RBA Admits Around 175,000 Mortgaged Households Have A Cash Flow Problem!

Last week has turned out to be an important one in terms of household finances and mortgage rates. The RBA this week said households are generally weathering the record run of interest rate rises but one in twenty owner occupied mortgage holders are in a dire financial position because of the higher interest rates and cost-of-living increases.

On average, debt servicing costs have risen about 30-60% since the RBA started hiking its cash rate in May 2022. That said, less than 1% of all housing loans were 90 or more days in arrears, through loans with payments overdue for less than 90 days have “continued to tick up gradually” and are expected to continue to increase in part because of weak household consumption.

Despite the trajectory of interest rates, on-going strength in the labour market enables most people to keep up with rising debt repayment levels, the Reserve Bank said in its quarterly financial stability report. These challenges would intensify if economic conditions were to deteriorate by more than expected or if inflation is more persistent than forecast in the out of date RBA’s February Statement.

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

The Aussie Housing Crisis Out To 2030 And Beyond? With Tarric Brooker…

Journalist Tarric Brooker and I deep dive on the Australian Housing Crisis, as conclude that there is no easy fix, thanks to generations of bad policy and active intervention. So who are the winners and losers?

Tarric slides are here if you want to follow along: https://avidcom.substack.com/p/dfa-chart-pack-22nd-march-2024

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
The Aussie Housing Crisis Out To 2030 And Beyond? With Tarric Brooker...
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The Aussie Housing Crisis Out To 2030 And Beyond? With Tarric Brooker…

Journalist Tarric Brooker and I deep dive on the Australian Housing Crisis, as conclude that there is no easy fix, thanks to generations of bad policy and active intervention. So who are the winners and losers?

Tarric slides are here if you want to follow along: https://avidcom.substack.com/p/dfa-chart-pack-22nd-march-2024

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

RBA Update: Is The Democracy Sausage Still Sizzling? With Robbie Barwick

An important update relating to the Section 11 power at the RBA with Robbie Barwick from the Citizens Party. In some really good news, it appears this change will be resisted in Parliament, so we explore how this came about, and the broader issues which this whole episode represents.

Yes, the democracy sausage is indeed still sizzling, largely thanks to individuals making their views known to our Politicians and the influence of social media on public discourse to positive effect!

See my show A Question Of Democracy! https://youtu.be/R8GNp1hYdq8

https://citizensparty.org.au/

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
RBA Update: Is The Democracy Sausage Still Sizzling? With Robbie Barwick
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RBA Update: Is The Democracy Sausage Still Sizzling? With Robbie Barwick

An important update relating to the Section 11 power at the RBA with Robbie Barwick from the Citizens Party. In some really good news, it appears this change will be resisted in Parliament, so we explore how this came about, and the broader issues which this whole episode represents.

Yes, the democracy sausage is indeed still sizzling, largely thanks to individuals making their views known to our Politicians and the influence of social media on public discourse to positive effect!

See my show A Question Of Democracy! https://youtu.be/R8GNp1hYdq8

https://citizensparty.org.au/

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

A Question Of Democracy!

This week the Senate held hearings into the proposed changes to the way the RBA works. The original review was led by three Technocrats included a recommendation to remove the overrule power. This power specifically, section 11 of the Reserve Bank Act 1959 enables the federal treasurer to “overrule” an action taken by the Reserve Bank in extreme situations, via a clear and determined process, and even though no Australian government had used it in the more than 60 years it is important. It’s supposed to be a democratic fail-safe.

The Technocrats recommended the overrule power should be removed from the act. Their reasoning was that there was a risk that the federal treasurer, and by extension the federal government, might abuse that power. But what if the RBA abuses their power? The proposed change was not supported by the bulk of those who appeared in the Senate hearings, so today we look at the evidence provided.

At the heart of the issue is this. How accountable should the RBA be? And if there is no democratic override from the section 11 power, what happens if the Economists at the RBA set monetary policy in a way that badly impacts ordinary people, bearing in mind that another recommendation was to strike safeguarding the “welfare of all Australians” from their objectives. The focus will be on inflation and employment, only.

Central bankers are not infallible, sometimes makes mistakes, and frankly are already not accountable for their decisions, right or wrong. It’s a question of democracy.

So standing back, it seems it was the Technocrats and Economists who wanted to remove the section 11 power, but those with real lived experience, from both the Central Bank, and Government, as well as many respected observers, all agree.

Democracy would be sacrificed, and the Central Bank would be even less accountable if the power was removed. In other words, it is a question of democracy. And more broadly the idea of unelected Central Banks, being able to impose monetary policy decisions without question should terrify us all.

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
A Question Of Democracy!
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A Question Of Democracy!

This week the Senate held hearings into the proposed changes to the way the RBA works. The original review was led by three Technocrats included a recommendation to remove the overrule power. This power specifically, section 11 of the Reserve Bank Act 1959 enables the federal treasurer to “overrule” an action taken by the Reserve Bank in extreme situations, via a clear and determined process, and even though no Australian government had used it in the more than 60 years it is important. It’s supposed to be a democratic fail-safe.

The Technocrats recommended the overrule power should be removed from the act. Their reasoning was that there was a risk that the federal treasurer, and by extension the federal government, might abuse that power. But what if the RBA abuses their power? The proposed change was not supported by the bulk of those who appeared in the Senate hearings, so today we look at the evidence provided.

At the heart of the issue is this. How accountable should the RBA be? And if there is no democratic override from the section 11 power, what happens if the Economists at the RBA set monetary policy in a way that badly impacts ordinary people, bearing in mind that another recommendation was to strike safeguarding the “welfare of all Australians” from their objectives. The focus will be on inflation and employment, only.

Central bankers are not infallible, sometimes makes mistakes, and frankly are already not accountable for their decisions, right or wrong. It’s a question of democracy.

So standing back, it seems it was the Technocrats and Economists who wanted to remove the section 11 power, but those with real lived experience, from both the Central Bank, and Government, as well as many respected observers, all agree.

Democracy would be sacrificed, and the Central Bank would be even less accountable if the power was removed. In other words, it is a question of democracy. And more broadly the idea of unelected Central Banks, being able to impose monetary policy decisions without question should terrify us all.

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

The RBA Is Trapped: With Tarric Brooker…

Journalist Tarric Brooker joins me for a Friday review, and this week we look at the RBA and how it is trapped thanks to conflicting data.

He also walks through some important slides on property and China. Here is the link to the slides: https://avidcom.substack.com/p/dfa-chart-pack-16th-february-2024

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Find more at https://digitalfinanceanalytics.com/blog/ where you can subscribe to our research alerts

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
The RBA Is Trapped: With Tarric Brooker...
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The RBA Is Trapped: With Tarric Brooker…

Journalist Tarric Brooker joins me for a Friday review, and this week we look at the RBA and how it is trapped thanks to conflicting data.

He also walks through some important slides on property and China. Here is the link to the slides: https://avidcom.substack.com/p/dfa-chart-pack-16th-february-2024

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

RBA Independence Discussed In Senate Committee

RBA Independence or should that be spelt “dance…” was one issue discussed during the Senate Economics Legislation Committee on Thursday 15th February 2024.

Senators Nick McKim and Gerard Rennick quiz RBA Governor Michelle Bullock during the hearings. Highly relevant given the current proposed legislation to remove Government oversight of their activities.

Segments on other issues will follow. Here is the link to the full hearing (1:30:00) https://www.aph.gov.au/News_and_Events/Watch_Read_Listen/ParlView/video/2174307

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
RBA Independence Discussed In Senate Committee
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