Median house prices across New Zealand increased by 14.3% in February to a new record median price of $640,000, up from $560,000 in February 2019. This was the largest percentage increase in 53 months according to the latest data from the Real Estate Institute of New Zealand (REINZ).
The number of properties sold in February across New Zealand increased by 9.2% from the same time last year (from 6,132 to 6,694) making it the highest number of properties sold in the month of February in 4 years.
For New Zealand excluding Auckland, the
number of properties sold decreased by a marginal -0.3% when compared to the
same time last year (from 4,742 to 4,726) – 16 fewer properties.
In Auckland, the number of properties sold in February increased by 41.6% year-on-year (from 1,390 to 1,968) – the highest number of residential properties sold in the month of February in 5 years.
The REINZ House Price Index for New
Zealand, which measures the changing value of property in the market, increased
8.7% year-on-year to 3,013 – a new record high.
The HPI for New Zealand excluding Auckland
increased 10.2% from February 2019 to 2,995 another new record high.
The Auckland HPI increased by 6.9%
year-on-year to 3,035 – the highest annual percentage increase in 35 months and
the first time the Auckland region crossed the 3,000 mark.
In February the median number of days to sell a property nationally decreased by 12 days from 47 to 35 when compared to February 2019 – the lowest days to sell for the month of February in 13 years.
The total number of properties available for sale nationally decreased by -22.3% in February to 20,875 down from 26,850 in February 2019 – a decrease of 5,975 properties compared to 12 months ago and the lowest level of inventory for the month of February ever. However, this was an uplift on January’s figure of 19,488.
In order to support the continuous functioning of financial markets through the provision of liquidity, the Bank of Canada announced two measures on Thursday.
First, acting as fiscal agent, the Bank
will broaden the scope of the current Government of Canada bond buyback
program. This is intended to add market liquidity and support price
discovery. Until further notice, buybacks will extend across all
benchmark maturity sectors and will be conducted at least weekly.
Regular weekly operations will be conducted on a switch basis. Cash
buybacks will be conducted following nominal bond auctions.
The first operation will be a $500 million
switch operation in the 30-year sector held on Monday March 16.
Additional program details are forthcoming, including the timing of the
first operation.
Second, to proactively support interbank
funding, the Bank of Canada will temporarily add new Term Repo
operations with terms of 6 and 12 months. These operations will occur
bi-weekly starting with the first operation on Tuesday, 17 March 2020.
Details of the first Term Repo operation are as follows:
Amount
Auction Date
Settlement Date
Term (Days)
Maturity Date
$4 billion
17 March 2020
19 March 2020
168
3 September 2020
$3 billion
17 March 2020
19 March 2020
350
4 March 2021
Regular 1-month and 3-month Term Repo
operations will remain in effect but could change with regards to size,
frequency and term depending on prevailing market conditions.
Term Repo terms and conditions remain in effect. The results of the 6- and 12-month operations will be announced on the Bank’s web site by Market Notice.
The Bank of Canada continues to closely
monitor global market developments and remains committed to providing
liquidity as required to support the functioning of the Canadian
financial system.
Westpac confirmed it has been hit with another class action relating to the AUSTRAC scandal. Via Financial Standard.
The
class action, brought by Johnson Winter & Slattery, has been filed
on behalf of certain shareholders who acquired interest in Westpac
securities or equity swap confirmations between 2013 and 2019.
“The
claim relates to market disclosure issues connected to Westpac’s
monitoring of financial crime over the relevant period and matter which
are the subject of the AUSTRAC proceedings,” Westpac told the ASX.
“The claim does not identify the amount of any damages sought.”
Westpac said it will be defending the claim, as it has said for the other class actions filed against it.
Prior to this proceeding being filed, Westpac said it expects around $80 million in additional expenses in FY20 as part of its response plan to the AUSTRAC scandal.
The bank is facing 23 million alleged breaches of anti-money laundering and counter-terrorism laws brought on by AUSTRAC.
The
regulator alleges, amongst other things, Westpac failed to
appropriately assess the online money laundering and terrorism financing
risks associated with the movement of money into and out of Australia
through correspondent banking relationships.
The bank is also facing class actions from US-based law firm Rosen Law on behalf of purchasers of Westpac shares between November 2015 and November 2019, as well as another Australia-based class action lodged by Phi Finney McDonald.
Property insider Edwin Almeida and I discuss the thorny issue of running open houses in the current environment. What precautions should we take? And how will it impact property listings?
