AFG successfully completes $350 million RMBS issue

Australian Finance Group has today priced its AFG 2017-1 Trust Residential Mortgage Backed Securities (RMBS) issue.

AFG Chief Executive Officer David Bailey said this latest transaction is the largest term deal AFG has undertaken.

“The securitisation program is an important contributor to the company’s overall growth strategy.   We are delighted to see the success of this issue further validate the AFG Securities business model.

”A very positive aspect of this transaction was the increase in the number of returning investors, as well as the increased number of new investors to our programme.

Mr Bailey said the success of the transaction reinforces the importance of the securitisation sector to the Australian lending market.  “A vibrant and strong RMBS market is vital to ensure a greater level of competition and choice in the Australian mortgage market.

“By being able to source competitively priced funding from a variety of investors we can in turn provide competitively priced products to Australian consumers.

He noted the success of today’s issue reflects the confidence of investors in the high quality lending standards that AFG Securities apply.  “The performance of our portfolio continues to be very strong and investors are recognising the unique position AFG holds in the residential mortgage market.  These standards have underpinned the success of our latest transaction.

“As I have said before, the performance of every mortgage starts and ends with the credit policies and appetite of the lender.  Our AFG Securities programme has robust underwriting and risk protocols and this is reflected in the performance of our book.

The transaction will settle on 7th September 2017.

Prior transactions include a $300m RMBS issuance in 2016, a $300 million issue in 2014 and a further two issues in 2013 of $245m and $300m.

The AFG 2017-1 Trust RMBS was successfully arranged by Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Limited (ANZ).  Joint Lead Managers were National Australia Bank Limited and ANZ.

Detail relating to the A$350m AFG 2017-1 Trust RMBS transaction is as follows:

AFG is a diversified lending services company and one of the country’s largest mortgage broking groups. Through a network of 2,875 contracted mortgage brokers, AFG processes around $4.5 billion of finance every month and has a combined residential and commercial loan book of $133 billion.

AFG Reports 33% 2017 Profit Uplift

Australian Finance Group (AFG) reported a net profit after tax (NPAT) of $30.2 million for the 2017 financial year (FY2017). This excludes the impact of the recognition of AFG Home Loans (AFGHL) white label settlements relating to prior years (normalised NPAT). This is slightly ahead of the result forecast and an increase of 33% on FY2016.

They now have around 2,900 mortgage brokers, and process on average around 10,000s loan each month with 45 lenders on their panel.

AFG Chief Executive Officer David Bailey said the strong result has been driven by AFG’s core business of residential mortgages, commercial lending, and the continued strong growth in the own-branded AFGHL business.

“Today’s results are a testament to AFG’s strategy of continuing to focus on our core business and growth through earnings diversification. We are very pleased with our progression down this path.”

These results have been achieved in an environment of flat credit growth and significant regulatory changes impacting foreign investment and credit appetites of Australia’s lenders.”

Highlights include:

  • Reported NPAT of $39.1 million, normalised NPAT of $30.2 million
  • White label AFG Home Loans settlements of $2.7 billion
  • Combined residential and commercial loan book of $133 billion, growth of 11% over FY2016
  • Residential settlements of $34.3 billion
  • Commercial settlements of $2.8 billion
  • Final dividend 5.5 cents per share
  • Earnings Per Share (EPS) for FY2017 is 14 cents per share based on normalised NPAT
  • ROE of 31%

Company Outlook

The AFGHL business finished the full year 2017 with settlements of $2.7 billion. This result represents a 38% increase on FY2016 and evidences the success of our ongoing strategy to deliver competitive choice to Australian borrowers. The AFGHL loan book is now $5.5 billion, an increase of 44% from $3.8 billion in FY2016.

Overall, the company has a residential loan book of $126 billion that will generate ongoing trail commission. The AFG Home Loans securitised book has seen a 10% increase in settlements for FY2017 to finish the financial year at $1.15 billion, whilst maintaining a strong net interest margin.

Mr Bailey noted the company has achieved another strong year in the recruitment of brokers. From 2,650 active brokers in FY2016, numbers have increased by 8.5% to 2,875.

“In a clear sign of the health of the commercial lending market AFG Commercial asset financing settlements rose 20% to finish the year at $445 million,” he said.

“AFG Commercial mortgage settlements for the year were $2.84 billion, which represents just 0.7% of the overall $410 billion commercial lending market in Australia. The potential for growth is tangible.”

