Bank branches becoming ‘uneconomic’ says ANZ CEO

ANZ chief executive Shayne Elliott has conceded that branches are losing their lustre as cash becomes a niche payment solution and consumers opt to bank online, via InvestorDaily.

Counsel assisting Rowena Orr asked why the major bank has been reducing its retail footprint during Mr Elliott’s time on the stand at the royal commission this week.

Mr Elliott estimated 35 ANZ branches closed this year and up to 50 had ceased operating last year.

ANZ has closed around 110 branches in the past decade: 55 in inner regional Australia, 44 in outer regional areas, six in remote locations and four in very remote areas.

Mr Elliott noted that some branches had also opened in that time, describing it as a redistribution of its network.

“Why so many branches this year, Mr Elliot?” Ms Orr asked.

“Well, consumer behaviour is changing very quickly. And not that it has changed just this year but over the last few years we’re seeing a number of fundamental changes,” Mr Elliott said.

“The Reserve Bank governor the other day referred to the fact that the usage of cash is almost becoming a niche payment solution.”

Mr Elliott added that most of what people are doing in branches is cash related, in deposits and withdrawals. He also noted a decrease in retail traffic of around 20 to 30 per cent over the last couple of years in areas where the bank had closed shops.

However, small business usage was said to remain reasonably solid.

“So essentially, we are confronted with a dilemma where we have shops and a distribution network with less and less people in it, and therefore, at some point they become uneconomic,” he said.

“At the same time, what we have seen is a rapid increase in the use of technology for people who prefer to do their banking on their phone or at home, or even in some cases, on the phone.”

Ms Orr asked if people still go into branches to inquire about loans.

“Yes, perhaps, although I would say for ANZ – and we may be different from our peer group – our home loan book only – less than a third of home loans are originated through a branch,” Mr Elliott said.

“Around 55 per cent come through brokers and another roughly 15 per cent come through our mobile banking network, ie, we send somebody to you. So the branch network is not a terribly efficient or well-used avenue for home loans.”

ANZ had considered two proposals with closing branches, one to sell and the other to continue with a branch by branch closure program. Mr Elliott said the organisation had chosen to continue with closures based on customer behaviour and impact data.

Mr Elliott was also asked about the considerations that ANZ takes into account during branch closures. He responded by saying the bank does not consider the financials of the branch, rather the transactions that are available in the area and local alternatives in close by branches and ATMs.

“There’s very little correlation between what happens in the branch and the economic outcome to the bank. What most people do in a branch drives very little value,” he said.

“We don’t charge fees for most of what they do. It is a service that is not necessarily correlated to where we generate our profits or earnings.”

He added that delinkage is accelerating, with more people using brokers.

ANZ’s attitude towards its retail banking division is in stark contrast to that of its largest competitor, CBA.

When CBA boss Matt Comyn gave evidence before the Hayne inquiry last week he made clear the group’s preference for consumers to use its extensive branch network.

Mr Comyn revealed that CBA had sought to introduce a “flat fee” commission-based model in January 2018, before choosing not to go ahead with the change in fear that the rest of the sector would not follow suit.

MFAA CEO Mike Felton said that CBA’s position was “not surprising”, but was “entirely self-serving” and was “designed to destroy competition and reduce the bank’s reliance on the broker channel”.

Commenting on CBA’s attempt to introduce a flat-fee remuneration model, Mr Felton said: “CBA’s model is anti-competitive and designed to drive consumers back into their branch network, which is the largest branch network of the major lenders.

“Mr Comyn’s solution for better customer outcomes is a new fee of several thousand dollars to be paid by consumers to CBA for the privilege of becoming a CBA customer.”

Mr Felton added: “Cutting what brokers earn by two-thirds would save CBA $197 million, which is good for CBA’s shareholders. However, it would destroy competition, leaving millions of customers without access to credit outside of major lenders.”

ANZ “Enhances” Verification Requirements

ANZ has announced that it will implement a swathe of changes to its home and investment lending policy., via The Adviser.

ANZ has informed brokers that it will introduce enhanced home loan verification requirements, effective from 20 November.

Key changes include the following:

PAYG income: Brokers are required to obtain three months’ bank statements showing salary credits in order to verify income (in addition to payslips).

For casual, temporary and contract employees, six months of continuous employment is required, supported by six months of bank statements showing salary credits.