The current structure of finance and its interlock with society based on debt creation and financialisation is not working effectively – as the current market gyrations indicate, and as we face into an extensional crisis. So far the solutions are to grow debt more, cut rates and let Central Banks build their balance sheets (and buy assets from Government bonds and beyond). But there comes a point where we need to think more deeply about what is happening and what needs to change. So in coming days, I will be featuring some of the different alternative approaches.
One approach which I have been examining is called Economic Democracy. There was an excellent post from The Conversation a few months back, which is now more relevant than ever. Andrew Cumbers, Professor of Regional Political Economy, University of Glasgow writes:
We need to fundamentally fix the way we run our economies and hand economic power back to the people. I believe this can – and must – be done through a concept called economic democracy. As I outline in a forthcoming book, The Case for Economic Democracy, it is key to transitioning toward a more socially just and ecologically sustainable system.
In the past, people have tended to think
about the idea of economic democracy in quite a restricted sense. They
have focused on developing the collective voice of employees through
trade unions and collective bargaining. Or concentrated on cooperative
or employee ownership policies. While these remain important, my colleagues and I argue that an expanded definition is needed, one that forces us to think afresh about how we might radically democratise the economy as a whole.
In this respect, I argue that there are
three critical interlocking pillars to economic democracy: individual
economic rights, diverse forms of democratic collective ownership of
companies, and the need for greater public participation in economic
decision-making.
The economic democratic deficit
There is plenty of mainstream media commentary about a global crisis of liberal democracy, the deepening divide between elites and citizens, and the opportunism of faux “outsiders” such as Trump and Johnson (themselves from wealthy elites). But there is seldom much discussion of the underlying economic fundamentals.
A common feature of disaffected voters is
anger toward the excesses of economic globalisation, which was pursued
by centre-left and centre-right politicians of the 1990s. The theory ran
that reducing the restrictions on business and finance operating across
borders – and, in the EU’s case, a single market with freedom of
movement for both business and workers – would be good for us all.
But that has not been the experience for
many. The collapse of well paid and unionised industrial jobs in Europe
and North America, and the shift of work to China and other developing
countries, has fuelled a reaction against globalisation.
Or at least against globalisation in its neoliberal, free trade
variant. Economic nationalists such as Trump and Victor Orban in
Hungary, have capitalised on this reaction.
This has fuelled a sense of alienation and
loss of control among ordinary people. The threat posed to work by
further automation is likely to further depress everyday life, adding grist to the mill of populists.
Brexit and the broader rise of right-wing
populism show the limitations of democracy under the existing
capitalist system. Politically, voters are asked every few years to
choose from a limited range of options and then leave everything else in
the hands of their political representatives.
In economic terms, people have a
diminishing sense of control over the key activities and events that
shape their lives. The proliferation of zero hours contracts and casual
work, and the decline of stable permanent employment have disconnected many from secure jobs and incomes.
In the workplace itself, employees have little say over their companies’ decision-making process. Trade unions are in retreat and what limited collective bargaining we have is under attack in most large developed economies.
There is still a tradition of cooperatives and employee-owned
enterprises nominally committed to democratic practice (though often
sadly lacking in reality). But even these are marginal to the dominant
corporate and privatised economy.
In short, ordinary citizens have very
little say in how the capitalist economy works. This applies at the
macro level – how the economy as a whole functions, who controls it and
makes the key decisions on investment, what to produce, how and what to
tax, what to regulate and what is produced. And it applies at the
individual level of accessing economic resources to lead decent lives,
in a way that is fair to others and sustainable in caring for the planet
and future generations. Both are critical matters of concern.
This is the backdrop for understanding the
growing popularity of alternative economic policies that seek to give
workers and citizens real power and control over their livelihoods. In
the UK, the Labour party’s policies to reverse privatisation and create
new more democratic forms of public ownership are massively popular. A recent opinion poll
by the right-wing Legatum Institute think tank found 83% of respondents
favoured nationalisation of water companies, 77% for electricity and
gas, and 76% for train services.
Even in the US, where there is traditional
hostility to ideas seen as “socialist”, public opinion appears to be
shifting. A poll carried out by Washington-based think tank the Democracy Collaborative
discovered that 55% of people supported the idea of employee ownership
funds, while only 20% were opposed. The idea that workers should have
the first right to buy their companies when they comes up for sale had
69% support.