The small to medium enterprise (SME) segment of the market in particular is also one where AFG is optimistic. AFG is poised to harness this growth with the impending rollout of an Australian-first SME lending platform. The new platform, AFG Business, will enable our network of brokers to provide small business borrowers access to a broad range of options and deliver faster access to capital.”

Market conditions

The complexity of the Australian lending market has increased significantly in the past 12 months. “AFG began its listed life with around 1,450 products on its lending platform,” explained Mr Bailey. “That number has now increased to more than 3,400 at FY2107.

“The growth is a reflection of multiple changes by lenders to their Australian product suites. The introduction of new products, changes to LVR bands, numerous product splits with differing rates, repayment options according to loan type, and significant changes to investor and owner occupier pricing have been rolled out across our platform in the past 12 months. These ongoing changes have been delivered at an unprecedented pace and reaffirms the importance to a consumer of having an informed broker.

With more than 10,000 customers seeking the assistance of an AFG broker every month, the value consumers place on the mortgage broking channel continues to be clear. “The mortgage broking channel accounts for 53% of the Australian lending market and more than 20% of those mortgage brokers work with AFG,” said Mr Bailey.

2017 has also been marked by significant regulatory scrutiny of the Australian lending market. “AFG has been at the forefront of consultation with industry, government and regulators. The message we have had for all stakeholders has been clear – AFG has 45 lenders on its panel with more than 35% of borrowings going to lenders other than the four major banks, and we remain committed to ensuring choice and competition remains for Australian consumers.

“This competitive tension ensures consumers continue to have choice and most importantly benefit in terms of home loan price and service because of what brokers deliver on a daily basis across the Australian lending market,” he concluded.

Mortgage Momentum Shifts

Australian Finance Group (AFG) has today released their Mortgage Index June Quarter 2017.  Whilst myopic, as it is based of traffic within their business, it does provide a window on the market, and highlights some of the shifts in play.

AFG CEO David Bailey welcomed the news that the non-major share of the market is now at 35%.

“Significant structural change to the lending market brought about by tighter lending rules has seen increased flows of business to the non-major lenders.”

“As the majors re-price their mortgages and change lending policies to meet regulatory caps, consumers are turning to mortgage brokers to get a full picture of the choices on offer in such a competitive market,” he said.

“The non-major lenders are helping fill the void left by some of the majors and consumers are benefiting from the fact that a mortgage broker can offer products from those lenders without a branch network.”

A series of rate rises and policy changes has also had an impact on the investment market. “In what will no doubt be welcome news for the regulator, investment lending has dropped to 31% of our total lending for the quarter as lenders continue to tighten their criteria,” said Mr Bailey.

Refinancing figures are also down from 35% to 29% as refinance options for borrowers with interest only or higher LVR investment loans decrease and others choose to stay put until the market settles. Lender policy restrictions have also seen the average loan size fall in every state apart from Queensland.

“The part of the market that has been virtually untouched by regulators and lenders is the principle and interest owner category. As a result, those opting to upgrade their homes have increased from 34% to 39% in response to some attractive lending offers,” he concluded.

In a sign that homeowners are picking the bottom of the market for interest rates, the number choosing to fix their rate has jumped significantly to finish the quarter at 23.7%.

Majors Loosing Relative Mortgage Share: AFG

Australians are testing the competitiveness of the lending market with  AFG showing the non-major lenders picking up nearly 35% of the market, according to the latest AFG Competition Index. This of course is myopic, in so far as it looks at traffic though the aggregator. But it does confirm that some majors are intentionally slowing business via their third party channels. This phenomenon is one we already discussed on the DFA Blog.

AFG General Manager of Sales and Operations, Mark Hewitt said the data reaffirms the value the mortgage broking channel delivers. “Mortgage brokers deliver true competition in the lending sector and provide real choice for consumers. If a lender is out of the market on service or price they will look beyond the majors to meet the needs of their client.

“Today’s figures show CBA continues to slide with their overall market share down from 20.5% this time last year to 11.8% last month.

“With CBA, AFG believes this is the result of a deliberate strategy to pull back from the investor and interest only markets to meet the lending caps mandated by APRA,” said Mr Hewitt.

“When combined with their subsidiary Bankwest, CBA has dropped their total market share from 25.5% to 15.5% in the same period.

Amongst the other majors, NAB is continuing to win market share.

“NAB have benefited from their recent actions to align their broker products with their direct channels,” he said. “Until recently there was a difference between the products made available to their direct and broker introduced customers which created confusion for borrowers.”

“Westpac has taken the lion’s share of the fixed rate market for the majors, doubling their share from 10.98% this time last year to finish May 2017 with 22% of fixed rate mortgages.

