Plenty Of Waffle But No Beef: The Rental Scandal That Pollies Prefer To Ignore!

In my live show with Leith van Onselen yesterday, we pulled apart the major party campaigns relating to housing, which focussed on those trying to buy, and a promise of higher home prices for all. This will put a rocket under home prices. But the real story, and the accompanying policy vacuum relates to the rental sector. One third of households are renting, and the number continues to rise as people are squeezed out of home ownership.

As I reported my surveys show that more than three in four renters are under financial pressure, with many caught in the ugly situation of having to accept significant further lifts in rent or have to enter the scrum to find another place which is more affordable.

“Australia is facing its worst rental crisis yet … with little relief in sight for most renters,” said Karen Walsh, chief executive of National Shelter. “Many renters across Australia are hurting and in distress. As rents rise faster than wages, they’re trapped in a relentless cycle … facing a reality where hope for a brighter future feels increasingly out of reach.”

Speaking to ABC News Channel, Maiy Azize from Everybody’s Home — a National campaign dedicated to fixing Australia’s housing crisis — and a former national secretary for the Greens, said it was a huge problem but there had not been any significant major party announcements for renters.

“Six hundred and forty thousand renters across the country are in really, really extreme rental stress, there is just nothing put on the table for them this federal election, which is really disappointing to see.”

This is a policy free area, through the campaign, yet its the pointy bit of the housing crisis. Why are politicians avoiding the issue?

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Plenty Of Waffle But No Beef: The Rental Scandal That Pollies Prefer To Ignore!
Loading
/

Plenty Of Waffle But No Beef: The Rental Scandal That Pollies Prefer To Ignore!

In my live show with Leith van Onselen yesterday, we pulled apart the major party campaigns relating to housing, which focussed on those trying to buy, and a promise of higher home prices for all. This will put a rocket under home prices. But the real story, and the accompanying policy vacuum relates to the rental sector. One third of households are renting, and the number continues to rise as people are squeezed out of home ownership.

As I reported my surveys show that more than three in four renters are under financial pressure, with many caught in the ugly situation of having to accept significant further lifts in rent or have to enter the scrum to find another place which is more affordable.

“Australia is facing its worst rental crisis yet … with little relief in sight for most renters,” said Karen Walsh, chief executive of National Shelter. “Many renters across Australia are hurting and in distress. As rents rise faster than wages, they’re trapped in a relentless cycle … facing a reality where hope for a brighter future feels increasingly out of reach.”

Speaking to ABC News Channel, Maiy Azize from Everybody’s Home — a National campaign dedicated to fixing Australia’s housing crisis — and a former national secretary for the Greens, said it was a huge problem but there had not been any significant major party announcements for renters.

“Six hundred and forty thousand renters across the country are in really, really extreme rental stress, there is just nothing put on the table for them this federal election, which is really disappointing to see.”

This is a policy free area, through the campaign, yet its the pointy bit of the housing crisis. Why are politicians avoiding the issue?

In The Front Line Of The Rental Crisis: With Morgan Cox…

I caught up with Morgan Cox, who asked a simple and direct question on ABC Q&A the other day about the rental crisis hitting Australian families, and migration.

The answers from the panelist were appalling, and showed they were playing lip-service to the issue rather than wanted to deal with the real issue, which should be top of mind as the election approaches.

The reaction across socials was amazing, so kudos to Morgan, an ordinary bloke, with a family, trying to get by, willing to take a stand and hold our politicians to account!

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Details of our one to one service are here: https://digitalfinanceanalytics.com/blog/dfa-one-to-one/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Propaganda Says Rental Crisis Is Easing; But Don’t Believe it….

Those in the rental sector of the property market, a growing proportion of the population, are in the crosshairs of the affordability crisis. Indeed, as discussed in my live show on Tuesday, around 76% of those renting have a cash-flow deficit, or are in rental stress.