But what should this look like in
practice? Unlike older visions of economic democracy that started with
class or the collective, my starting point is the individual. We should
all have the right to participate in a democratic society on equal
terms.
Nobel Prize winning economist Amartya Sen has emphasised
that individual economic freedom is only possible where citizens have
the resources, competence and capability to flourish. Rather than the
restricted choice of whatever the market is offering, it is important to
create a sense of economic citizenship, one that provides all people
with the resources and capability to make meaningful life choices.
An important mechanism for doing this is
to provide everyone with a universal basic income that would cover their
essential living requirements: food, shelter and clothing. This idea
has provoked plenty of controversy with enthusiasts and detractors on
the left and right.
Right wing proponents, such as Milton Friedman, support it because they think it could allow governments to cut welfare services elsewhere. Others reject it for creating indolence and dependency.
If everyone was given an income, why would anybody turn up for work?
Many trade unionists and social democrats don’t like the idea because
they think it would shift focus away from workplace rights and public services, allowing further attacks from the right.
The more substantive research suggests
little evidence that labour market participation falls when UBI is
introduced, although some people take the opportunity to reduce hours
for positive reasons such as spending more time with family and
volunteering. Meanwhile, the biggest positives tend to be improvements
in the physical and mental health of participants and the greater
likelihood of young people staying on for longer in education.
In response to fears on the left, UBI
should not be viewed as a standalone policy but rather part of a
progressive agenda of fairer taxation, living wage rates, reducing working hours and strengthening employment rights. Framed this way, the idea has much appeal in providing people with real choices.
It would also change the balance of power
in the labour market. Rather than coercing people into poorly paid and
inhumane forms of work, employers would also be forced to make work more
attractive and rewarding.
Democratic collective ownership
Under a proper economic democracy, the
individual should also have ownership rights and control over the work
they do and how it is used. Under capitalism, once we enter employment,
we effectively sell the right to own and control our labour to
employers. The workplace becomes a managerial dictatorship.
Many thinkers since the 19th century, from Karl Marxto liberals
such as John Stuart Mill, have recognised that this is unjust. People
have a basic right to control their labour and any benefits that accrue
from it, whether that’s in the form of income or profit.
Work is a social activity, not an
individual one. It involves interaction and cooperation with others.
Recognising this, my second pillar of economic democracy is collective,
diverse and democratic forms of ownership. This is very different to the
existing dominance of shareholder capitalism, where companies are privately controlled and largely subject to the whims of the market.
Similarly, while plans to take privatised
utilities back into public ownership are important, these entities need
to be run along much more democratic lines than in the past. Many older
and existing forms of public ownership have been too removed from public control,
run by elite officials or boards composed of private sector interests
rather than giving the public themselves a role in decision-making. The
BBC is a good example of this, set up as a corporation on behalf of the
pubic, who in reality have little say over how it is run.
As well as providing democratic
participation for workers, it’s also important to include users of
public services in the way they are run. There are different ways of
achieving this and plenty of good examples from around the world of how happens in practice.
For example, when the French city of
Montpelier de-privatised its water system, taking it back into public
ownership in 2016, it set up a water observatory, a citizens forum with
the power to scrutinise and hold the new public enterprise to account. It also drew 30% of its board from civil society organisations.
Another interesting example of a more
hybrid form of democratic public ownership comes from Costa Rica. Here,
the country’s third largest bank, the Banco Popular is a public enterprise that is legally owned by the country’s workers, with 1.2 million members (20% of the total population).
To own a share, a worker needs to have had
a savings account with the bank for one year. The key governing body of
the bank is a democratic assembly of 290 elected representatives, which
determines the bank’s strategic direction. A quarter of the bank’s
revenues fund social projects and it has played an increasingly
important role in the country’s rapid expansion of renewable energy,
including financing the first Latin American energy supplier to become
carbon neutral.
Beyond public services, other forms of
democratic collective ownership (such as employee ownership, cooperative
or mutual societies) could play a greater role across the economy. The
Mondragon network of worker cooperatives in Spain’s Basque country is
inspirational for many because of its intense democratic ethos across
its workforce of more than 70,000. Workers in every cooperative have an
annual general assembly. On the basis of one member one vote, the
assembly approves the business plan and budget, and elects a governing
council (the board of directors).
Key ingredients in Mondragon’s continued success
include having its own bank, lots of cooperation across its network,
collective knowledge sharing and an emphasis upon lifelong learning
alongside job security. These are measures of public effectiveness and
social value that contrast strongly with the short-term, profit
maximisation mantra of privately-owned firms.