“Westpac subsidiary St George is also picking up market share of those seeking to refinance.

AFG has 39 home loan lenders on its panel and flows of business to the non-majors are significantly higher through brokers than in the broader lending market. Last month 34.95% of all mortgages lodged by AFG brokers went to the non-majors. This is in stark comparison to the 17% market share of the non-majors outside of our channel.

“Suncorp is the big winner for the non-majors, picking up market share in the fixed rate, investor and refinancing categories.

“Increased competition delivers value to the consumer. Many of the non-major lenders on our panel do not have a branch network. Without the competitive tension mortgage brokers bring to the market, prices would inevitably rise,” he concluded.

Is The ABA Split?

Not according to the ABA’s press release.

Deputy Australian Bankers’ Association Chairman and Bendigo and Adelaide Bank Chief Executive Mike Hirst has today described rumours of a split in the ABA as “complete rubbish”.

“From time to time there are occasions where banks have different views and different commercial interests. However, 99 per cent of the time we agree,” Mr Hirst said.

“As individual members we each have the strength and respect for each other that allows us to have robust discussions on a variety of issues.

“Together we are a strong industry with a strong industry association working to provide better banking for Australia’s customers,” he said.

ABA Chief Executive Anna Bligh has been in regular contact with non-major bank CEOs, including a teleconference with all regional bank CEOs as recently as yesterday afternoon, and has several scheduled meetings with non-major bank executives in the coming days.

Meantime Aggregator AFG has also released a strongly worded statement about the weakness of the recent ABA Remuneration review.

AFG has today asked the regulator to keep a watchful eye on the big banks to ensure they do not use the Government’s recently announced major bank levy and their own Australian Bankers’ Association (ABA) Retail Banking Remuneration Review as a justification to implement changes designed to reduce the financial viability of providing broking services and marginalise large portions of the lending sector, leaving them without a distribution network.

“The ‘big bank levy’ announced by the Treasurer on budget night recognises the artificial taxpayer subsidy the four major banks and Macquarie have received through their lower borrowing costs since the GFC,” said AFG CEO (Interim) David Bailey.  “The government is finally seeking to level the playing field.

“History suggests the big banks will undoubtedly pass this new cost on.  The extent to which they are able to pass this levy on will depend on how strong our regulators are with the new supervisory powers also announced on budget night.

“Supervision of mortgage pricing has been tasked to the ACCC and the Productivity Commission will be conducting an Inquiry into competition in the sector.  AFG welcomes this news.

“We will be telling the Productivity Commission that the four major banks dominate the Australian lending market and a viable mortgage broking market is crucial for retaining competitive pressure,” he said.

The Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) has recently completed an exhaustive review of the remuneration of mortgage brokers and the overriding conclusion was that brokers are good for competition and as such have delivered good consumer outcomes.

“ASIC identified some areas where the industry could be strengthened but it did not recommend wholesale changes to the current remuneration structure as incorrectly reported in some quarters,” said Mr Bailey.

“It is incumbent upon the industry as a whole to respond to the regulatory process and our industry is doing so.  AFG will continue to play a leading role in this response representing our 2,800 mortgage brokers.

“One very vocal industry participant, the Australian Bankers’ Association (ABA), conducted their own review into remuneration structures, principally about their own sales channel, which is entirely appropriate. However, at the time the scoping document was released AFG questioned why, given the width and breadth of the ASIC review the ABA would choose to incorporate the broker channel in their scope.

“For the ABA Review to be regarded as a significant analysis of the broking industry is quite frankly outrageous.  We continue to assert that it is nothing more than the opinion of a single interest group, the banking lobby group.

“All major lenders came out within hours of the ABA review being released and committed to implementing all of the changes recommend.

“For anyone to suggest that the ABA should be the one driving remuneration change when there is already a consultative process underway with ASIC and Treasury is ridiculous.

“Tweaks are needed, not wholesale change; we would urge the regulators and government to ensure the ASIC Review is not used as a lever to drive an even better outcome for the big banks.”

“We all need to come back to the central conclusions of the ASIC Review – brokers are good for competition and for consumers.  If consumers were not satisfied with the broker channel they would have abandoned it.  In fact, recent statistics show that that broker market share is growing.

“A significant change to the broker remuneration model impacts the ability of the broking industry to survive which mean the non major lenders, who rely on the broker channel to distribute their products across the Australian market becomes compromised,” said Mr Bailey.

“This means less choice for consumers and higher home loan rates.  This is not a good consumer outcome but does provide more strength to the Big Four banks.

