Stronger New Dwelling Approvals in October

ABS figures released today show that building approvals increased by 3.9 per cent in October, the second consecutive month of growth, said the Housing Industry Association.

During October, total seasonally-adjusted new dwelling approvals rose to 19,652, the strongest monthly result since the all-time record high reached in July. The distribution of the growth was mixed, however; while multi-unit approvals increased by 10.1 per cent during October, detached house approvals fell by 2.1 per cent during the month. The back-to-back increases in approvals during September and October were the first consecutive monthly increases since the beginning of the year.

HIA-Approvals-October-2015During October 2015, total seasonally adjusted new home building approvals saw the largest increase in South Australia (+23.4 per cent), followed by New South Wales (+22.0 per cent) and Victoria (+21.2 per cent). Approvals fell in Tasmania (-41.6 per cent), Queensland (-28.7 per cent) and Western Australia (-1.1 per cent). In trend terms, approvals saw a 7.1 per cent increase in the NT but declined by 10.8 percent in the Australian Capital Territory.

No Change to the RBA Cash Rate

At its meeting today, the Board decided to leave the cash rate unchanged at 2.0 per cent.

The global economy is expanding at a moderate pace, with some softening in conditions in the Asian region, continuing US growth and a recovery in Europe. Key commodity prices are much lower than a year ago, reflecting increased supply, including from Australia, as well as weaker demand. Australia’s terms of trade are falling.

The Federal Reserve is expected to start increasing its policy rate over the period ahead, but some other major central banks are continuing to ease monetary policy. Volatility in financial markets has abated somewhat for the moment. While credit costs for some emerging market countries remain higher than a year ago, global financial conditions overall remain very accommodative.

In Australia, the available information suggests that moderate expansion in the economy continues in the face of a large decline in capital spending in the mining sector. While GDP growth has been somewhat below longer-term averages for some time, business surveys suggest a gradual improvement in conditions in non-mining sectors over the past year. This has been accompanied by stronger growth in employment and a steady rate of unemployment.

Inflation is low and should remain so, with the economy likely to have a degree of spare capacity for some time yet. Inflation is forecast to be consistent with the target over the next one to two years.

In such circumstances, monetary policy needs to be accommodative. Low interest rates are acting to support borrowing and spending. While the recent changes to some lending rates for housing will reduce this support slightly, overall conditions are still quite accommodative. Credit growth has increased a little over recent months, with credit provided by intermediaries to businesses picking up. Growth in lending to investors in the housing market has eased. Supervisory measures are helping to contain risks that may arise from the housing market.

The pace of growth in dwelling prices has moderated in Melbourne and Sydney over recent months and has remained mostly subdued in other cities. In other asset markets, prices for commercial property have been supported by lower long-term interest rates, while equity prices have moved in parallel with developments in global markets. The Australian dollar is adjusting to the significant declines in key commodity prices.

At today’s meeting the Board again judged that the prospects for an improvement in economic conditions had firmed a little over recent months and that leaving the cash rate unchanged was appropriate. Members also observed that the outlook for inflation may afford scope for further easing of policy, should that be appropriate to lend support to demand. The Board will continue to assess the outlook, and hence whether the current stance of policy will most effectively foster sustainable growth and inflation consistent with the target.

 

Home values fall in Sydney and Melbourne as housing market moves through peak of cycle – CoreLogic RP Data

The CoreLogic November Home Value Index out today confirmed dwelling values fell across five of the eight capital cities in Australia over the month, taking the combined capitals index 1.5% lower.

According to CoreLogic RP Data head of research Tim Lawless, slower housing market conditions for Sydney and Melbourne became evident earlier in the year and continued throughout November. Over the month, Melbourne values fell by 3.5 per cent, while Sydney values were down 1.4 per cent.  Hobart dwelling values dropped by 2.4 per cent, Darwin values were down 1.3 per cent and dwelling values moved 0.5 per cent lower in Canberra.   Overall the combined capitals housing index has seen dwelling values drop by 1.5 per cent over November, taking the rolling quarterly rate of change to -0.5 per cent.

Values rose in the remaining three capital cities, with Adelaide showing the highest month-on-month growth rate (0.7 per cent), followed by Brisbane (0.6 per cent) and Perth (0.3 per cent).

Mr Lawless said, “The latest results are now placing downwards pressure on the annual change in dwelling values. The annual rate of growth across the combined capitals index peaked at 11.5 per cent back in April 2014, and has since reduced to 8.7 per cent.”