Part of the wider appeal of Mondragon is
the sense that its model can be transplanted elsewhere to create whole
ecosystems of worker-owned enterprises at the local and regional level.
These could stimulate interesting new initiatives that build the wealth
of communities in post-industrial places, from Cleveland in the US to
Preston in the UK.
Public participation and deliberation
Beyond extending economic rights to the
individual and at the business level, my third pillar requires greater
public participation and engagement at the macro level of the economy as
a whole. This would involve the public becoming more involved in
decisions about spending in the wider economy.
One well-researched phenomenon, for example, is the idea of participatory budgeting.
This is where governments devote a proportion of their budget directly
to citizens groups who are brought together in a series of deliberative
exercises to decide on investment priorities.
So far, this has only occurred at the
local level. But the results are overwhelmingly positive, both in
engaging citizens and in making more socially progressive investment
choices. Brazil, beginning with the southern city of Porto Alegre in the
late 1980s, has been a pioneer of the concept.
Regional assemblies of residents were set
up across the city to vote on priorities, which were then fed into
city-level planning. Participatory budgeting then spread throughout
Brazil with over 120 cities adopting it in the 1990s and 2000s. The idea
has also spread widely across the world. There are currently over 250 schemes in the US, with Chicago and New York being important centres.
Advocates of participatory budgets point
to how they increase the involvement of women and lower income groups in
democratic processes. When sustained over a longer time period, they
reduce corruption, improve transparency and public engagement, and
create better institutions that involve citizens more regularly into
governance processes. The evidence also suggests
that they lead to greater spending on health and education in poorer
areas of cities, significantly reduce infant mortality and are linked to
the growth of civil society organisations.
Struggling for economic democracy
There remain powerful vested interests
that will mobilise against more radical initiatives to democratise the
economy. Commercial interests have powerful resources to protect the
status quo. They can fashion superficial media narratives, that have
been notably successful in protecting fossil fuels and undermining efforts to tackle climate change.
But, if we are to confront the major
economic, social and ecological crises that face us, these interests
must be overcome to create a very different kind of global economy. This
needs democratic mechanisms that rebalance economic resources and
decision-making away from the rich and powerful toward the pursuit of
the common good, while safeguarding the planet for future generations.
As the examples here demonstrate, these ideas are not unworkable utopias
but existing forms of democratic economy.
The Dow plunged to its biggest-one day
percentage loss since October 1987 as fears the spread of the novel
coronavirus will pick up pace and usher in a global recession
overshadowed the Federal Reserve’s bold new stimulus measures to calm
funding markets.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average
fell nearly 10%, or 2,352 points, it worst one-day percentage drop
since Black Monday when it lost 22.6%. It was the fourth-largest
percentage drop for the blue chip index in history, rivaling those seen
in 1929.
The rout on Wall Street for the second-straight day comes as investors upped their bearish bets on stocks despite the Federal Reserve unveiling $1.5 trillion in fresh liquidity to combat “temporary disruptions” in funding markets.
The short-term pause in selling following the Fed announcement proved short-lived as investor sentiment on stocks continued to be swayed by the latest updates on the spread of Covid-19, which has killed nearly 5,000 people, with infections topping 133,000 worldwide.
In the U.S., where infections are feared
to increase in the coming weeks, state-wide bans on large gatherings to
limit the virus impact continued, with New York announcing announce a
ban on gatherings of 500 or more people.
The Fed’s announcement was unprecedented:
The Open Market Trading Desk (the
Desk) at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York has released a new
monthly schedule of Treasury securities operations and has updated the
current monthly schedule of repurchase agreement (repo) operations.
Pursuant to instruction from the Chair in consultation with the FOMC,
adjustments have been made to these schedules to address temporary
disruptions in Treasury financing markets. The Treasury securities
operation schedule includes a change in the maturity composition of
purchases to support functioning in the market for U.S. Treasury
securities. Term repo operations in large size have been added to
enhance functioning of secured U.S. dollar funding markets.
As a part of its $60 billion reserve
management purchases for the monthly period beginning March 13, 2020
and continuing through April 13, 2020, the Desk will conduct purchases
across a range of maturities to roughly match the maturity composition
of Treasury securities outstanding. Specifically, the Desk plans to
distribute reserve management purchases across eleven sectors,
including nominal coupons, bills, Treasury Inflation-Protected
Securities, and Floating Rate Notes. The distribution of purchases
across sectors will be the same distribution as the Desk uses to
reinvest principal payments from the Federal Reserve’s holdings of
agency debt and agency MBS in Treasury securities. The first such
purchases will begin tomorrow, March 13, 2020.