“AFG has worked hard at providing choice for our brokers’ customers and with 45 lenders on our panel more than 30% of our flow now goes to non-major lenders. This is a great consumer outcome.  We would like to think the non-majors are supportive of the current remuneration structure,” he concluded.

 

AFG Highlights First Time Buyers

AFG has released their mortgage index today including Q3 2017. The overall volume of lodgements fell again, though volumes are still higher than last year at this time.

This data provides additional insights into the market, with the caveat, it reflects transactions via the AFG channel only.

The mix between majors and non-majors remained similar to last quarter, when the non-majors share grew a little.

The volumes of first time buyers rose a little, whilst refinanced transactions fell a little.

 

The national First Home Owner Grant (FHOG) scheme funded by the states and territories has largely been hailed a success as it seeks to ease the hefty upfront costs for new entrants to the market. The effectiveness of the scheme however has been questioned of late and it appears this may have encouraged governments to act. “The Victorian state government has recently announced a number of changes to the scheme in that state and New South Wales is currently examining their options to help counter rising house prices in those states,” said AFG Interim CEO David Bailey.

AFG data shows positive signs amongst the FHB market with lodgments lifting back up to 10% for the first time since the first quarter of 2014.

“First home buyer numbers have been in the single digits for some time. It is good to see state governments looking to support those trying to get a foot on the property ladder. Time will tell if the proposed changes to the scheme go far enough to assist those looking to buy their first home in our two most populous states.”

APRA-imposed lender policy changes have had an impact on both the investor market and refinancers as many lenders lift interest rates for borrowers.

“Lenders have been told by the regulator to rein in their exposure to the investor market and APRA continues to monitor growth in lending to investors,” said Mr Bailey. “As a result many lenders have embarked upon a series of rate increases and a tightening of credit policy for investors to comply with APRA’s guidelines.

“This activity has seen investor loans drop from 34% to 32% across the quarter.”

Those looking to refinance have also been impacted, with that segment of the market dropping from 38% to 35% last quarter – its lowest level since the third quarter of 2015.

In overall lodgment numbers, AFG has reported a lift of 8% on Quarter 3 last year driven primarily by increasing activity of upgraders. “With a significant amount of changes being made to the appetites and pricing of lenders, help from a mortgage broker can be vital for consumers trying to navigate the dynamic market that is home lending,” said Mr Bailey.

“A result that should please the regulators is a drop in the loan to value ratio (LVR) in all states apart from South Australia where a marginal increase of 0.4% was evident. The national LVR is now down to 68.6%, the lowest level since the first quarter of 2013,” he concluded.

Some Majors Walk Away From Brokers

Further evidence of some majors deliberately dialing back their home loan origination via the broker channel is provided by data from AFG who reported in their latest Competition Index that the majors’ share of the market dropped again to 65.25% to continue the trend of the last six months. This is of course based on data though their books, so may not reflect the overall market, but is a fair indicator nevertheless.

Significantly, we see a fall by CBA and a rise by ANZ, both policy directed decisions.  Some of the slack is being taken up by smaller lenders.

The major banks dropped their share of fixed rate mortgages at 56.66 per cent, down from 64.98 per cent on the quarter ending January 2017, and a significant 12 per cent down on a year ago.

Also, refinancing through the majors dropped to 54.93 per cent of market share, and investor mortgages to the majors fell to 67.56 per cent of market share, around 7 per cent lower than the same period last year.

The recent political spotlight on the major lenders may encourage them to assess their competitive position as they once again fall out of favour with consumers. The non-major lenders have increased their market share to a post-GFC high of almost 35% across the quarter.

“The non-majors have continued to take market share from the majors this quarter, particularly among those seeking to refinance. Their share of the refinancing market grew by 6.5% with the big winners being AMP and ING,” said Mr Hewitt.

The non-majors also gained ground with those looking to fix their interest rate. Non-majors recorded an 8% lift in market share for fixed rates with ME Bank and ING leading the way.

First home buyers were also drawn towards the non-majors with a 2% gain in non-major market share evident from this group.

“Recent changes made by the Victorian state government to exempt first home buyers from stamp duty if they are purchasing a property for less than $600,000 will make this segment of the market one to watch,” said Mr Hewitt.

This latest move comes on top of a doubling of the first home buyers grant for regional purchases in that state and news of a $50 million pilot program designed to help people co-purchase a dwelling with the Victorian government set to launch next year.

Investor and Owner Occupied Loans Rotate

Australian Finance Group has  released its Mortgage Index for the final quarter of 2015.

