FED Intervenes Again

Overnight we got news that due to the market disruptions, the Fed is buying more Treasuries across the yield curve.

To address temporary disruptions in the market for Treasury securities, the Open Market Trading Desk (the Desk) at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York has updated the current monthly schedule of Treasury purchase operations.  

Today, the Desk will conduct purchases in each of five maturity sectors below at the times indicated, subject to reasonable prices.  

  • 20 to 30 year sector at 10:30 – 10:45 am and 2:15 to 2:45 pm for around $4 billion each
  • 7 to 20 year sector at 11:15 – 11:30 am  for around $5 billion
  • 4.5 to 7 year sector at 12:00 – 12:15 pm for around $8 billion
  • 2.25 to 4.5 year sector at 12:45 – 1:00 pm for around $8 billion
  • 0 to 2.25 year sector at 1:30 – 1:45 pm for around $8 billion

These purchases are intended to address highly unusual disruptions in the market for Treasury securities associated with the coronavirus outbreak.  These purchases are part of the $80 billion of planned monthly purchases, including both $60 billion of reserve management purchases and $20 billion of reinvestments of principal payments received from the Federal Reserve’s holdings of agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities. In these purchases, the Desk will include securities that are cheapest to deliver into active Treasury futures contracts as eligible securities for purchase. The Desk intends to further bring forward remaining purchases for this monthly calendar and adjust terms of operations as needed to foster smooth Treasury market functioning and efficient and effective policy implementation.  A revised schedule will be posted.

And the Repo operations continue to grow:

Net effect is to continue to grow their balance sheet. What else will they buy to try to shore up the markets? And what is the cost of all this?

Economic Armageddon Now Requires a $782 Billion Repo Bailout

The latest update from Economist John Adams and Analyst Martin North, as the financial system continues on life-support.

Central banks are in a desperate rush to keep interest rates down in order to prevent a default of a major bank or financial institution.

RBA Injects $8.8 Billion Bank Liquidity

The AFR is reporting that the RBA is supporting liquidity in the banking system in Australia.

The Reserve Bank of Australia is pumping $8.8 billion into short-term commercial bank funding to ease a squeeze in global credit markets.

The emergency move follows a similar intevention by the New York Federal Reserve overnight.

The US Treasury market seized up after debt investors were spooked by US President Donald Trump closing the American border to European travellers and his broader handling of the coronavirus crisis.

Local bond market sources reported an evaporation of liquidity, heavy selling pressure, clogged dealer balance sheets and upward pressure on government bond yields in global government bond markets, including the US and Australia.

“There’s heavy selling of bank bill futures, a bit like the GFC,” a trader said.

ECB unveils fresh stimulus to counter coronavirus ‘major shock’

European Central Bank chief Christine Lagarde warned on Thursday that the coronavirus had delivered a “major shock” to the global economy that required urgent, coordinated action, as she unveiled fresh stimulus to keep credit flowing. Via France24

The latest major central bank to jump into the fray, the ECB launched a flurry of measures to cushion the impact of the virus, including increased bond purchases and cheap loans to banks.

But it surprised observers by leaving key interest rates unchanged.

The Paris and Frankfurt stock exchanges extended earlier losses after Lagarde‘s announcements to post drops of more than 10 percent in the early afternoon.

“The spread of the coronavirus COVID-19 has been a major shock to the growth prospects of the global economy and the euro area,” Lagarde told reporters in Frankfurt.

“Even if ultimately temporary by nature, it will have a significant impact on economic activity.”

She urged governments to step up and do their bit alongside monetary policymakers as fears mount of a credit crunch that could destabilise banks and hurt small businesses.

“Governments and all other policy institutions are called upon to take timely and targeted actions,” she said.

“In particular, an ambitious and coordinated fiscal policy response is required to support businesses and workers at risk.”

Whether the eurozone manages to avoid a recession will “clearly depend on the speed, the strength and the collective approach that will be taken by all players,” she said.           

Super-cheap loans

As part of its stimulus package, the ECB’s governing council agreed a new round of cheap loans to banks, known as long-term refinancing operations (LTROs) “to provide immediate support to the euro area financial system”.

They also eased conditions on an existing “targeted” LTRO programme, aiming to “support bank lending to those affected most by the spread of the coronavirus, in particular small- and medium-sized enterprises”.

And the ECB will pile an extra 120 billion euros ($135 billion) of “quantitative easing” (QE) asset purchases this year on top of its present 20 billion per month.

The QE scheme will include “a strong contribution from the private sector,” the ECB said, as room to buy government debt while respecting self-imposed limits has grown tight.

On top of the monetary measures, the ECB’s banking supervision arm said it would allow banks to run down some of the capital buffers they must build up in good times to weather crises.

Its teams supervising individual lenders may provide more flexibility to institutions under their remit, such as giving them more time to patch up shortfalls in their risk management, while a broader range of assets will count towards the watchdog’s capital requirements.

‘Bravo’

Ahead of Thursday’s meeting, analysts had highlighted tweaks to the ECB’s bank lending scheme in particular as a critical tool for virus response.

“Bravo!” Pictet Wealth Management analyst Frederik Ducrozet tweeted after the statement, hailing the ECB’s “bold decisions”.

Ducrozet noted that under the changes to the TLTRO programme, lenders that loan the cash they get from the central bank on to the real economy will enjoy an interest rate potentially as low as -0.75 percent.

