GDP Hotspots

Courtesy of Nucleus Wealth’s Damien Klassen. Damien runs the investment side of Nucleus, selecting stocks suggested by analysts and implementing the asset allocation

Every quarter I like to look at the changes in Australian GDP and which categories are responsible for the growth / decline. Each bubble represents a category of GDP proportionate to its size, colours represent the growth rate.

Click the charts for a large version and commentary: 

Graphical representation of Australian GDP or Gross Domestic Product
Click for large version

This quarter the key takeaways include:

  • Federal Government spending (+11% for non-defence, 7% for defence over the year) the only thing keeping GDP above zero.
  • Investment growth was not good, but I was expecting worse. Possibly there are green shoots, but capex surveys and investment forward indicators suggest there is still more downside.
  • State & Local government spending has turned negative – with a low number of property transactions this is likely to remain a feature
Graphical representation of Australian GDP or Gross Domestic Product
Click for large version

Author: Martin North

Martin North is the Principal of Digital Finance Analytics

Leave a Reply