Sydney maintained the highest annual growth rate at 12.8 per cent, which is down from a peak rate of annual growth of 18.4 per cent in July earlier this year, while Melbourne’s annual growth rate has reduced from a recent peak of 14.2 per cent to 11.8 per cent over the 12 months ending November this year.

The only capital cities where values have declined over the past year are Darwin (-4.2 per cent) and Perth (-4.1 per cent), where weaker economic conditions and a slowdown in population growth contributed to an early peak in housing market conditions in December last year.  The equivalent peak in the cycle for Darwin was May 2014.   Since that time, Perth values are down a cumulative 5.9 per cent and Darwin values have fallen by a larger 6.8 per cent.

Index results as at November 30, 2015

2015-12--indices

“The fact that mortgage rates have risen independently of the cash rate has, in all likelihood,  become a contributor to the slowdown in housing market conditions, as well as tighter lending practices evidenced by a recent reduction in  lender risk appetite for investment loans and high loan to valuation ratio mortgages. Tighter mortgage servicing criteria across the board and affordability constraints in the Sydney and Melbourne markets are also having an impact on market demand.”  Mr Lawless said.

As a consequence of the tighter lending environment for investors, as well as gross rental yields being at near record lows, participation in the housing market from investors has reduced from 54.1 per cent of all new mortgages in May 2015 to 45.4 per cent at the end of September, which is the lowest level since July 2013.   Data released by APRA at the end of last month showed the pace of investment related housing credit growth fell below the APRA 10 per cent speed limit for the first time since September last year, with the monthly change in investment credit growth the lowest since October 2011.

According to today’s results, the slowdown comes after auction clearance rates have moderated back to the low 60 per cent range since the last week of October, whilst average selling time and vendor discounting rates also continue to rise from their record lows.

The 1.5 per cent decline in capital city dwelling values over the month, coupled with a 0.3 per cent rise in weekly rents, has seen the average gross yield record a subtle improvement over the month.  This follows a trend towards lower rental yields which commenced in May 2013.  Gross yields remain close to record lows for houses in Melbourne at an average of 3.0 per cent, while Sydney has overtaken Melbourne to show the lowest yield profile across the capital city unit markets, with an average gross rental yield of 4.1 per cent.

Mr Lawless said, “Slower housing market conditions will likely be a topic of conversation when the Reserve Bank board meets today to deliberate on the cash rate setting.  A less buoyant housing market is likely to provide the Reserve Bank with a greater degree of flexibility in adjusting interest rates without as much risk of overstimulating the housing market.”

“While the Reserve Bank is likely to welcome a slowdown in the rate of home value appreciation, the overriding objective would be to avoid a significant downturn in the housing market, which would act as a weight on economic growth and potentially impact financial system stability.”

“With the housing market moving through the peak of the cycle at a time when there is a large number of new dwellings commencing construction, there is likely to be a heightened level of settlement risk for off the plan purchases.”

“Those purchasers who have recently purchased off-the-plan may face challenges at the time of settlement if the valuation of the property is lower than the contracted price, or if mortgage finance is less freely available, or on more expensive terms.  This would imply that some buyers may have a higher loan to valuation ratio than anticipated, which could require additional funds to bring the LVR down to a level the lender is comfortable with.”

“As a result of slowing housing market conditions, an additional risk for policymakers is where a large number of dwellings approved for construction are postponed or withdrawn as developers face fewer presales or lose confidence in their ability to deliver a profitable project to market,” Mr Lawless said.

RateSetter sees monumental growth from broker channel

From Australian Broker Online.

Leading peer-to-peer (P2P) lender RateSetter has seen significant growth in broker referrals, with almost one third (30%) of its business now coming through the third party channel.

Speaking to Australian Broker, the chief executive of RateSetter, Daniel Foggo, said that the broker channel is an important avenue of growth for the P2P lender, which specialises in providing personal loans, and he expects business referred through brokers to make up around half of its business volumes in the next year.

“We have 50 brokerage firms referring applicants to us, which reflects around 50 different brokers. They are now referring about 30% of our business volumes to us – so it is quite significant and we see it as an avenue of significant growth for us,” Foggo said.

“We identified [engaging with brokers] quite early on as an opportunity for a broker to provide another service to their customers in a very light touch way. About a year ago we initiated some conversations with brokers about the opportunity. That percentage keeps growing so we expect it to be up around 50% in a year or so.”

There are different referral models a broker can use when referring a client to RateSetter, according to Foggo, depending on how ‘hands-on’ the broker wants to be.

