Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
"Intelligent Insight"
Loads of data out the past couple of days, so we cover off the March 2022 quarter GDP, (hint strong household spending), Credit Growth (hint, investors having a field day), Building approvals (down) and Home Price aggregates (overall down).
We also discuss the implications for the new Government.
More bad news on the inflation front as power prices are set to rise, and the ABS confirms many firms are seeking to lift prices where they can.
We are already seeing second order effects, and these will continue ahead.
The battle to tame inflation has hardly started yet.
Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/
The ABS released their latest Housing Occupancy and Costs series for the financial year 2019-20. Now, this is important research of course but the potential of the findings to be useful are blunted by that fact that much has changed since June 2020, which of course was in the early phase of COIVD. With that caveat, there are some important findings.
First, in terms of basic home ownership, In the past two decades, from 1999–00 to 2019–20, the percentage of Australian households that own their own home: With or without a mortgage decreased from 71% to 66%. Without a mortgage decreased from 39% to 30%. With a mortgage increased from 32% to 37%.
In other words, more people are more in debt, no surprise for those following our shows. There are also some important state differences.
In the rental sector, Between 1999–00 and 2019–20, the percentage of Australian households that rent their home from: All landlord types increased from 27% to 31%. A private landlord increased from 20% to 26%. A state or territory housing authority decreased from 6% to 3%. Again there are significant state variations.
Today’s post is brought to you by Ribbon Property Consultants.
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Emotions run high – price discovery and price transparency are hard to find – then there is the wasted time and financial investment you make.
Edwin understands your needs. So why not engage a licensed professional to stand alongside you. With RPC you know you have: experience, knowledge, and master negotiators, looking after your best interest.
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We look at the latest employment numberwang, as well as the consumer confidence and leading indicators. Are the current mob good economic managers?
Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/
Today’s post is brought to you by Ribbon Property Consultants.
If you are buying your home in Sydney’s contentious market, you do not need to stand alone. This is the time you need to have Edwin from Ribbon Property Consultants standing along side you.
Buying property, is both challenging and adversarial. The vendor has a professional on their side.
Emotions run high – price discovery and price transparency are hard to find – then there is the wasted time and financial investment you make.
Edwin understands your needs. So why not engage a licensed professional to stand alongside you. With RPC you know you have: experience, knowledge, and master negotiators, looking after your best interest.
Shoot Ribbon an email on info@ribbonproperty.com.au & use promo code: DFA-WTW/MARTIN to receive your 10% DISCOUNT OFFER.
The latest wages price data to end March 2022 was below expectations (despite the RBA liaison programme). As a result, households continue to go backwards unless you happen to be employed in a few high-demand industries. Public Sector works are also doing worse.
Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/
Today’s post is brought to you by Ribbon Property Consultants.
If you are buying your home in Sydney’s contentious market, you do not need to stand alone. This is the time you need to have Edwin from Ribbon Property Consultants standing along side you.
Buying property, is both challenging and adversarial. The vendor has a professional on their side.
Emotions run high – price discovery and price transparency are hard to find – then there is the wasted time and financial investment you make.
Edwin understands your needs. So why not engage a licensed professional to stand alongside you. With RPC you know you have: experience, knowledge, and master negotiators, looking after your best interest.
Shoot Ribbon an email on info@ribbonproperty.com.au & use promo code: DFA-WTW/MARTIN to receive your 10% DISCOUNT OFFER.
The latest data from the ABS reveals that The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 2.1 per cent in the March 2022 quarter and 5.1 per cent annually, according to the latest data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS).
More importantly, non discretionary costs were up 6.6% – things you have to buy. So this underscores the issues households are facing. Expect more pressures ahead, and upcoming RBA rate hikes.
Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/
The ABS released their Labour statistics data today, and in came in line ball with last month. Not as strong as economists were expecting. That said, the labour market is tight because external labour supply from temporary works and migration has stalled thanks to the pandemic. Essentially the supply has dropped by around 500,000. So this is hardly great economic management, and if migration is powered up again, the unemployment will rise. The latest projections are for a fall to 3. Something then a subsequent reversal as migration kicks in.
And remember the threshold is an hour worked to qualify as employed!
The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate remained at 4.0 per cent in March 2022, according to data released today by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS).
The ABS, said: “With employment increasing by 18,000 people and unemployment falling by 12,000, the unemployment rate decreased slightly in March, though remained at 4.0 per cent in rounded terms.
“4.0 per cent is the lowest the unemployment rate has been in the monthly survey. Lower rates were seen in the series before November 1974, when the survey was quarterly.”
The unemployment rate continued to fall faster for women than for men.
Today’s post is brought to you by Ribbon Property Consultants.
If you are buying your home in Sydney’s contentious market, you do not need to stand alone. This is the time you need to have Edwin from Ribbon Property Consultants standing along side you.
Buying property, is both challenging and adversarial. The vendor has a professional on their side.
Emotions run high – price discovery and price transparency are hard to find – then there is the wasted time and financial investment you make.
Edwin understands your needs. So why not engage a licensed professional to stand alongside you. With RPC you know you have: experience, knowledge, and master negotiators, looking after your best interest.
Shoot Ribbon an email on info@ribbonproperty.com.au & use promo code: DFA-WTW/MARTIN to receive your 10% DISCOUNT OFFER.
New data from the ABS shows new lending fro property is falling alongside a fall in first time buyers, and average loan size. So we look at this in the context of high rates as NAB and ANZ lift some rates further. And we review the ABS notes on changes to the data series ahead, so things may change again…
Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/
Today’s post is brought to you by Ribbon Property Consultants.
If you are buying your home in Sydney’s contentious market, you do not need to stand alone. This is the time you need to have Edwin from Ribbon Property Consultants standing along side you.
Buying property, is both challenging and adversarial. The vendor has a professional on their side.
Emotions run high – price discovery and price transparency are hard to find – then there is the wasted time and financial investment you make.
Edwin understands your needs. So why not engage a licensed professional to stand alongside you. With RPC you know you have: experience, knowledge, and master negotiators, looking after your best interest.
Shoot Ribbon an email on info@ribbonproperty.com.au & use promo code: DFA-WTW/MARTIN to receive your 10% DISCOUNT OFFER.
The latest ABS Employment numbers came in better than expected, and with an unemployment number of 4% was better than expected. But are we reading the numbers right, and does it give the full picture. We examine the evidence.
The latest edition of our finance and property news digest with a distinctively Australian flavour.
Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/
It is amazing the impact of cheap credit has had on the property market as illustrated by the latest from the ABS. They say that Residential property prices rose 23.7 per cent through the year to December quarter 2021, the strongest annual growth since the Residential Property Price Index series began in the September quarter 2003, according to figures released today by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS).
“Results were consistent with a range of housing market indicators. New lending commitments for housing rose to a record high value in the December quarter 2021. Days on market fell and sales transaction volumes increased. Record low interest rates and strong demand have continued to support growth in property prices”.
The total value of Australia’s 10.8 million residential dwellings rose by $512.6 billion to $9,901.6 billion in the December quarter 2021. The value of residential dwellings has risen $2,015.1 billion since the December quarter 2020. The mean price of residential dwellings in Australia was $920,100, up from $876,100 in the September quarter 2021.
This is essentially fake wealth, and it is unlikely we will see significant momentum ahead – indeed there are signs it is weakening.
Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/