www.martinnorth.com/
Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/
The ABS finally released their November 2022 New Lending stats today. Overall new loan commitments fell 3.7% in the month, and apart from refinancing, which hit a record, all other loan categories dropped to levels which in some cases were below pre-COVID levels.
First time buyers were hit hard.
More signals of a falling property market ahead.
http://www.martinnorth.com/
Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/
An interesting report came out last December from the House Standing Committee On Economics, relating to the RBA and their recent questioning of Governor Lowe.
The report was a bit of a squib in that whilst it recognised some of the issues relating to monetary policy and interest rates, they skirted round the big issues of what caused the inflation in the first place, and the role of extended credit in inflating prices.
We discuss the report and its shortcomings.
http://www.martinnorth.com/
Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/