“The first model is very simple for the broker, they literally just send a web link to their customer and the customer thereafter fills out an application form and the broker is kept entirely up to date as to how that application is progressing,” Foggo told Australian Broker.

“The broker is also provided a portal where they can log on anytime to see the status of any application and how much money they have actually made through referring people to us.

“The next model is slightly more hands on the for the broker and in less than a minute they can actually perform a rate estimate for the customer which basically requires them to provide a name and address and some brief details and we will give the applicant an indicative loan rate and it is up to the broker then whether they proceed with the application themselves on behalf of the customer or whether the customer does it directly.”

But whilst RateSetter is seeing significant growth from the broker channel, Foggo told Australian Broker that there is still a common misconception that P2P lenders pose a threat to the market.

“I think, generally, there is a perception that P2P lenders might be a threat over time, but really, we definitely see them as being an opportunity for brokers to broaden out their offering. We don’t think [P2P lenders] are ever going to disrupt their core brokerage market of residential property but we might be able to complement it with personal loans and other areas. It really just adds another strength to the bow of the broker.”

 

ATO leads Digital by default – In Theory

The ATO has opened community consultation on its Digital by default initiative, as it continues its push to deliver better products and services for all taxpayers.

But unless the clunky and inefficient MyGov processes are substantially improved, this could be a disaster.  DFA’s experience has been that the migration to a digital channel was suddenly imposed, without notice, and the supposed email alerts never arrived, leaving a gaping hole in messages from the ATO and risking tax penalties. It simply put the onus on the tax payer to go and log in on the off-chance there might be a new message and the ATO simply blamed “the system”. So whilst the theory might be good, it all comes down to excellence of execution, and so far, this is a major FAIL!  A bland email alert, even it it did arrive is not acceptable.

Here is the ATO release:

The proposed change will deliver a simpler, easier, more flexible and adaptable way of interacting digitally with the ATO and puts the taxpayer experience at the forefront of service delivery.

Deputy Commissioner Michelle Crosby said the Digital by default initiative will require most taxpayers to use ATO digital services to send and receive information and payments, except where they do not have the ability to do so.

“More and more, people are carrying out their day-to-day business online and in the last couple of years a focus of ours has been to make sure our digital services meet the community’s needs. The Digital by default initiative is an extension of this commitment,” Ms Crosby said.

“For most people, it just makes more sense to use our online products, which offer a more personalised and convenient service.”

Ms Crosby said while there were lots of benefits to a digital approach, such as improved access to information at convenient times on the device or software of choice, and faster turnaround times, the ATO knows that for those who have relied on paper products it may be a big change.

“This ATO-led initiative will require people still using paper products to switch to ATO digital services. We’ll be providing time and support for those who need help to make the shift from paper to digital,” Ms Crosby said.

“We have released a consultation paper and are seeking feedback from all sections of the community. We want to make sure we have a fully-rounded understanding of the support needed to transition to digital services, the approach we take for those who cannot use digital services, and any concerns people might have.”

Ms Crosby said there would be some instances where it would not be possible to go digital due to individual circumstances.

“We will ensure that alternative services are available to this small group of people,” Ms Crosby said.

To get involved in the Digital by default conversation and provide your feedback, visit our Let’s Talk webpage: http://lets-talk.ato.gov.au/DigitalbydefaultExternal Link

The opportunity to provide feedback on the Digital by default consultation paper is open from 30 November to 15 January 2016.

Digital by default is one of three initiatives announced in the 2015-16 Budget as part of the ‘Reducing red tape measure – reforms to the Australian Taxation Office’External Link.

Banking Regulation – Why focus on culture?

Remarks by Mr Alberto G Musalem, EVP of the Integrated Policy Analysis Group of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, highlight why cultural reform in financial services is important. He argues: First, cultural problems are the industry’s responsibility to solve. Second, a bank’s implicit norms-especially those reinforced through incentives-must align with the public purpose of banking. Third, the reform of bank culture should aim to restore trust.

The New York Fed has, for the last two years, been part of an international dialogue on the reform of culture in the financial services industry. Why culture? Let’s begin with the following hypothesis: environment drives conduct. What each of us learned from our parents governs some of our behavior, but not nearly as much as any of us who are parents would like to believe. Place ordinary people in a bad environment, and bad things tend to happen. That said, place someone in a good environment, and good things tend to happen. This is just part of being human. We observe and adapt.

Before continuing, I would like to clarify that the views I express today are my own and may not reflect the views of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York or the Federal Reserve System.