At 0.25 percentage points below the rate the ECB charges on banks’ deposits in Frankfurt, the difference represents an effective subsidy to the financial system.

Meanwhile the central bank dispensed with what many expected would be a purely symbolic interest rate cut of just 0.1 or 0.2 percentage points.

The US Federal Reserve last week and Bank of England on Tuesday had space to cut interest rates by half a percentage point each to ease financial conditions.

But the ECB’s already-negative deposit rate robbed it of that option.

Governments on hook

Lagarde again reiterated the ECB’s long-standing call on governments to do more with their fiscal powers to buttress the eurozone economy.

In a conference call Tuesday with European heads of government, the former International Monetary Fund (IMF) head “drew comparisons with past crises” like the 2008 financial crisis, a European source told AFP.

Such past trials were overcome by central banks and governments working in concert.

In mid-February, Lagarde reiterated that “monetary policy cannot, and should not, be the only game in town” to stimulate the economy.

Italy on Wednesday announced 25 billion euros of support to its economy and the European Union has also mobilised up to 25 billion euros.

New Zealand Home Prices Boomed In February

Median house prices across New Zealand increased by 14.3% in February to a new record median price of $640,000, up from $560,000 in February 2019. This was the largest percentage increase in 53 months according to the latest data from the Real Estate Institute of New Zealand (REINZ).

The number of properties sold in February across New Zealand increased by 9.2% from the same time last year (from 6,132 to 6,694) making it the highest number of properties sold in the month of February in 4 years.

For New Zealand excluding Auckland, the number of properties sold decreased by a marginal -0.3% when compared to the same time last year (from 4,742 to 4,726) – 16 fewer properties.

In Auckland, the number of properties sold in February increased by 41.6% year-on-year (from 1,390 to 1,968) – the highest number of residential properties sold in the month of February in 5 years.

The REINZ House Price Index for New Zealand, which measures the changing value of property in the market, increased 8.7% year-on-year to 3,013 – a new record high.

The HPI for New Zealand excluding Auckland increased 10.2% from February 2019 to 2,995 another new record high.

The Auckland HPI increased by 6.9% year-on-year to 3,035 – the highest annual percentage increase in 35 months and the first time the Auckland region crossed the 3,000 mark.

In February the median number of days to sell a property nationally decreased by 12 days from 47 to 35 when compared to February 2019 – the lowest days to sell for the month of February in 13 years.

The total number of properties available for sale nationally decreased by -22.3% in February to 20,875 down from 26,850 in February 2019 – a decrease of 5,975 properties compared to 12 months ago and the lowest level of inventory for the month of February ever. However, this was an uplift on January’s figure of 19,488.

Bank Of Canada Expands Repos And Buybacks

In order to support the continuous functioning of financial markets through the provision of liquidity, the Bank of Canada announced two measures on Thursday.

First, acting as fiscal agent, the Bank will broaden the scope of the current Government of Canada bond buyback program. This is intended to add market liquidity and support price discovery. Until further notice, buybacks will extend across all benchmark maturity sectors and will be conducted at least weekly. Regular weekly operations will be conducted on a switch basis. Cash buybacks will be conducted following nominal bond auctions.

The first operation will be a $500 million switch operation in the 30-year sector held on Monday March 16. Additional program details are forthcoming, including the timing of the first operation.

Second, to proactively support interbank funding, the Bank of Canada will temporarily add new Term Repo operations with terms of 6 and 12 months.  These operations will occur bi-weekly starting with the first operation on Tuesday, 17 March 2020.  Details of the first Term Repo operation are as follows:

AmountAuction DateSettlement DateTerm (Days)Maturity Date
$4 billion17 March 202019 March 20201683 September 2020
$3 billion17 March 202019 March 20203504 March 2021

Regular 1-month and 3-month Term Repo operations will remain in effect but could change with regards to size, frequency and term depending on prevailing market conditions.

Term Repo terms and conditions remain in effect. The results of the 6- and 12-month operations will be announced on the Bank’s web site by Market Notice.

The Bank of Canada continues to closely monitor global market developments and remains committed to providing liquidity as required to support the functioning of the Canadian financial system.

Westpac hit with another class action

Westpac confirmed it has been hit with another class action relating to the AUSTRAC scandal. Via Financial Standard.

The class action, brought by Johnson Winter & Slattery, has been filed on behalf of certain shareholders who acquired interest in Westpac securities or equity swap confirmations between 2013 and 2019.

“The claim relates to market disclosure issues connected to Westpac’s monitoring of financial crime over the relevant period and matter which are the subject of the AUSTRAC proceedings,” Westpac told the ASX.

“The claim does not identify the amount of any damages sought.”

Westpac said it will be defending the claim, as it has said for the other class actions filed against it.

Prior to this proceeding being filed, Westpac said it expects around $80 million in additional expenses in FY20 as part of its response plan to the AUSTRAC scandal.

The bank is facing 23 million alleged breaches of anti-money laundering and counter-terrorism laws brought on by AUSTRAC.

The regulator alleges, amongst other things, Westpac failed to appropriately assess the online money laundering and terrorism financing risks associated with the movement of money into and out of Australia through correspondent banking relationships.

The bank is also facing class actions from US-based law firm Rosen Law on behalf of purchasers of Westpac shares between November 2015 and November 2019, as well as another Australia-based class action lodged by Phi Finney McDonald.