Today, March 12, 2020, the Desk will
offer $500 billion in a three-month repo operation at 1:30 pm ET that
will settle on March 13, 2020. Tomorrow, the Desk will further offer
$500 billion in a three-month repo operation and $500 billion in a
one-month repo operation for same day settlement. Three-month and
one-month repo operations for $500 billion will be offered on a weekly
basis for the remainder of the monthly schedule. The Desk will
continue to offer at least $175 billion in daily overnight repo
operations and at least $45 billion in two-week term repo operations
twice per week over this period.
These changes are being made to address highly unusual disruptions in Treasury financing markets associated with the coronavirus outbreak. Reserve management purchases into the second quarter will continue to be conducted with this maturity allocation. The terms of operations will be adjusted as needed to foster smooth Treasury market functioning and efficient and effective policy implementation.
Detailed information on the schedule of Treasury purchases is provided on the Treasury Securities Operational Details page.
Detailed information on the schedule and parameters of term and
overnight repo operations are provided on the Repurchase Agreement
Operational Details page.
Given the current market gyrations, we are going to examine the latest critical data each day, because a week is a long time in politics but a lifetime on the markets at the moment…
Several UK mortgage lenders have announced loan repayment holidays to support homeowners affected by coronavirus. Via Homes and Property
Royal Bank of Scotland said it will defer mortgage payments for up to three months to affected borrowers.
The state-backed bank is 62 per cent owned
by the taxpayer and has announced the emergency measures to support
customers who might lose their jobs or see their income decline if they
cannot work due to illness or lockdown.
A spokeswoman for RBS said: “We are monitoring the potential impact of coronavirus
across all our customers to ensure we can support them appropriately
through any period of disruption. We have a strong track record in
working with our customers who are affected by disruption outside of
their control.”
TSB also said borrowers could have mortgage repayment holidays for up to two months.
UK Finance said all its members were
putting measures in place to support borrowers affected by the virus.
Stephen Jones, the industry body’s chief executive said: “All providers
are ready and able to offer support to their customers who are impacted
directly or indirectly by COVID-19, which could include offering or
increasing an overdraft or allowing repayment relief for loan or
mortgage repayments: asking for help early is key.
“We would encourage customers who think
they may be affected to contact their provider as soon as possible to
discuss the support available to them.”
Miles Robinson, head of mortgages
at online broker Trussle, said: “Self-employed and gig economy workers
might be concerned about their income becoming more unstable, at least
temporarily, which may affect their ability to pay the bills at the end
of the month.
“The good news is that mortgage lenders
don’t live under a rock. They know that coronavirus is causing severe
uncertainty. They’re also aware that as a result of the outbreak, some
customers might be unable to make their monthly mortgage repayments.”
UK lenders adopted similar measures in the 2009 recession.
President Trump is suspending flights from Europe for the next 30 days because of the virus, a decision likely to ripple throughout the global economy. The president said such travel restrictions would apply to “trade and cargo,” but the White House later clarified that goods from Europe would still be able to enter the country. Via The Hill.
Trump said he will
“soon be taking emergency action [to] provide financial relief …
targeted for workers who are ill, quarantined, or caring for others due
to coronavirus,” without specifying how he would do so.
The
president also said he would instruct the Small Business Administration
to extend low-interest loans to businesses in coronavirus hot spots to
overcome steep declines in activity, and would ask Congress to approve a
temporary payroll tax suspension that has fallen flat among lawmakers.
Trump
also did not address a several issues that Democrats consider essential
to any coronavirus aid plan, including provisions to expand
unemployment insurance and ensure that low-income children don’t miss
meals due to school closures. The House is set to vote on a bill with
those measures and others, including federal paid sick leave, on
Thursday in a bid to force the Senate to pass the legislation quickly.
More than 1,000 cases of coronavirus have now hit the U.S.
Earlier, President Trump insisted the U.S. is not suffering through a financial crisis in an Oval Office address to the country about the coronavirus outbreak on Wednesday.
“This is not a financial crisis. This is just a temporary moment of time that we will overcome together as a nation,” Trump said.
Dow Jones industrial average futures plunged after Trump’s address, projecting a loss of more than 800 points when markets open on Thursday.