The latest data from the ABS reported that Rental prices Rental prices rose 6.4 per cent over the 12 months to the December quarter, down from 6.7 per cent in the September quarter. Rental price growth continues to reflect low vacancy rates and a tight rental market. However, the September quarter results showed a partial impact of the CRA changes, while the remaining impact has been reflected in the December 2024 quarter. Excluding the changes to CRA, rents would have increased by 7.8 per cent over the 12 months to the December 2024 quarter.

The recent headlines about Australia’s rental crisis is easing on the back of data from both the ABS and CoreLogic. “Finally, renters are seeing some relief after a period of extreme rental growth,” Tim Lawless said. “Over the past five years capital city rents have surged by 37%. The previous five-year period saw rents rise by just 5%.”

And to cap it all, according to a recent Yahoo Finance article, some rental properties in Sydney and Melbourne are offering free rent to try and entice new tenants, as the market passes its recent boom.

Let’s be clear, the data shows that growth in rents is moving up faster than overall CPI, which is falling, somewhat, and real wages growth. So, can we really say things are improving in a sustainable way?

Now, SQM Research managing director, Louis Christopher said the sharp decrease in rental vacancies strongly indicated Australia’s rental market crisis was not over and could deteriorate further. “It looked like there was an easing in the vacancy rate at the end of 2024 and we were coming out of the rental crisis, but that’s not the case now,” he said.

“Could there have been another surge in migration levels in recent weeks? We don’t know for sure but clearly something has driven this retreat in rental vacancies”, Christopher said.

If the federal government continues growing the population faster than new homes can be built, the rental market will remain tight. The number one solution to Australia’s rental crisis is to significantly lower net overseas migration to a level compatible with the nation’s ability to build housing and infrastructure.

But don’t expect to hear that as a policy platform in the upcoming election, because more people flooding into the country is the only way to avoid a real recession. Expect the rental crisis to continue and Australian tenants to bear the brunt.

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Propaganda Says Rental Crisis Is Easing; But Don’t Believe it….
Loading
/

Propaganda Says Rental Crisis Is Easing; But Don’t Believe it….

Those in the rental sector of the property market, a growing proportion of the population, are in the crosshairs of the affordability crisis. Indeed, as discussed in my live show on Tuesday, around 76% of those renting have a cash-flow deficit, or are in rental stress.

The latest data from the ABS reported that Rental prices Rental prices rose 6.4 per cent over the 12 months to the December quarter, down from 6.7 per cent in the September quarter. Rental price growth continues to reflect low vacancy rates and a tight rental market. However, the September quarter results showed a partial impact of the CRA changes, while the remaining impact has been reflected in the December 2024 quarter. Excluding the changes to CRA, rents would have increased by 7.8 per cent over the 12 months to the December 2024 quarter.

The recent headlines about Australia’s rental crisis is easing on the back of data from both the ABS and CoreLogic. “Finally, renters are seeing some relief after a period of extreme rental growth,” Tim Lawless said. “Over the past five years capital city rents have surged by 37%. The previous five-year period saw rents rise by just 5%.”

And to cap it all, according to a recent Yahoo Finance article, some rental properties in Sydney and Melbourne are offering free rent to try and entice new tenants, as the market passes its recent boom.

Let’s be clear, the data shows that growth in rents is moving up faster than overall CPI, which is falling, somewhat, and real wages growth. So, can we really say things are improving in a sustainable way?

Now, SQM Research managing director, Louis Christopher said the sharp decrease in rental vacancies strongly indicated Australia’s rental market crisis was not over and could deteriorate further. “It looked like there was an easing in the vacancy rate at the end of 2024 and we were coming out of the rental crisis, but that’s not the case now,” he said.

“Could there have been another surge in migration levels in recent weeks? We don’t know for sure but clearly something has driven this retreat in rental vacancies”, Christopher said.

If the federal government continues growing the population faster than new homes can be built, the rental market will remain tight. The number one solution to Australia’s rental crisis is to significantly lower net overseas migration to a level compatible with the nation’s ability to build housing and infrastructure.

But don’t expect to hear that as a policy platform in the upcoming election, because more people flooding into the country is the only way to avoid a real recession. Expect the rental crisis to continue and Australian tenants to bear the brunt.

