AI Feeding Frenzy Creates A Headache But The Stock Market Is Not The Economy!

Sparked by Nvidia’s latest blowout earnings report, stock surge and general excitement about a “tipping point” in generative artificial intelligence, Thursday was the best day in more than a year for Wall St’s main stock indexes. And the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average eked out another closing record high on Friday, with all three Wall Street benchmarks scoring weekly gains, with the S&P 500 up 1.7%, the Dow up 1.3% and the Nasdaq 1.4% higher, as AI stocks had enough steam to keep the rally chugging along.

Nvidia advanced again on Friday, rising a further 0.4%, and briefly traded above $2 trillion in market valuation for the first time and by the ways Nvidia’s gains on Thursday, the session after its blowout earnings, the chipmaker added $277 billion in stock market value, which is Wall Street’s largest ever daily gain. Despite a smaller advance on the final trading day of the week, its performance still dominated the market’s attention.

Yet the performance of Nvidia and other Big Tech has pushed Fed worries into the background even though investors have been walking back expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts.

Recent Federal Reserve speakers echoed the content of the FOMC minutes since those were published. Communication has been understandably cautious on the inflation outlook considering the recent higher-than-expected CPI, particularly stressing the risks of cutting too early or too fast. The 29 February PCE release may well come in stronger than expected, and push rate cut expectations further away.

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Author: Martin North

Martin North is the Principal of Digital Finance Analytics

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