Investors have continued their retreat from the market with the latest figures showing investor lending had fallen from 40% of total loans processed early in the calendar year to 31% in the last quarter. Gains in both refinancing (36% to 38% of total loans) and upgrader (30% to 35%) categories led to a 7% lift in the total number of home loans processed by AFG for the December quarter compared to the same lending period in 2014.

The figures were led by upward swings in Victoria of 17.69% and New South Wales at 12.23% with a surge in South Australia of 13.41%. These positive results offset a flat market in Queensland at 0.85%, and a decline in the Northern Territory -21.7%, in a comparatively smaller market. WA dipped, -9.55% reflecting a cooling housing market in that state.

AFG General Manager Sales and Operations Mark Hewitt said the final quarter of 2015 painted a fitting picture of the year that was. “2015 was a year of adjustment for both borrowers and lenders. A shift in requirements for lenders set down by regulators saw many changes to lending policy and interest rates resulting in a level of confusion amongst borrowers. This has made the role of the broker even more important for Australians looking to buy homes.

As foreshadowed by AFG’s Competition Index late last month, the number of people keen to fix their loans is on the rise. A long period of low interest rates has many people predicting an upward swing may be on its way in 2016.

As the year drew to a close fixed rate lending lifted by nearly 3% to 14.2% of the product mix. This figure, as a percentage of AFG’s overall volume saw its first increase since the final quarter of 2013.

Non-Majors Strike Back – AFG

The AFG Competition Index for the last quarter of 2015 shows that non-major lenders have made up ground after a punishing few months for the challenger sector.

AFG General Manager of Sales and Operations said the recent turnaround had been dramatic. “We have been through a period of uncertainty and this has seen the majors use the size of their balance sheets to dominate their smaller competitors.

“This quarter the tide has turned and non-majors have had their best run since June, just prior to the regulator enforced changes to investment and interest only lending policy being introduced. Over the last 3 months we have seen the non-majors adjust to these changes and it appears that the flow of business is settling back into a more competitive pattern.

“Looking at the product categories, the non-majors have made up ground across all lending products apart from fixed. Their share of refinancing has increased from 29.8% in August to 39.5% in November. During the same period, investor lending has gone from 27.4% of the total to 29.1% while first homeowners has leapt from 27% to 32%.  The non-major’s share of fixed rates fell from 45.2% in August and a high of 56.8% in May to 42.5% for the last quarter.

“After a three year trend of declining use of fixed rate loans, the tide has turned. The corresponding increase in the major’s share of fixed rate lending has reflected that change. The next edition of the AFG Mortgage Index, due for release in mid January, will show that fixed rate lending as a percentage of AFG’s overall business, has increased from 11% to 13%.

“Borrower expectations that the likelihood of an interest rate rise in the new year has many borrowers opting to fix their home loans,” said Mr Hewitt. “Once again, the changing nature of the market means Australian borrowers are recognizing more than ever the
value of using a broker to help them navigate their way through.”

Hot Investment Lending – AFG

AFG announced their April 2015 Mortgage Index statistics today. It further confirms the momentum in the investment property sector, in both Sydney and Melbourne.

The housing market’s strong 2015 performance continued during April with AFG processing total mortgages of $4,380 million for the month. This compares with $3,674 million in April 2014 and is a record for the month of April. In keeping with seasonal trends, the figure is somewhat lower than the $5,236 million recorded for March, because of the Easter holidays, when property markets are typically more subdued.

The result reflected increasing Victoria investor activity, combined with already strong NSW investor activity. AFG processed a higher proportion of home loans for investors in Victoria last month than ever before at 40.9%, up from 36.7% in March 2015, and 36.9% in April 2014. In NSW, the proportion of investor mortgages remained around its all-time high of 52.8% of applications.

Mark Hewitt, General Manager of Sales and Operations says: “Investor activity in both Sydney and Melbourne is now at the highest levels we have recorded in 21 years. Elsewhere it’s a different story – for example in Western Australia, where first home buyers comprise a much larger proportion of buyers than elsewhere, property investment cooled somewhat last month.”

Queensland property investment rose to 36.7% in April from 33.3% in March, in South Australia there was an increase from 37.7% to 38.2%, and in WA figures softened from 33.6% to 32.8%. First home buyer figures remained at low levels across all of Australia, except for WA, comprising just 2% of new mortgages in NSW, 6.4% in SA, 7.7% in QLD, 8.9% in VIC and 18% in WA.

The proportion of new borrowers choosing fixed home loans was 13.6%, continuing an overall decline since October 2014 when 18.2% of borrowers chose to fix their rates.