Part of any organization’s environment is its culture. Some have labored over a precise definition of the word “culture.” Bill Dudley, the President of the New York Fed, has offered the following description, which works for me: “Culture relates to the implicit norms that guide behavior in the absence of regulations or compliance rules – and sometimes despite those explicit restraints. Culture exists within every firm whether it is recognized or ignored, whether it is nurtured or neglected, and whether it is embraced or disavowed.”1

The New York Fed’s interest in reforming culture is a product of events since the Financial Crisis. Take, for example, the manipulation of LIBOR and foreign exchange rates, much of which was collusive. Each of those episodes involved misconduct affecting wholesale markets on which the real economy relies. Both cases shared an underlying, flawed outlook. Bankers failed to see beyond their immediate financial goals. They ignored the broader social consequences of their decisions on the firm and its customers, as well as on consumers, producers, savers and investors. The same flawed outlook may have contributed to the Financial Crisis.

There are many more examples. One bank was fined for doing business with Sudan despite economic sanctions imposed for engaging in genocide. Another bank manipulated electricity markets in California and Michigan. Other banks helped U.S. citizens evade taxes. I will not review the full litany. Notably, none of these recent episodes had anything to do with capital levels or liquidity ratios. The many post-Crisis reforms to bank balance sheets – including the Dodd-Frank Act and new standards developed by the Basel Committee on Bank Supervision and the Financial Stability Board-provided necessary bulwarks against systemic risks. Capital and liquidity requirements, and the enhanced testing surrounding them, have made banks and the financial system more resilient to stress. But those new laws, regulations, and standards have done little to curb banker misconduct. Each post-Crisis episode demonstrates a narrow cultural focus on short-term gain and disregard of broader social consequences.

Last year the New York Fed challenged the industry to consider many factors that have contributed to recent, widespread misconduct. There are no simple answers and that discussion is continuing. This year, by contrast, our focus has been more on solutions-what’s working, and what is not. In both years, we have offered three messages to the industry.

First, cultural problems are the industry’s responsibility to solve. The official sector can monitor progress and deliver feedback and recommendations. In fact, many individual supervisory findings are often symptoms of deeper cultural issues at a firm. But the banks themselves must actively reform and manage their cultures.

Second, a bank’s implicit norms-especially those reinforced through incentives-must align with the public purpose of banking. Gerald Corrigan, more than three decades ago, presented a theory of banking based on the principle of reciprocity. Banks receive operating benefits unavailable to other industries because they provide important services to the public. For example, financial intermediation is enhanced through deposit insurance and access to the discount window. Public benefits, though, are not a gift. They are part of a quid pro quo. In exchange for receiving valuable operating benefits, a bank’s implicit codes of conduct-that is, its culture-must reflect the public dimension of the services that banks provide.

Third, the reform of bank culture should aim to restore trust. The bedrock of the financial system is trust and the word credit derives from the Latin notion of believing or trusting. We saw seven years ago that the public’s trust is critical in a crisis. The repair of the financial system would not have been possible without public support. If another crisis were to happen tomorrow, would there be that support?

A lack of trust-or, more accurately, low trustworthiness-also imposes day-to-day costs.8 For starters, there are fines. Then there are the legal costs in investigating allegations and defending lawsuits. Internal monitoring also becomes more expensive as rules become more extensive. Some might say that the proliferation of rules since the Financial Crisis is inversely proportional to a decline in the industry’s perceived trustworthiness. The choice between rules and standards depends on the trustworthiness of the regulated. A more flexible, standards-based legal regime requires a degree of trustworthiness that, in recent years, banks have not demonstrated.

Those are the measurable costs of low trustworthiness. There may be other, longer-term costs that are more difficult to price. Let me raise just two. If employees perceive a firm as untrustworthy or disloyal, will they choose to work in that firm? And, if they do, how will they behave toward the firm and its stakeholders?

I am encouraged that the industry seems to understand the importance of reforming its culture. Consider for a moment the following data points. In September 2013, shareholders of a major U.S. bank requested that the bank prepare “a full report on what the bank has done to end [its] unethical activities, to rebuild [its] credibility and provide new strong, effective checks and balances within the [b]ank.” That request was forwarded, by the way, by a Catholic nun. The bank responded through its attorneys that the nun’s proposal was “materially false and misleading” and “impermissibly vague and indefinite.” Fast forward to May 2015. The Federal Advisory Council-a panel of bankers that advises the Federal Reserve System-reported that “Regulators and the banking industry have worked extensively to restore financial stability through a series of mechanisms and rules that establish appropriate levels of capital, liquidity, and leverage. . . . As often as not, however, the challenges faced in recent years have been behavioral and cultural; post-crisis episodes such as LIBOR and foreign exchange manipulation provide hard evidence that there remains work to be done.” This is clearly an encouraging difference in perspectives.

