The CPI rose 0.7 per cent in the September quarter 2016

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 1.3 per cent through the year to September quarter 2016, according to the latest Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) figures. This is a rise from 1% last time, and higher than expected. However much of the rise is a reaction to recent bad wealth with the prices of fruit and vegetables higher. This is a temporary effect.

Nevertheless, the RBA trimmed mean remains at 1.7%, and probably means no rate cut in the near future.

The CPI rose 0.7 per cent in the September quarter 2016. This follows a rise of 0.4 per cent in the June quarter 2016. This quantum is towards the higher end of expectations.

cpi-sept-2016-trend-statesSydney had the highest movement at 1%. Housing, and furnishings helped to lift the number here, as well as rising fruit and vegetables prices.

cpi-sept-2016-last-qNationally, the most significant price rises this quarter are fruit (+19.5 per cent), vegetables (+5.9 per cent), electricity (+5.4 per cent) and tobacco (+2.3 per cent). These rises are partially offset by falls in communication (-2.3 per cent) and fuel (-2.9 per cent).

cpi-sept-2016-mixThe rise in fruit and vegetable prices is due to adverse weather conditions, including floods, in major growing areas, impacting supply.

Author: Martin North

Martin North is the Principal of Digital Finance Analytics

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