Houses to be hit harder than units in 2019 downturn

Across the eight capital cities, house values are set to decline 7.7% in 2019, a sharper correction than apartments which are forecast to see a 4.3% hit, says Moody’s. Via Property Observer.

House prices have declined over 9% since their peak in late 2017, while apartment values are down around 6% from the peak, according to CoreLogic.

House values in Sydney declined 5.5% in 2018 and are forecast to fall a further 9.3% in 2019. Apartment values are set to decline 5.9% in 2019.

Melbourne’s house price decline has been more accelerated than Sydney’s, and its sharp downturn is reflected in the forecast for its house values in 2019.

Moody’s suggest values will decline 11.4% across Great Melbourne, with apartments to fall 5%.

The worst is over for Brisbane, according to Moody’s, with house values to see a correction in 2019.

There will be strength in East Brisbane, offset by declines elsewhere.

There’s also good news for the Brisbane apartment market, Moody’s forecast. Values are tipped to recover 0.9% in 2019.

It’s not such good news for Perth, where house values are like to decline 7.6% in 2019.

Adelaide’s housing market will continue its stable run, with house values forecast to rise 1% in 2019 after a 1.9% gain in 2018.

Author: Martin North

Martin North is the Principal of Digital Finance Analytics

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