Overtime, bonus and commission income: Brokers are required to make inquiries of customers as to whether any of their income is comprised of overtime, bonus or commission, and record the overtime/bonus/commission amounts in the Statement of Position, adding that brokers should also include an explanation of the income in their submission/diary note.

In line with current ANZ policy, any income from bonus, commission or overtime needs to be removed from the income calculation and shaded in accordance with credit policy (currently 80 per cent), before being added back to the customer income, using the ANZ Toolkit.

However, the bank noted that if the overtime/commission/bonus amount cannot be identified from the customer’s payslips, or the customer has chosen to provide six months’ salary credits rather than salary credits and payslips, further payslips may be required in order to verify the amount of income that is derived from bonus, overtime or commission payments.

Casual, temporary or contract employment: Where a customer is in casual, temporary or contract employment, the customer will need to provide evidence of six months of continuous employment via salary credits through either ANZ transaction history or OFI bank statements.

In order to satisfy the continuous employment requirement, customers cannot have a gap greater than a total of 28 days (either continuous or cumulative), which ANZ said is measured by the pay period start/end dates on payslips or the number of salary credits available on ANZ transaction history/ OFI bank statements.

Additional checks by ANZ for irregular income: An additional check will be performed by ANZ to confirm if a customer’s income is irregular. If the assessor cannot satisfy themselves of the reasons for irregular income via the documents provided, the Statement of Position and any relevant diary notes, then they will contact the broker for further information.

OFI home loan: Three months of statements are required (even if the home loan liability is not being refinanced) to confirm monthly repayment amount and that the account conduct is satisfactory.

Where the loan account is less than three months old, a copy of the Letter of Offer (LOO) or the loan transaction history (showing balance AND at least one repayment) is considered acceptable provided the above conditions are also met.

Rental expenses: Three months of bank statements showing rental payments made by the customer will be required, or a lease agreement to verify the ongoing rental expense.

Additional commentary regarding customer’s financial situation

Brokers are required to make adequate inquiries with customers about their financial situation and provide additional commentary to explain any material differences between verification documents (for example, bank statements) and customer-stated income or expense figures in the Statement of Position, as well as any potential indicators of financial hardship.

ANZ stated that indicators of financial hardship may include adverse account conduct (e.g. overdrawn, excess, late payments, arrears), regular overdrawing of an account due to gambling transactions, and payday lender transactions.

Brokers have also been asked to include any additional commentary/explanation in a diary note, which the bank said will form part of ANZ’s assessment.

Changes to Broker Interview Guide:  Also effective on 20 November, ANZ has also announced that it will change questions in its Broker Interview Guide in relation to inquiries into a customer’s future financial circumstances, which will apply to all home and investment loan applications.

Key changes include: More detailed information required from customers who have stipulated a significant change to their future financial circumstances including the requirement for supporting documentation in some instances.

More detailed information required from customers who are approaching retirement including the requirement for supporting documentation in some instances.

More jobs to go at major bank as profit slides

ANZ saw its cash profit fall by 5 per cent over in FY18 to $6.5 billion. The bank’s ROI fell 67 basis points to 11 per cent over the year, via InvestorDaily.

Under the leadership of CEO Shayne Elliott, ANZ is focused on become a simpler bank. Part of this strategy has involved selling off non-core assets in Asian markets and the announced sale of its wealth business to IOOF.

Collectively, the announced asset sales are expected to release $7.2 billion of CET1 capital. Meanwhile, “institutional reshaping” is poised to free up $4.5 billion, according to the group’s full-year result presentation.

One significant outcome of ANZ’s strategy will be the reshaping of its workforce, or full-time equivalent staff (FTE). Staff numbers have already fallen dramatically from just over 50,000 in 2015 to under 38,000 today.

ANZ has reduced its FTE numbers by 5151 over the last 12 months, from 43,011 in September 2017 to 37,860 today.

Chief executive Shayne Elliott said that while the bank does not have a target to reduce its FTE numbers, staff cuts will be a natural result of simplifying the bank.

“The outcome of our strategy of doing less things means less branches, fewer products to service and less need for contact centre and operational staff,” he said.

“It is an outcome rather than a target.

“There will be more. We have been really transparent with our staff about why we are changing and the need to change. While it is early days, we do keep in touch with former staff and most of them haven’t struggled to find alternative employment,” he said.