The public sector, too, has paid increasing attention to culture. The Group of Thirty, the Basel Committee, the European Systemic Risk Board, and the Financial Stability Board have issued papers on culture, governance, and misconduct risk. The Fair and Effective Markets Review-a joint project of the Bank of England, the Financial Conduct Authority, and Her Majesty’s Treasury-has called for heightened standards for market practice in matters affecting the public good. And in the last year, we have seen emerging approaches to supervision that aim to address culture, conduct, and governance. In particular, the central bank of the Netherlands-De Nederlandsche Bank-has pioneered new techniques for the supervision of corporate governance, especially for assessing the group dynamics of boards and senior management.

Culture also features prominently in criminal enforcement. The U.S. Department of Justice requires its prosecutors to determine “the pervasiveness of wrongdoing” at a corporation before seeking an indictment. According to its prosecutors’ manual, “[T]he most important [factor in making this determination] is the role and conduct of management. Although acts of even low-level employees may result in criminal liability, a corporation is directed by its management and management is responsible for a corporate culture in which criminal conduct is either discouraged or tacitly encouraged.” Individuals, including senior managers, also face criminal liability for their conduct. Recent guidance from the U.S. Department of Justice places greater emphasis on individual culpability. And the recent convictions of two traders for rigging LIBOR, one of whom served as the Global Head of Liquidity and Finance at a major bank, may send a powerful message to bankers about the consequences of their misconduct.

The new acceptance of culture as an important area of focus was evident at a workshop that the Federal Reserve Bank of New York hosted on November 5. Christine Lagarde, Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund, and Stanley Fischer, Vice Chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, headlined a contingent of over 20 public sector authorities from around the globe. They were joined by the CEOs, senior executives, and board members of global financial institutions. Together, they discussed methods of reforming culture and the continuing challenges in this effort. In my view, the workshop offered a number of useful insights, chiefly:

  • Culture is a soft concept that is hard to measure, and perhaps harder to manage and sustain. But it is as important as capital and liquidity, and should receive continuous and persistent attention.
  • A bank’s culture must be consistent with public expectations and promote behavior that considers the firm’s many stakeholders, including the public. Also, a positive, constructive culture can be an important pillar aligned with the execution of a firm’s business strategy.
  • Culture cannot be set by fiat. Leadership is indispensable, and requires more than a “tone from the top.” Managers of all levels must take action to promote a greater sense of personal responsibility and stewardship among employees. The next generation of financial leaders will reflect the expectations of leaders today.
  • Despite firm-wide statements about values and codes of conduct, banks may have several dissonant sub-cultures. “Silos” or “tribes” as they are sometimes called, appear in most if not all of the episodes I described earlier. By sharing best practices across the industry, firms might identify common warning signs of problems within sub-cultures and behaviors that are incompatible with the firm’s values.
  • Diversity of thought and background are valuable cultural assets because they generate better questions and decisions, contributing to effective challenge. A diversity of views, though, must be complemented by a sense of common purpose. Certain basic principles-fair treatment of customers and employees, for example-cannot be open to debate.

The Federal Reserve Bank of New York recently launched a webpage that collects resources on bank culture. We’ve included the papers by the Group of Thirty and other organizations that I have mentioned, and summaries of our two workshops on culture. I hope you’ll take a look.

To conclude, the Financial Crisis and subsequent scandals revealed deep and continuing flaws in the culture of banking. The responsibility to address these flaws rests with the banks themselves. Many industry leaders have initiated reform programs within their firms. It is important to keep the momentum going. Reform requires relentless and sustained effort: from the top of an institution to its most junior employees, and across all of the institution’s business activities. Reform must include the full scope of an employee’s career, beginning with recruiting and continuing with annual performance management, compensation and promotion decisions. We in the official sector will be looking to the industry to fulfill its end of the bargain-to act consistent with the public well-being, to value long-term stability over short-term gain, and to take account of all stakeholders in making decisions.

How Uber and Airbnb are reducing their Australian tax bill

From The Conversation.

The current international tax regime was developed in the last century when the internet was not yet invented. At that time, a foreign company would typically require a substantial physical presence in Australia before it could be in a position to earn significant amount of income from Australian customers. This is what’s known in the tax world as permanent establishment.