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Homeless; Renters Punished And Perth Is Worse Than Sydney!

Last week I published a show titled “The rental stress pips are squeaking” where I did a deep dive into rising rental stress across the country, to underscore the crisis we have in the rental sector. I called it the hidden crisis, because we get massive coverage of mortgage stress in the mainstream, media but rental stress not so much.

To underscore the crisis, new modelling from Impact Economics and Policy, a group of expert economists and policy specialists, estimates that back in 2022, as many as 3.2 million people were at risk of homelessness across the country, where one negative shock could result in them losing their home. This represents a 63% increase between 2016 and 2022 in the number of Australians at risk of homelessness.

A recent survey showed that 39% of Specialist Homelessness Services had to close their doors to people seeking help because they were unable to cope. With the homelessness services unable to cope despite the increase in people needing help, not enough are being assisted, and many are not even seeking help because they know they won’t get through.

Now, SGS Economics and Planning has release the tenth edition of the Rental Affordability Index (RAI) today, which shows that since 2015, rental affordability has declined in most cities, limiting where people can live and work and reshaping communities nationwide. Once affordable areas like South West Sydney and South East Melbourne are now increasingly out of reach for average rental households. Their analysis based on a different approach aligns with what I have been reporting.

The report lands as the Albanese government struggles to get support to pass two key housing bills, dismissing a last minute offer from the Greens as more about politics than progress.

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Homeless; Renters Punished And Perth Is Worse Than Sydney!
Loading
/

Homeless; Renters Punished And Perth Is Worse Than Sydney!

Last week I published a show titled “The rental stress pips are squeaking” where I did a deep dive into rising rental stress across the country, to underscore the crisis we have in the rental sector. I called it the hidden crisis, because we get massive coverage of mortgage stress in the mainstream, media but rental stress not so much.

To underscore the crisis, new modelling from Impact Economics and Policy, a group of expert economists and policy specialists, estimates that back in 2022, as many as 3.2 million people were at risk of homelessness across the country, where one negative shock could result in them losing their home. This represents a 63% increase between 2016 and 2022 in the number of Australians at risk of homelessness.

A recent survey showed that 39% of Specialist Homelessness Services had to close their doors to people seeking help because they were unable to cope. With the homelessness services unable to cope despite the increase in people needing help, not enough are being assisted, and many are not even seeking help because they know they won’t get through.

Now, SGS Economics and Planning has release the tenth edition of the Rental Affordability Index (RAI) today, which shows that since 2015, rental affordability has declined in most cities, limiting where people can live and work and reshaping communities nationwide. Once affordable areas like South West Sydney and South East Melbourne are now increasingly out of reach for average rental households. Their analysis based on a different approach aligns with what I have been reporting.

The report lands as the Albanese government struggles to get support to pass two key housing bills, dismissing a last minute offer from the Greens as more about politics than progress.

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

The Rental Stress Pips Are Squeaking!

Following my live show on Tuesday I had a number of requests for mapping of the Rental Stress story across the country. So in this show we look at the distribution of rental stress both in count and percentage terms, based on DFA modelling and surveys.

Live show was here: https://youtu.be/c8rTWEEw2KU

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog
The Rental Stress Pips Are Squeaking!
Loading
/

The Rental Stress Pips Are Squeaking!

Following my live show on Tuesday I had a number of requests for mapping of the Rental Stress story across the country. So in this show we look at the distribution of rental stress both in count and percentage terms, based on DFA modelling and surveys.

Live show was here: https://youtu.be/c8rTWEEw2KU

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

Maxed Out: 2. Rental Stress Mapping

This is the second in a series of posts showing our latest mapping of rental stress. For our methodology see our recent live show https://youtu.be/YIl4sh-WxIA

Part 1: Default Risk Mapping https://youtu.be/JSk0I7n-gXI

In today’s show we deep dive on the rental stress across the country. The results are not pretty.

Next time, we will look at property investor stress – the Ying to Yang of rental stress!

http://www.martinnorth.com/

Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/