When he appeared before the House of Representatives inquiry in Canberra on 12 October, Mr Elliott said more than 200 staff from across the group had been dismissed over misconduct over the last year.

ANZ this week revealed that it has reduced variable remuneration paid to staff across the company by $124 million.

Royal commission costs

The major bank paid $55 million in legal costs for the royal commission in FY18, one of a number of expenses that the Hayne inquiry has generated.

Earlier last month, ANZ announced a $374 million hit to profits as part of its refunds to customers and related remediation costs.

“Clearly there will be a short-term impact on financials. You are seeing that now,” Mr Elliot said.

“It may continue a little bit more. We are hiring people in compliance and investing in systems to make sure we are compliant. But in the long-run I don’t believe it will lead to an increase in costs, I actually believe the opposite.

“I believe that the way to meet our obligations regarding the law or community expectations is by being simpler. So by doing less things and doing them well, taking out all the complexity, that will be lower cost, better for compliance and better for customers.”

However, RBA assistant governor Michelle Bullock believes the royal commission will have longer term impacts on costs for the big banks.

Ms Bullock observed that while the royal commission has brought to light some poor behaviour by the Australian banks, the direct financial impact on them has been relatively modest so far.

“The fines to date are relatively small compared with the major banks’ combined profits of around $30 billion per annum. But there are also costs from remediation of past behaviour, which have been reflected in banks’ profit announcements in recent times, and there is also the possibility of class actions,” she said.

“And there are also likely to be increased costs of compliance, which will be ongoing. More broadly, there has been very little share price growth over recent years, which has had an impact on shareholder returns. And changes to business models to address the risk of future misconduct could more permanently impact banks’ financial performance. These changes, however, are likely to increase the resilience of the financial sector in the medium term, even if at the expense of lower returns.”

ANZ 2018 Results In A Tough Market Show NIM Pressure

ANZ today announced a Statutory Profit after tax for the Full Year ended 30 September 2018 of $6.40 billion, flat on the comparable period and a Cash Profit on a continuing basis of $6.49 billion, down 5%. Their approach to simplify the business and reduce costs have bolstered their capital position, but also left them potentially more exposed to a mortgage and construction sector downturn.

ANZ’s Common Equity Tier 1 Capital Ratio was 11.4% up 87 basis points (bps). Return on Equity decreased 67 bps to 11.0% with Cash Earnings per Share down 4% to 223.4 cents (continuing). The Final Dividend is 80 cents per share, fully franked, bringing the Full Year Dividend to 160 cents.

They called out the headwinds facing Retail banking thanks to housing growth slowing, and borrowing capacity reduced. They said they had sacrificed sort-term revenue growth and high margins in Australia, particularly in the investor and interest-only segments.  New Zealand performed well. The risk adjusted performance for Australia FELL in the second half, as the impact of the tighter mortgage sector hit home.

Net Interest Margin was significantly lower, thanks to the change in business mix, funding and customer remediation charges.

The results were supported by the $3 billion share buy-back and the neutralisation of the full year dividend reinvestment plan.  They reduced variable remuneration paid to staff this year across the bank by $124 million and are undertaking the urgent work required to fix the failures that have been highlighted by the Royal Commission.

ANZ announced earlier this month charges of $377 million after tax have been recognised in 2H18 for refunds to customers and related remediation costs. ANZ also recorded accelerated amortisation expense of $206 million in 2H18, predominantly relating to its International business. A restructuring charge of $104 million, largely relating to the previously announced move of the Australia and Technology Divisions to agile ways of working, was also recorded in 2H18.

Staff numbers have fallen significantly from 50,152 in 2015 to 37,860 in 2018.

As a result, costs were lower, despite significant technology investments.

The total provision charge for the year was $688 million down 43%.

Looking at the Australian Home Lending portfolio, they say 72% of households are ahead on repayments. They hold more loans above 95% than 90% in their portfolio.

Australian Home Loan 90+ Delinquencies were higher, especially investor loans, rising from 0.84% in September 2017 to 0.86% in September 2018.

WA continues to show more 90+ delinquency, and WA is 13% of funds under management, but 33% of 90+ and over half of portfolio losses.  This shows the long slow drag on performance from a slowing economy.