The concept of permanent establishment is embedded in most domestic tax laws as well as virtually all the 3,000 plus tax treaties in the world. It dictates that in general, business profits of a foreign company will be subject to tax in Australia only if the company has a permanent establishment in Australia. In other words, the ATO cannot tax a foreign company’s profits if it has no permanent establishment in Australia.

The recent hearings of the Senate inquiry into corporate tax avoidance made it clear the tax structures of Uber, Airbnb, like their older peers Google and Microsoft, are designed to ensure income from Australian customers is earned by a foreign company that does not have a permanent establishment here. The permanent establishment concept is not effective for today’s digital economy.

Uber’s business and tax structure

Take Uber, which though established in the US, has a wholly-owned subsidiary in the Netherlands, which in turn has a wholly-owned subsidiary in Australia.

The most important asset of Uber is its digital platform that supports the app linking individual drivers and their customers. It’s unlikely this app was developed in the Netherlands. Despite this, Uber-Netherlands has the right to book income generated from customers in Australia.

For example, if a customer pays $100 for a ride in Sydney booked through the Uber app, the money is in fact paid to Uber-Netherlands. Out of the $100, Uber pays the driver about $75. The gross profit of $25 is booked in the Netherlands. This is so even though the transaction happens largely in Australia, including the driver, the customer and the ride.

Uber-Australia receives a service fee from Uber-Netherlands for its marketing and support services performed in Australia. The fee is determined based on the operating costs of Uber-Australia, plus a mark-up of 8.5%. The mark-up is effectively the taxable profit of Uber in Australia under its tax structure.

Airbnb’s business and tax structure

Airbnb, another young business founded in the US, has a structure very similar to that of Uber. Airbnb’s parent company in the US has a wholly-owned subsidiary in Ireland, which in turn has a wholly owned subsidiary in Australia.

Airbnb charges fees to both hosts and guests for accommodation booking through its digital platform. Instead of Airbnb-Australia, Airbnb-Ireland books the fee income generated from accommodation bookings in Australia. This is so even if the host, the guest and the accommodation are all in Australia. For example, if a Sydneysider uses the Airbnb app to book accommodation in Melbourne, the payment is in fact paid to Airbnb-Ireland. The host of the accommodation is then paid by Airbnb-Ireland which charges a fee of 3%.

Airbnb-Australia is responsible for the marketing activities in Australia. It receives a service fee from Airbnb-Ireland for those activities, and the fee is again computed based on its operating costs plus a mark-up.

Déjà vu – Google and Microsoft

Comparing the tax structures of Uber and Airbnb with that of Google and Microsoft reveals striking similarities. It suggests that the appetite for tax planning is comparable between established and relatively “young” technology companies.

The common pattern: a parent company in the US establishes wholly owned subsidiaries in market jurisdictions (such as Australia) as well as in low-tax countries.

While the commercial reality is that all companies in a group are effectively one single enterprise, the tax law in general treats each company as a separate taxpayer.

On one hand, the Australian subsidiary typically is responsible for marketing and support services that have to be physically done in Australia, and earns a service fee on a cost plus basis. The amount of profits subject to tax in Australia is usually very small compared to the income generated from Australian customers.

On the other hand, intellectual properties – which are often the most important and valuable assets of technology companies – are located in low-tax jurisdictions such as Ireland, the Netherlands and Singapore. This structure allows those low-tax subsidiaries to book the income generated from customers in Australia, and effectively shields the income from the Australian tax net.

Policy responses

Action item 1 of the OECD’s base erosion and profit shifting (“BEPS”) project is “tax challenges of digital economy”.

The original intention of the OECD was to explore how the 20th century international tax regime should be reformed in response to the digital economy in the 21st century. It quickly realised it was extremely difficult, if not impossible, to achieve international consensus on the intended reform. The often conflicting and vested interests among countries present a formidable obstacle to international consensus on meaningful reform of the international tax regime.

Instead of relying on the BEPS project to resolve the issue, Australia has followed the lead of the UK and is in the process of introducing the Multinational Anti-Avoidance Law – commonly known as the Google tax – to address the issue. As the new law incorporates concepts that are new and untested, it is not clear whether it will be effective.

In any case, it’s important to remember that multinational corporations are very agile. They may replace their “avoided permanent establishment” structures to circumvent any Google tax or to incorporate new tax avoidance tools.

Author: Antony Ting, Associate Professor, University of Sydney