They also increased their exposure to commercial property, with apartment development limits up 17% to ~$4 billion, which accounts for ~39% of total residential limits. Inner City apartment limits totalled $0.56 billion and was 14% of the total apartment development limit in FY18, down from 20% in the prior year.  This was thanks to developments in Sydney and Melbourne being repaid. They have highest exposure in NSW.

The Group Loss rate reduced to 12 bps with the second half loss rate 9 bps. New Impaired assets declined just over $1.1 billion or 34% with Gross Impaired Assets down 16%. The significant decline in the Group loss rate reflects portfolio credit quality improvement driven by strategic changes to the composition of the asset book, such as the sale of retail and commercial in Asia, together with tighter lending standards and a relatively benign credit environment.

The APRA CET1 capital ratio at 30 September 2018 was 11.4% (16.8% on an Internationally Comparable basis). This places ANZ well above the APRA prescribed ‘unquestionably strong’ threshold, comfortably ahead of the 2020 deadline.

Completed assets sales during the year increased the CET1 position by ~84bps. They commenced an on market share buyback in January 2018 and was increased to $3 billion in June 2018. As at 30 September $1.9bn of this had been completed, representing ~2% of ANZ shares outstanding. They expect the remaining ~$1.1bn to be completed during 1H19.

The Group’s funding and liquidity position remained strong with the Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 138% and Net Stable Funding Ratio at 115%. Other asset sales already announced will provide further flexibility.

 

 

ANZ Issues Profit Downgrade Warning

ANZ has warned today that their Full Year Cash Profit will be impacted by additional charges for customer compensation, accelerated amortisation of software and other notable items.

Charges of $374 million have be recognised in 2H18 for refunds to customers and related remediation costs. These relate to issues that have been identified from reviews to date. These reviews remain ongoing.

Approximately 57% relates to customer refunds impacting revenue, with the balance relating to remediation costs recorded as n expense. The total remediation charge is split approximately 66%/35% between Continuing and Discontinued operations.

Key items of customer remediation include:

  • Compensating customers for issues arising from product review in the Australian division.
  • Compensation for customers receiving inappropriate advice or for services not provided within ANZ’s former aligned dealers group. (These were sold to IOOF on 1 October 2018).

ANZ has accelerated the amortisation of certain software assets, predominantly relating to its International business. This follows a recent review of the International business along with a number of divestments announced or completed this year. Accelerated amoritisation expenses of $206 million will be recorded in 2H18.

Along with announced divestments and the matters above, they also declared:

  • Restructuring charge of $104 million in 2H18, largely relating to the previously announced move of the Australian and Technology Divisions to agile ways of working.
  • External legal costs associated with responding to the Royal Commission which will total $55 million (pre-tax) for FY18.

The impact of these additional charges on ANZ’s Common Equity Tier 1 capital position compared to 1H18 is expected to be less that 10 basis points.

ANZ’s FY18 Results Announcement will be released on 31 October 2018.

ASIC commences civil penalty proceedings against ANZ

ASIC has commenced civil penalty proceedings in the Federal Court of Australia against Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Limited (ANZ) for an alleged continuous disclosure breach in relation to a $2.5 billion institutional share placement undertaken by the ANZ in 2015.

On 6 August 2015, ANZ issued a release to the Australian Securities Exchange (the ASX) entitled “ANZ announces Institutional Placement (fully underwritten) and share Purchase Plan to raise a total of $3 billion”.

On 7 August 2015, ANZ issued a release to the ASX in respect of the placement stating among other things, “ANZ today announced that it had raised $2.5 billion in new equity capital through the placement of approximately 80.8 million ANZ ordinary shares at the price of $30.95 per share”.

ASIC alleges that that ANZ contravened s.674(2) of the Corporations Act by failing to notify the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) that approximately $791 million of the $2.5 billion of ANZ shares offered in the Placement was to be acquired by its underwriters rather than placed with investors.

ASIC is seeking a declaration that ANZ breached its continuous disclosure obligations and a pecuniary penalty order.

The proceedings are to be listed for a case management hearing in the Federal Court in Melbourne on a date to be fixed.

ASIC will be making no further comment at this time.

ANZ Hikes Mortgage Rates

The music continues with ANZ announcing it will increase its variable interest home loan rates. This of course is the second of the big four banks to raise mortgages in response to higher funding costs.

Variable interest rates for home and residential investment loans will rise by 16 basis points (Westpac’s was 14 basis points), effective September 27. This means the declared rate for a principal and interest loan will now be 5.36%. That said,  NO rise for ANZ home loan customers in drought-declared regional Australia are planned.

Fred Ohlsson, ANZ Group Executive Australia, says the decision to lift was a difficult one.

“We know the impact rising interest rates have on family budgets,” he says.

“The reality is it is more expensive for us to fund our home loans on wholesale markets and we also needed to balance the needs of all stakeholders.

“There is no change to the effective rates of our home loan customers in drought declared regional Australia benefiting more than 70,000 of our customers.

“We wanted to play our part in keeping cash in regional towns impacted by the drought and we hope this will also assist both families and small businesses in these areas.”

The new rates:

Source: ANZ

 

Taking The Lender’s Pulse

We look at the latest data from ANZ and NAB and discuss the implications for lending and the property market

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ANZ Q318 Pillar Update Reveals Credit Tightening

ANZ released their latest update today, and it shows the benefit of returning to its core retail business in Australia, and the release of capital resulting from this. Provisions were significantly lower, thanks to a shirking institutional book, but the home lending sector past 90 days continues to rise to 0.63%, up 10 basis points from March 2016. This is pretty consistent across the industry, despite ultra-low interest rates.

In fact their disclosure on home loans was quite revealing, with lower system growth, a focus on owner occupied loans, and a reduction in mortgage power. This underscore the credit tightening is not temporary.
The Bills/OIS spread has remained elevated suggesting margin pressure is in the wind.

They said level 2 Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio was 11.07% at Jun-18, up 3bps from Mar-18 largely driven by: organic capital generation (+50bps) and receipt of reinsurance proceeds from the One Path Life (OPL) sale (+25bps); offset by the FY18 Interim Dividend (-59bps) and the share buyback (-8bps). 2018 interim DRP was neutralised.

The ¬$1.5bn of the announced $3bn on-market share buyback had been completed as at 30-Jun 2018.

Total Risk Weighted Assets decreased $2bn to $394bn driven by a $2bn reduction in CRWA. There was a $2bn reduction in CRWAs from net risk improvement across both Institutional and Retail businesses in Australia & New Zealand.

Total provision charge was $121m in 3Q18 with individual provision (IP) charge of $160m. The IP charge in 3Q18 was the lowest quarter since 2014, reflecting both the ongoing benign environment and improved quality of the portfolio

While typically Q1 and Q3 provision charges are lower than Q2 and Q4, 3Q18 was substantially lower than the average for the past four years, reflecting in part a high level of write backs and recoveries in the Institutional loan book.

ANZ has retained an overlay initially taken at 30 Sep 2017 in relation to the Retail Trade book which remains on watch.

Australian Residential Mortgage 90+ day past due loans (as a % of Residential Mortgage EAD) was flat vs prior quarter. There are some pockets of stress in the mortgage book, primarily in Western Australia, more particularly in Perth itself.

Throughout FY18 the Australian housing system has been characterised by slowing credit system growth, increased price competition, increased capital intensity and tighter credit conditions. As at end June 2018, YTD APRA System has grown 4.1%, down 18% vs. prior comparable period 5.3%.

ANZ’s ongoing focus is on the Owner Occupier Principal & Interest segment, with Owner Occupier loan growth of 4.4% annualised in the June quarter. Investor segment growth in the June quarter was -2.5% annualised.

ANZ’s total Australian home lending portfolio grew at 0.4 times system in the June quarter (2% annualised growth).

ANZ Interest Only home loan flows in the June quarter represented 13% of total home loan flows.

$6.5bn of Interest Only loans switched to Principal & Interest in the June quarter (3Q18), compared with $5.2bn in 2Q18,$5.7bn in 1Q18 and $5.6bn per quarter on average across FY17.

They show the expected rate of interest only loans peaking in the next year or so.

The combined impact of prudential responses over the past 3 financial years including various regulatory changes, together with subsequent policy changes by the banks, has been a meaningful reduction in the average maximum borrowing capacity for home loan borrowers. This suggests to us that there are higher risks in the back book, compared with new business being written now and confirms the reduction in “mortgage power” available to borrowers.

ANZ Ups The Ante In The Mortgage Wars

We discuss the latest moves from ANZ as it cuts its variable mortgage rate

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